This opponent (Guingamp) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Avg scored0.90
Avg conceded1.60
Avg total2.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.07
1.07
1.38
1.75
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
2.33
0.67
1.33
2.33
3.33
vs Similar (22)
1.05
1.23
1.00
1.10
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.5%
@ 1.28+17.5%
Under 1.5
9.5%
@ 3.45-17.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.47
888Sport
3.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74.2%
@ 1.89+24.3%
Under 2.5
25.8%
@ 1.89-24.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.86
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
54.1%
@ 3.19+24.9%
Under 3.5
45.9%
@ 1.32-24.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.33
888Sport
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
65.7%
@ 1.75+12.8%
No
34.3%
@ 1.97-12.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
888Sport
1.75
No
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%@ 7.91+3.2%
3-1
8.0%@ 14.38+4.8%
2-0
7.5%@ 8.71+2.3%
1-1
7.4%@ 6.55+0.5%
3-0
6.6%@ 14.78+3.6%
2-2
5.4%@ 13.71+2.1%
4-1
5.3%@ 31.12+3.9%
1-0
4.9%@ 7.01-1.5%
Metz goals ↓
Guingamp goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.8%
1.8%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
1
4.9%
7.4%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
2
7.5%
8.9%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.6%
8.0%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
4
4.4%
5.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metz goals (down), columns = Guingamp goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metz
For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guingamp
For 5.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.2
9.9
3.5
3.5
3.5
22.7
23.0
22.4
vs Stronger (20)
9.4
8.8
10.1
3.0
3.1
2.9
23.1
22.3
23.8
vs Similar (22)
9.5
9.8
9.2
3.7
3.3
4.1
22.9
24.0
21.5
vs Weaker (8)
9.9
7.0
10.8
4.0
6.0
3.3
21.2
20.5
21.5
% over line
42%
33%
50%
54%
58%
50%
62%
58%
65%
% under line
58%
67%
50%
46%
42%
50%
38%
42%
35%
This opponent (Guingamp) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.0
8.3
4.3
4.5
4.0
28.0
27.8
28.3
vs Stronger (12)
8.4
9.3
7.2
3.7
4.1
3.0
28.1
28.6
27.4
vs Similar (36)
9.4
10.1
8.8
4.4
4.6
4.3
27.9
27.2
28.6
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
13.0
4.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
29.0
32.0
26.0
% over line
34%
48%
20%
60%
68%
52%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
66%
52%
80%
40%
32%
48%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.6%
@ 1.92-12.9%
Under 9.5
64.4%
@ 1.81+12.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.5%
Under 21.5
13.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
90.5%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+17.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
74.2%
1.89
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
+24.3%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
Metz's squad is €66m more valuable than Guingamp's (€80m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
Metz's attack is €32m more valuable than Guingamp's (€37m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
Metz's midfield is €18m more valuable than Guingamp's (€21m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
Metz's defence is €16m more valuable than Guingamp's (€22m vs €6m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Metz vs Guingamp · H/A from MET
Date
H/A
Game
Score
15/02/25
A
Guingamp Vs MET
0-3
25/10/24
H
MET Vs Guingamp
1-0
20/05/23
A
Guingamp Vs MET
1-1
12/09/22
H
MET Vs Guingamp
3-6
24/02/18
A
Guingamp Vs MET
2-2
05/08/17
H
MET Vs Guingamp
1-3
20/05/17
A
Guingamp Vs MET
1-0
21/12/16
H
MET Vs Guingamp
2-2
Metz
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
A
Nice Vs MET
0-0
10/05/26
H
MET Vs Lorient
0-4
02/05/26
H
MET Vs Monaco
1-2
26/04/26
A
Le Havre Vs MET
4-4
19/04/26
H
MET Vs Paris FC
1-3
10/04/26
A
Marseille Vs MET
3-1
05/04/26
H
MET Vs Nantes
0-0
22/03/26
A
Rennes Vs MET
0-0
15/03/26
H
MET Vs Toulouse
3-4
08/03/26
A
Lens Vs MET
3-0
Guingamp
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/05/26
A
Clermont Foot Vs GUI
1-0
02/05/26
H
GUI Vs Bastia
0-1
24/04/26
A
RED Star FC 93 Vs GUI
3-2
24/04/26
A
Red Star Vs GUI
3-2
17/04/26
A
PAU Vs GUI
2-1
10/04/26
H
GUI Vs Grenoble
1-1
03/04/26
A
Annecy Vs GUI
1-0
21/03/26
H
GUI Vs Reims
0-2
13/03/26
H
GUI Vs Amiens
1-0
06/03/26
A
Laval Vs GUI
2-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Metz
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LDLLD
0.82
Home
LDLLL
0.75
Away
LDLDD
0.88
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
20%
17%
23%
AVG goals
3.40
3.04
3.73
Over 2.5 %
70%
58%
81%
Scored
1.32
1.21
1.42
Conceded
2.08
1.83
2.31
BTTS
58%
54%
62%
Clean Sheet
16%
17%
15%
Failed to Score
36%
42%
31%
Guingamp
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLLL
1.20
Home
DWLDL
1.32
Away
LLLLL
1.08
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
32%
36%
28%
AVG goals
2.86
2.60
3.12
Over 2.5 %
62%
56%
68%
Scored
1.32
1.16
1.48
Conceded
1.54
1.44
1.64
BTTS
54%
40%
68%
Clean Sheet
24%
28%
20%
Failed to Score
28%
36%
20%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Metz and Guingamp highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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