PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
CF
Clermont Foot
Vs
20%
32%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Reims
Reims
France: Ligue 2
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clermont Foot win
20.1%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.80
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
3.95
Bet365
3.90
Pinnacle
3.87
10Bet
3.85
1xBet
3.79
Draw
31.5%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.39
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.50
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.42
Reims win
48.4%
Avg Implied 48.1% · @ 1.93
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
2.00
888Sport
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.95
William Hil
1.95

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CF
Clermont Foot

Avg scored 0.90
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 2.10
20-2avg 0.9avg 1.2avg total 2.112010101222201112110A·ESTH·PAUH·REDH·REDA·GREH·NANA·LE H·BASA·MONH·GUI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.401.071.071.201.73
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.001.000.502.50
vs Similar (25)1.201.401.151.081.251.75
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReimsReims

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.30
50-5avg 1.9avg 1.4avg total 3.311122000223232111153A·DUNH·RODA·GUIH·BOUA·LAVH·REDH·REDH·NANA·LE H·PAU
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.971.811.121.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.801.330.670.501.00
vs Weaker (25)1.761.001.921.231.580.75
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.32-9.5%
Under 1.5
38.7%
@ 3.19+9.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
33.0%
@ 2.02-13.7%
Under 2.5
67.0%
@ 1.77+13.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.7%
@ 3.52-11.7%
Under 3.5
85.3%
@ 1.27+11.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.82
888Sport
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
39.0%
@ 1.81-12.1%
No
61.0%
@ 1.89+12.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.83
888Sport
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
No
Betano
1.93
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.90

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.8%@ 6.69+9.0%
0-0
14.5%@ 9.13+9.5%
1-1
13.8%@ 6.37+6.7%
0-2
10.9%@ 8.58+5.7%
1-0
8.5%@ 10.25+4.1%
1-2
8.1%@ 8.03+2.4%
0-3
4.7%@ 15.25+1.7%
2-1
4.6%@ 12.44+1.0%
Clermont Foot goals ↓
Reims goals →
01234
014%16%11%4.7%1.5%
18.5%14%8.1%3.5%1.1%
23.6%4.6%3.0%1.3%0.4%
30.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
40.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clermont Foot goals (down), columns = Reims goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Clermont Foot is 0.61 points worse than Reims in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Clermont Foot is 0.44 goals worse than Reims in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Clermont Foot is 0.28 goals worse than Reims in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Clermont Foot is 7.4 percentage points worse than Reims in terms of average possession (50% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CF
Clermont Foot

For 3.3 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

170432115124661431919516713171077101057H·GUIA·MONH·BASA·LE H·NANA·GREH·REDH·REDH·PAUA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

7012332115222131322211552744443H·GUIA·MONH·BASA·LE H·NANA·GREH·REDH·REDH·PAUA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 16.0 · Total 29.3

⚠️ Fouls

350711142012168242091412121712172015141918342832292629293533H·GUIA·MONH·BASA·LE H·NANA·GREH·REDH·REDH·PAUA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReimsReims

For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

12043234656548736665447541111121012118H·PAUA·LE H·NANH·REDH·REDA·LAVH·BOUA·GUIH·RODA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

11021384252211125322221116732754H·PAUA·LE H·NANH·REDH·REDA·LAVH·BOUA·GUIH·RODA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

34010671616181517151781213811131413131216233432322021242725H·PAUA·LE H·NANH·REDH·REDA·LAVH·BOUA·GUIH·RODA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CF
Clermont Foot

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.63.84.03.626.426.226.6
vs Stronger (5)8.07.08.73.44.03.025.024.525.3
vs Similar (42)9.59.49.73.84.03.627.026.827.1
vs Weaker (3)10.310.011.04.03.06.020.721.519.0
% over line48%40%56%56%60%52%82%84%80%
% under line52%60%44%44%40%48%18%16%20%
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReimsReims

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.59.63.94.03.924.423.725.0
vs Stronger (5)11.412.011.20.40.00.517.015.017.5
vs Similar (13)9.59.89.23.93.64.425.323.228.6
vs Weaker (32)8.67.79.44.54.44.525.224.525.8
% over line40%33%46%52%50%54%72%58%85%
% under line60%67%54%48%50%46%28%42%15%
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.585.3%1.27
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+11.7%
Over 21.5 fouls81.5%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Clermont Foot vs Reims · H/A from CF
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/26HCF Vs Reims0-1
23/09/25AReims Vs CF4-1
28/04/24HCF Vs Reims4-1
20/08/23AReims Vs CF2-0
30/04/23HCF Vs Reims1-0
14/08/22AReims Vs CF2-4
09/01/22HCF Vs Reims0-0
28/11/21AReims Vs CF1-0

CF
Clermont Foot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HCF Vs Guingamp1-0
02/05/26AMontpellier Vs CF1-2
24/04/26HCF Vs Bastia1-1
17/04/26ALe Mans Vs CF1-0
10/04/26HCF Vs Nancy2-2
03/04/26AGrenoble Vs CF2-2
20/03/26HCF Vs RED Star FC 930-1
20/03/26HCF Vs Red Star0-1
13/03/26HCF Vs PAU0-1
07/03/26AEstac Troyes Vs CF2-1

ReimsReims

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HREI Vs PAU5-3
02/05/26ALe Mans Vs REI1-1
25/04/26HREI Vs Nancy1-1
18/04/26HREI Vs RED Star FC 933-2
18/04/26HREI Vs Red Star3-2
10/04/26ALaval Vs REI2-2
04/04/26HREI Vs Boulogne0-0
21/03/26AGuingamp Vs REI0-2
14/03/26HREI Vs Rodez1-2
09/03/26ADunkerque Vs REI1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

CF
Clermont Foot
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW0.94
HomeLLDDW1.08
AwayWLDLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals2.422.042.80
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded1.401.081.72
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Failed to Score34%40%28%
Reims
Reims
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.42
HomeDWWDW1.71
AwayDDWDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%23%
AVG goals2.362.502.23
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.261.461.08
Conceded1.101.041.15
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Failed to Score38%33%42%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Clermont Foot and Reims highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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