This opponent (Montpellier) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Avg scored1.40
Avg conceded0.70
Avg total2.10
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.90
1.67
1.20
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
0.83
1.67
1.17
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
1.25
2.50
2.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.6%
Under 2.5
68.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.8%
Under 3.5
86.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
30.0%
No
70.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
20.0%
0-2
15.8%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
10.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
Nancy goals ↓
Montpellier goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
20%
16%
7.9%
3.0%
1
5.5%
11%
7.4%
3.7%
1.4%
2
1.5%
2.3%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
3
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nancy goals (down), columns = Montpellier goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Nancy is 0.44 points worse than Montpellier in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Nancy is 0.19 goals worse than Montpellier in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Nancy is 0.61 goals worse than Montpellier in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Nancy is 10.6 percentage points worse than Montpellier in terms of average possession (42% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nancy
For 3.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 17.2 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Montpellier
For 5.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
3.9
3.6
4.2
28.6
28.5
28.7
vs Stronger (14)
8.9
9.3
8.4
4.8
4.4
5.1
28.5
28.1
28.9
vs Similar (36)
9.6
8.9
10.4
3.6
3.3
3.8
28.6
28.6
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
46%
58%
52%
40%
64%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
48%
54%
42%
48%
60%
36%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Montpellier) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.4
10.2
4.0
4.0
3.9
28.7
29.9
27.6
vs Stronger (10)
9.9
8.8
11.0
3.6
3.2
4.0
27.1
27.6
26.6
vs Similar (35)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.1
4.5
3.7
29.2
30.6
27.8
vs Weaker (5)
9.0
9.5
8.5
3.8
2.7
5.5
28.5
29.5
27.5
% over line
53%
54%
52%
62%
56%
68%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
47%
46%
48%
38%
44%
32%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.8%
Under 21.5
9.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 21.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
Nancy's squad is €17m less valuable than Montpellier's (€13m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
Nancy's attack is €6m less valuable than Montpellier's (€4m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
Nancy's midfield is €3m less valuable than Montpellier's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
Nancy's defence is €8m less valuable than Montpellier's (€6m vs €15m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Nancy vs Montpellier · H/A from NAN
Date
H/A
Game
Score
06/03/26
H
NAN Vs Montpellier
0-3
25/10/25
A
Montpellier Vs NAN
4-1
11/02/17
H
NAN Vs Montpellier
0-3
26/11/16
A
Montpellier Vs NAN
0-0
Nancy
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/05/26
H
NAN Vs Dunkerque
3-2
02/05/26
A
PAU Vs NAN
1-3
25/04/26
A
Reims Vs NAN
1-1
17/04/26
H
NAN Vs Annecy
1-5
10/04/26
A
Clermont Foot Vs NAN
2-2
04/04/26
H
NAN Vs Saint Etienne
1-1
20/03/26
A
Boulogne Vs NAN
0-0
13/03/26
H
NAN Vs Le Mans
2-4
06/03/26
H
NAN Vs Montpellier
0-3
27/02/26
A
Laval Vs NAN
1-1
Montpellier
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/05/26
A
RED Star FC 93 Vs MON
1-1
09/05/26
A
Red Star Vs MON
1-1
02/05/26
H
MON Vs Clermont Foot
1-2
24/04/26
A
Amiens Vs MON
0-2
17/04/26
H
MON Vs Grenoble
2-1
10/04/26
A
Annecy Vs MON
0-0
04/04/26
H
MON Vs Estac Troyes
2-2
20/03/26
A
PAU Vs MON
0-0
13/03/26
H
MON Vs Laval
2-0
06/03/26
A
Nancy Vs MON
0-3
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Nancy
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLDWW
0.94
Home
LLDLW
0.92
Away
DDDDW
0.96
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
24%
27%
21%
AVG goals
2.54
2.62
2.46
Over 2.5 %
50%
46%
54%
Scored
0.98
0.92
1.04
Conceded
1.56
1.69
1.42
BTTS
48%
35%
62%
Clean Sheet
18%
23%
12%
Failed to Score
42%
46%
38%
Montpellier
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWLDD
1.08
Home
DWDWL
1.25
Away
DDWDD
0.92
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
33%
23%
AVG goals
2.24
2.79
1.73
Over 2.5 %
30%
46%
15%
Scored
0.92
1.25
0.62
Conceded
1.32
1.54
1.12
BTTS
38%
54%
23%
Clean Sheet
26%
25%
27%
Failed to Score
44%
29%
58%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Nancy and Montpellier highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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