This opponent (Dynamo Dresden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DD
Dynamo Dresden
Avg scored2.20
Avg conceded0.90
Avg total3.10
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.47
2.20
1.13
1.33
1.80
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.80
1.33
1.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.70
1.43
2.09
1.09
1.33
1.75
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
1.00
6.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.19+3.3%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 4.33-3.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.48
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.63+1.0%
Under 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.21-1.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.2%
@ 2.54-0.5%
Under 3.5
63.8%
@ 1.47+0.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
Both teams to score
Yes
61.7%
@ 1.54+1.5%
No
38.3%
@ 2.33-1.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
No
Betfair
2.45
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.85+5.4%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.24+3.5%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.81+3.3%
1-0
6.8%@ 9.18+1.8%
2-0
6.6%@ 11.04+2.4%
2-2
6.3%@ 11.56+2.3%
0-0
5.9%@ 13.41+2.5%
0-1
5.5%@ 12.09+1.7%
1. FC Nürnberg goals ↓
Dynamo Dresden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.5%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
1
6.8%
12%
7.6%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
9.1%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.6%
5.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.1%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (down), columns = Dynamo Dresden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Schalke 04
2.06
SV Elversberg
1.83
SC Paderborn 07
1.83
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.61
Hertha BSC
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.56
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.31
1. FC Magdeburg
1.25
VfL Bochum
1.25
Dynamo Dresden
1.25
Arminia Bielefeld
1.17
Holstein Kiel
1.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.16
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.14
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.03
Preußen Münster
0.88
PreuÃen Münster
0.88
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.06 points better than Dynamo Dresden in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Elversberg
1.89
Hannover 96
1.81
SC Paderborn 07
1.72
Dynamo Dresden
1.72
SV Darmstadt 98
1.64
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.64
Karlsruher SC
1.61
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Arminia Bielefeld
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.42
VfL Bochum
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
1. FC Nürnberg
1.36
Holstein Kiel
1.25
Preußen Münster
1.12
PreuÃen Münster
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.97
Rot-Weiß Essen
0.50
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.36 goals worse than Dynamo Dresden in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.72).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Schalke 04
0.89
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.00
SV Elversberg
1.11
Hertha BSC
1.28
SV Darmstadt 98
1.28
SC Paderborn 07
1.31
1. FC Nürnberg
1.33
Hannover 96
1.36
VfL Bochum
1.39
Holstein Kiel
1.39
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.39
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Arminia Bielefeld
1.53
Dynamo Dresden
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.64
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.64
Preußen Münster
1.79
PreuÃen Münster
1.79
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.82
Karlsruher SC
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.19 goals better than Dynamo Dresden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
SV Elversberg
53%
SC Paderborn 07
53%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Preußen Münster
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
FC Schalke 04
46%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Rot-Weiß Essen
39%
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.8 percentage points worse than Dynamo Dresden in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1F
1. FC Nürnberg
For 4.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DD
Dynamo Dresden
For 5.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1F
1. FC Nürnberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.5
5.0
5.0
5.1
24.9
24.0
25.8
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
15.0
15.0
-
vs Similar (42)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.8
5.0
4.7
24.6
24.7
24.5
vs Weaker (7)
9.6
11.3
8.2
5.9
4.0
7.2
28.4
22.3
33.0
% over line
46%
48%
44%
82%
88%
76%
72%
76%
68%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
18%
12%
24%
28%
24%
32%
This opponent (Dynamo Dresden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DD
