This opponent (Utrecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Utrecht
Avg scored2.00
Avg conceded1.30
Avg total3.30
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.33
1.47
1.00
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (10)
1.40
1.60
1.17
1.17
1.75
2.25
vs Similar (4)
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.44
1.25
2.00
0.71
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.2%
@ 1.23+3.1%
Under 1.5
20.8%
@ 3.90-3.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Under
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Pinnacle
3.94
888Sport
3.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.77+1.2%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.03-1.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.08
SBO
2.08
Unibet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.3%
@ 2.87-0.1%
Under 3.5
67.7%
@ 1.38+0.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.93
Betano
2.90
BetVictor
2.90
Unibet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
59.0%
@ 1.61+1.3%
No
41.0%
@ 2.19-1.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
No
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.29+5.6%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.68+3.7%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.70+3.1%
1-0
7.5%@ 8.59+2.3%
0-0
6.8%@ 11.38+2.9%
2-0
6.6%@ 11.53+2.7%
0-1
6.4%@ 9.78+1.8%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.65+2.1%
Groningen goals ↓
Utrecht goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
6.4%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.5%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.9%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.4%
4.5%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Groningen goals (down), columns = Utrecht goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Groningen is 0.21 points worse than Utrecht in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Groningen is 0.21 goals worse than Utrecht in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Groningen is 0.12 goals worse than Utrecht in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Groningen is 3.9 percentage points better than Utrecht in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Groningen
For 5.2 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Utrecht
For 4.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 8.9 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Groningen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.9
9.1
3.3
3.2
3.4
20.7
19.9
21.5
vs Stronger (19)
8.4
9.8
7.2
3.0
3.2
2.8
20.6
19.9
21.2
vs Similar (21)
10.7
11.8
9.7
3.4
3.8
3.1
21.1
21.6
20.7
vs Weaker (10)
11.3
11.2
11.4
3.6
2.0
5.2
20.2
16.6
23.8
% over line
50%
58%
42%
40%
42%
38%
50%
42%
58%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
60%
58%
62%
50%
58%
42%
This opponent (Utrecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Utrecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.6
3.6
3.6
3.5
22.4
23.3
21.5
vs Stronger (13)
11.2
10.3
12.2
4.2
5.9
2.2
23.6
26.6
20.2
vs Similar (5)
7.4
7.7
7.0
3.2
2.3
4.5
20.8
21.7
19.5
vs Weaker (32)
9.4
9.9
8.9
3.4
2.9
3.8
22.1
21.9
22.3
% over line
52%
52%
52%
50%
44%
56%
52%
65%
39%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
50%
56%
44%
48%
35%
61%
This opponent (Groningen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
GO Ahead Eagles
11.1
Telstar
11.1
ADO Den Haag
10.8
Willem II
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
Fortuna Sittard
10.5
Heerenveen
10.2
NEC Nijmegen
10.1
Ajax
10.0
Groningen
10.0
Cambuur
9.9
AZ Alkmaar
9.9
Excelsior
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
Utrecht
9.7
Twente
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.1
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
ADO Den Haag
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Cambuur
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Utrecht
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Telstar
3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
3.5
Groningen
3.4
Twente
3.4
Excelsior
3.3
PEC Zwolle
3.2
Heerenveen
3.0
Willem II
