PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 14/08/2026
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
Vs
72%
17%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CF
Clermont Foot
France: Ligue 2
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saint Etienne win
71.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Clermont Foot win
11.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 1.30
Avg total 2.70
50-5avg 1.4avg 1.3avg total 2.740112102031250000014H·ANNA·NANH·DUNA·BASH·ESTA·RODH·AMIH·RODH·NICA·NIC
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.940.750.931.57
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.000.001.004.00
vs Similar (8)1.121.381.251.501.001.25
vs Weaker (20)1.700.952.360.550.891.44
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CF
Clermont Foot

Avg scored 0.90
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 2.10
20-2avg 0.9avg 1.2avg total 2.112010101222201112110A·ESTH·PAUH·REDH·REDA·GREH·NANA·LE H·BASA·MONH·GUI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.401.071.071.201.73
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.001.000.502.50
vs Similar (25)1.201.401.151.081.251.75
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
5.1%
Saint Etienne goals ↓
Clermont Foot goals →
01234
03.7%2.1%1.3%0.4%0.1%
16.8%7.9%3.4%1.1%0.3%
29.7%9.3%4.4%1.4%0.3%
38.3%8.0%3.8%1.2%0.3%
45.4%5.1%2.5%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saint Etienne goals (down), columns = Clermont Foot goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Saint Etienne is 0.69 points better than Clermont Foot in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Saint Etienne is 0.61 goals better than Clermont Foot in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Saint Etienne is 0.19 goals better than Clermont Foot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Saint Etienne is 9.1 percentage points better than Clermont Foot in terms of average possession (59% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne

For 5.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1204666833672936262426210121199128868A·NICH·NICH·RODH·AMIA·RODH·ESTA·BASH·DUNA·NANH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

602111112224241221112122466332A·NICH·NICH·RODH·AMIA·RODH·ESTA·BASH·DUNA·NANH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.3

⚠️ Fouls

350510107131312101211151615201616219191315172622233135323032A·NICH·NICH·RODH·AMIA·RODH·ESTA·BASH·DUNA·NANH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CF
Clermont Foot

For 3.3 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

170432115124661431919516713171077101057H·GUIA·MONH·BASA·LE H·NANA·GREH·REDH·REDH·PAUA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

7012332115222131322211552744443H·GUIA·MONH·BASA·LE H·NANA·GREH·REDH·REDH·PAUA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 16.0 · Total 29.3

⚠️ Fouls

350711142012168242091412121712172015141918342832292629293533H·GUIA·MONH·BASA·LE H·NANA·GREH·REDH·REDH·PAUA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.38.93.83.93.625.926.625.2
vs Stronger (7)11.111.510.72.62.52.722.322.522.0
vs Similar (15)10.211.39.24.54.64.426.728.625.0
vs Weaker (28)8.99.58.33.73.93.426.426.726.2
% over line43%52%33%52%60%44%80%80%79%
% under line57%48%67%48%40%56%20%20%21%
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CF
Clermont Foot

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.63.73.83.626.326.026.6
vs Stronger (6)8.07.08.72.82.73.025.024.525.3
vs Similar (41)9.69.49.73.84.03.626.926.627.1
vs Weaker (3)10.310.011.04.03.06.020.721.519.0
% over line49%42%56%54%56%52%82%83%80%
% under line51%58%44%46%44%48%18%17%20%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Laval
10.1
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.8
Montpellier
9.8
Nantes
9.7
Saint Etienne
9.6
Metz
9.6
Clermont Foot
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
PAU
9.3
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
9.1
Boulogne
8.9
Sochaux
8.8
Annecy
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.5
Guingamp
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Rodez
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Laval
4.1
Montpellier
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Dunkerque
3.9
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Metz
3.6
Grenoble
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annecy
28.8
Laval
28.8
Montpellier
28.6
Nancy
28.5
Guingamp
28.0
Sochaux
28.0
Boulogne
27.9
RED Star FC 93
26.9
Clermont Foot
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Dunkerque
26.3
PAU
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Dijon
25.3
Reims
24.4
Metz
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.5%
Under 21.5
14.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.587.5%-------
Over 21.5 fouls85.5%-------
Home win71.5%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (34)
€118m
REI (30)
€109m
SE (29)
€82m
MET (31)
€80m
DUN (29)
€42m
MON (29)
€30m
ROD (27)
€22m
GRE (24)
€17m
GUI (22)
€15m
ANN (28)
€13m
NAN (30)
€13m
BOU (27)
€11m
SOC (23)
€8m
DIJ (25)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (11)
€50m
SE (9)
€46m
MET (11)
€37m
REI (13)
€37m
DUN (10)
€18m
MON (12)
€10m
GRE (7)
€7m
ROD (7)
€7m
GUI (6)
€5m
ANN (10)
€4m
NAN (11)
€4m
BOU (9)
€3m
SOC (7)
€3m
DIJ (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€31m
NAN (7)
€23m
MET (6)
€21m
DUN (7)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (10)
€7m
MON (4)
€5m
GUI (6)
€4m
BOU (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€2m
NAN (7)
€2m
ANN (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
SOC (4)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (16)
€45m
REI (11)
€41m
SE (13)
€26m
MET (14)
€22m
MON (13)
€15m
DUN (12)
€11m
ROD (10)
€9m
GRE (12)
€7m
ANN (12)
€6m
GUI (10)
€6m
NAN (12)
€6m
BOU (12)
€5m
SOC (12)
€3m
DIJ (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot · H/A from SE
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HSE Vs Clermont Foot1-0
13/09/25AClermont Foot Vs SE1-2
13/02/22AClermont Foot Vs SE1-2
07/11/21HSE Vs Clermont Foot3-2

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/05/26ANice Vs SE4-1
26/05/26HSE Vs Nice0-0
15/05/26HSE Vs Rodez0-0
09/05/26HSE Vs Amiens5-0
02/05/26ARodez Vs SE2-1
25/04/26HSE Vs Estac Troyes0-3
18/04/26ABastia Vs SE2-0
11/04/26HSE Vs Dunkerque2-1
04/04/26ANancy Vs SE1-1
21/03/26HSE Vs Annecy4-0

CF
Clermont Foot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HCF Vs Guingamp1-0
02/05/26AMontpellier Vs CF1-2
24/04/26HCF Vs Bastia1-1
17/04/26ALe Mans Vs CF1-0
10/04/26HCF Vs Nancy2-2
03/04/26AGrenoble Vs CF2-2
20/03/26HCF Vs RED Star FC 930-1
20/03/26HCF Vs Red Star0-1
13/03/26HCF Vs PAU0-1
07/03/26AEstac Troyes Vs CF2-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.52
HomeWLWDD1.69
AwayDDLLL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.943.382.46
Over 2.5 %58%69%46%
Scored1.581.961.17
Conceded1.361.421.29
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet36%38%33%
Failed to Score22%15%29%
CF
Clermont Foot
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW0.94
HomeLLDDW1.08
AwayWLDLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals2.422.042.80
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded1.401.081.72
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Failed to Score34%40%28%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
France: Ligue 2 2026-27 full table · Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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