Dynamo Dresden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.5
11.8
4.0
4.4
3.7
23.5
24.0
23.0
vs Stronger (9)
12.9
11.0
14.4
3.6
4.8
2.6
21.4
28.0
16.2
vs Similar (38)
10.3
9.3
11.3
4.1
4.3
3.8
23.6
23.2
24.1
vs Weaker (3)
7.7
8.0
7.0
4.7
4.0
6.0
28.0
24.0
36.0
% over line
56%
50%
62%
60%
73%
46%
58%
69%
46%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
40%
27%
54%
42%
31%
54%
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
11.5
VfL Osnabrück
11.2
VfL Bochum
10.6
Dynamo Dresden
10.6
Hannover 96
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
SV Darmstadt 98
10.3
Holstein Kiel
10.2
Arminia Bielefeld
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.1
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
FC St. Pauli
9.5
Karlsruher SC
9.5
1. FC Heidenheim
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.2
1. FC Nürnberg
5.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
Hannover 96
4.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.7
VfL Bochum
4.7
1. FC Magdeburg
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Hertha BSC
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.5
Arminia Bielefeld
4.5
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.6
FC St. Pauli
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hannover 96
26.6
Holstein Kiel
26.4
Arminia Bielefeld
26.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.7
VfL Osnabrück
25.5
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.1
1. FC Magdeburg
23.8
Hertha BSC
23.8
SV Darmstadt 98
23.7
Dynamo Dresden
23.5
Karlsruher SC
23.2
VfL Bochum
23.2
1. FC Heidenheim
20.7
VfL Wolfsburg
20.6
FC St. Pauli
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.2%
Under 9.5
38.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.3%
Under 21.5
43.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
+3.3%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€201m
HB (35)
€60m
H9 (32)
€51m
VB (32)
€47m
HK (34)
€38m
KS (27)
€36m
SD9 (24)
€32m
SGF (35)
€27m
EB (29)
€23m
AB (28)
€18m
EC (31)
€8m
VO (25)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (9)
€78m
VB (10)
€19m
SD9 (9)
€17m
KS (8)
€16m
HB (7)
€14m
H9 (10)
€13m
SGF (9)
€12m
HK (8)
€10m
EB (11)
€9m
AB (12)
€8m
VO (11)
€4m
EC (12)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HB (10)
€27m
H9 (11)
€25m
VW (6)
€25m
VB (9)
€19m
HK (9)
€12m
SD9 (5)
€8m
SGF (10)
€7m
KS (8)
€5m
EB (5)
€4m
AB (4)
€2m
EC (6)
€2m
VO (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (18)
€98m
HB (18)
€20m
HK (17)
€15m
KS (11)
€15m
H9 (11)
€13m
VB (13)
€10m
EB (13)
€9m
SGF (16)
€9m
SD9 (10)
€8m
AB (12)
€7m
EC (13)
€4m
VO (9)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden · H/A from 1FN
Date
H/A
Game
Score
11/04/26
H
1FN Vs Dynamo Dresden
0-2
07/11/25
A
Dynamo Dresden Vs 1FN
1-2
20/03/22
H
1FN Vs Dynamo Dresden
1-1
17/10/21
A
Dynamo Dresden Vs 1FN
0-1
20/12/19
H
1FN Vs Dynamo Dresden
2-0
27/07/19
A
Dynamo Dresden Vs 1FN
0-1
31/03/18
A
Dynamo Dresden Vs 1FN
1-1
22/10/17
H
1FN Vs Dynamo Dresden
2-1
1F
1. FC Nürnberg
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
A
Hannover 96 Vs 1FN
3-3
09/05/26
H
1FN Vs FC Schalke 04
3-0
03/05/26
A
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Vs 1FN
1-1
26/04/26
H
1FN Vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1-0
18/04/26
A
Arminia Bielefeld Vs 1FN
1-1
11/04/26
H
1FN Vs Dynamo Dresden
0-2
05/04/26
A
Eintracht Braunschweig Vs 1FN
1-1
21/03/26
H
1FN Vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
3-0
14/03/26
A
Holstein Kiel Vs 1FN
2-3
07/03/26
H
1FN Vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
0-1
DD
Dynamo Dresden
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
H
DD Vs Holstein Kiel
2-1
09/05/26
A
Eintracht Braunschweig Vs DD
2-1
02/05/26
H
DD Vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1-0
24/04/26
A
Fortuna Düsseldorf Vs DD
3-1
18/04/26
H
DD Vs VfL Bochum
2-0
11/04/26
A
1. FC Nürnberg Vs DD
0-2
04/04/26
H
DD Vs Hertha BSC
0-1
21/03/26
A
SC Paderborn 07 Vs DD
2-1
15/03/26
H
DD Vs Preußen Münster
6-0
15/03/26
H
DD Vs PreuÃen Münster
6-0
📊 8. Overall Statistics
1F
1. FC Nürnberg
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DWDWD
1.34
Home
LWLWW
1.52
Away
WDDDD
1.16
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
36%
44%
28%
AVG goals
2.90
2.76
3.04
Over 2.5 %
60%
60%
60%
Scored
1.48
1.52
1.44
Conceded
1.42
1.24
1.60
BTTS
64%
52%
76%
Clean Sheet
18%
28%
8%
Failed to Score
22%
24%
20%
DD
Dynamo Dresden
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLWLW
1.06
Home
WLWWW
1.19
Away
DLWLL
0.92
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
24%
31%
17%
AVG goals
2.98
2.85
3.12
Over 2.5 %
64%
54%
75%
Scored
1.48
1.58
1.38
Conceded
1.50
1.27
1.75
BTTS
70%
62%
79%
Clean Sheet
18%
23%
12%
Failed to Score
18%
19%
17%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026-27 full table · 1. FC Nürnberg and Dynamo Dresden highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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