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Cambuur
25.5
Fortuna Sittard
24.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.9
PEC Zwolle
22.9
Feyenoord
22.9
Ajax
22.6
AZ Alkmaar
22.5
Utrecht
22.4
Telstar
21.6
Willem II
21.3
Twente
21.2
Heerenveen
21.0
Groningen
20.7
Sparta Rotterdam
19.7
Excelsior
19.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.0%
@ 1.63+6.5%
Under 9.5
37.0%
@ 2.12-6.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.63
Under
Unibet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
39.8%
Under 21.5
60.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
79.2%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
+3.1%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (50)
€323m
AJA (62)
€260m
FEY (32)
€216m
AA (60)
€205m
UTR (51)
€88m
TWE (27)
€84m
NN (28)
€62m
HEE (23)
€49m
GAE (31)
€36m
SR (26)
€32m
GRO (23)
€32m
PZ (29)
€23m
FS (28)
€22m
EXC (28)
€19m
WI (26)
€14m
CAM (26)
€12m
TEL (24)
€12m
ADH (25)
€11m
Groningen's squad is €56m less valuable than Utrecht's (€32m vs €88m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (19)
€139m
AJA (24)
€119m
AA (22)
€100m
FEY (13)
€78m
UTR (19)
€30m
NN (13)
€27m
TWE (10)
€26m
HEE (10)
€22m
GAE (12)
€17m
SR (9)
€13m
GRO (8)
€11m
WI (12)
€9m
PZ (12)
€9m
EXC (12)
€9m
FS (7)
€7m
ADH (12)
€5m
CAM (10)
€4m
TEL (8)
€4m
Groningen's attack is €19m less valuable than Utrecht's (€11m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (10)
€77m
AJA (13)
€53m
FEY (4)
€51m
AA (12)
€43m
NN (6)
€26m
UTR (10)
€24m
TWE (4)
€13m
GRO (3)
€9m
HEE (3)
€6m
FS (7)
€6m
GAE (6)
€6m
TEL (7)
€5m
PZ (6)
€5m
SR (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€2m
EXC (4)
€2m
CAM (5)
€2m
WI (3)
€1m
Groningen's midfield is €15m less valuable than Utrecht's (€9m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (21)
€108m
FEY (15)
€87m
AJA (25)
€87m
AA (26)
€62m
TWE (13)
€45m
UTR (22)
€34m
HEE (10)
€20m
SR (13)
€16m
GAE (13)
€14m
GRO (12)
€11m
PZ (11)
€9m
NN (9)
€9m
EXC (12)
€9m
FS (14)
€8m
CAM (11)
€6m
ADH (10)
€4m
WI (11)
€4m
TEL (9)
€3m
Groningen's defence is €22m less valuable than Utrecht's (€11m vs €34m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Groningen vs Utrecht · H/A from GRO
Date
H/A
Game
Score
14/02/26
H
GRO Vs Utrecht
1-2
14/09/25
A
Utrecht Vs GRO
0-1
13/04/25
A
Utrecht Vs GRO
3-1
20/10/24
H
GRO Vs Utrecht
0-1
07/04/23
H
GRO Vs Utrecht
1-2
06/11/22
A
Utrecht Vs GRO
2-1
20/03/22
A
Utrecht Vs GRO
1-3
21/08/21
H
GRO Vs Utrecht
0-0
Groningen
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
21/05/26
A
Ajax Vs GRO
2-0
17/05/26
A
Heracles Vs GRO
1-2
10/05/26
H
GRO Vs NEC Nijmegen
2-1
02/05/26
H
GRO Vs Excelsior
2-3
25/04/26
A
Feyenoord Vs GRO
3-1
11/04/26
H
GRO Vs GO Ahead Eagles
0-0
04/04/26
A
Telstar Vs GRO
0-2
22/03/26
H
GRO Vs AZ Alkmaar
3-0
13/03/26
A
PEC Zwolle Vs GRO
1-1
07/03/26
H
GRO Vs Ajax
3-1
Utrecht
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/05/26
A
Ajax Vs UTR
0-0
21/05/26
H
UTR Vs Heerenveen
3-2
17/05/26
H
UTR Vs Fortuna Sittard
2-0
10/05/26
A
Ajax Vs UTR
1-2
02/05/26
H
UTR Vs NAC Breda
2-0
26/04/26
A
Excelsior Vs UTR
5-0
11/04/26
H
UTR Vs Telstar
4-1
04/04/26
A
PSV Eindhoven Vs UTR
4-3
22/03/26
H
UTR Vs GO Ahead Eagles
2-0
15/03/26
A
Twente Vs UTR
0-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Groningen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLWWL
1.34
Home
WWDLW
1.62
Away
DWLWL
1.08
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
46%
31%
AVG goals
2.90
2.96
2.85
Over 2.5 %
56%
67%
46%
Scored
1.46
1.83
1.12
Conceded
1.44
1.12
1.73
BTTS
60%
62%
58%
Clean Sheet
22%
29%
15%
Failed to Score
22%
17%
27%
Utrecht
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWWD
1.48
Home
WWWWW
1.76
Away
WLLWD
1.20
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
42%
52%
32%
AVG goals
2.80
2.60
3.00
Over 2.5 %
50%
44%
56%
Scored
1.54
1.68
1.40
Conceded
1.26
0.92
1.60
BTTS
58%
52%
64%
Clean Sheet
24%
28%
20%
Failed to Score
24%
24%
24%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026-27 full table · Groningen and Utrecht highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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