This opponent (Jong PSV U21) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JP
Jong PSV U21
Avg scored0.80
Avg conceded1.20
Avg total2.00
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.80
1.67
1.53
1.53
2.07
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (2)
3.00
4.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
5.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.54
1.62
1.69
1.31
1.38
1.92
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Almere City FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74.4%
Under 2.5
25.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
Almere City FC goals ↓
Jong PSV U21 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.8%
2.1%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
1
4.5%
7.8%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
2
6.6%
8.9%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
5.5%
7.5%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
4
3.5%
4.7%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Almere City FC goals (down), columns = Jong PSV U21 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
ADO Den Haag
2.34
Cambuur
2.05
Willem II
1.84
De Graafschap
1.60
Almere City FC
1.55
FC Volendam
1.50
Vitesse
1.47
Jong PSV U21
1.47
Waalwijk
1.45
Roda
1.43
Den Bosch
1.27
Dordrecht
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.24
Jong Utrecht
1.21
VVV Venlo
1.18
Emmen
1.18
FC OSS
1.16
Jong AZ
1.05
Helmond Sport
1.03
MVV
1.00
Jong Ajax
0.92
Almere City FC is 0.07 points better than Jong PSV U21 in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ADO Den Haag
2.37
Almere City FC
2.02
Cambuur
1.97
De Graafschap
1.93
Waalwijk
1.76
Jong PSV U21
1.74
Vitesse
1.68
Den Bosch
1.68
Jong AZ
1.61
Emmen
1.53
Jong Utrecht
1.53
Roda
1.52
Willem II
1.52
FC Volendam
1.50
FC OSS
1.42
FC Eindhoven
1.34
VVV Venlo
1.32
Jong Ajax
1.32
Dordrecht
1.26
Helmond Sport
1.11
MVV
1.08
Almere City FC is 0.29 goals better than Jong PSV U21 in terms of goals scored per game (2.02 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
ADO Den Haag
0.97
Willem II
1.05
Cambuur
1.26
Roda
1.40
Vitesse
1.45
Dordrecht
1.47
Waalwijk
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.53
De Graafschap
1.57
Almere City FC
1.61
Helmond Sport
1.63
Jong Utrecht
1.63
FC OSS
1.68
Jong PSV U21
1.68
FC Eindhoven
1.82
Den Bosch
1.88
Emmen
1.89
Jong Ajax
1.92
MVV
1.92
Jong AZ
2.00
Almere City FC is 0.07 goals better than Jong PSV U21 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.68).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ADO Den Haag
60%
Cambuur
58%
De Graafschap
56%
Jong AZ
54%
Roda
52%
Emmen
52%
Jong Ajax
52%
Jong PSV U21
52%
Waalwijk
50%
VVV Venlo
49%
Helmond Sport
49%
Dordrecht
48%
Willem II
48%
Almere City FC
48%
Jong Utrecht
48%
Den Bosch
47%
Vitesse
46%
FC Eindhoven
44%
MVV
44%
FC OSS
43%
Almere City FC is 3.6 percentage points worse than Jong PSV U21 in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Almere City FC
For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 7.7 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
JP
Jong PSV U21
For 6.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almere City FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.7
10.4
2.3
2.4
2.2
20.9
20.5
21.4
vs Stronger (6)
9.2
9.7
8.7
3.5
3.3
3.7
22.7
20.7
24.7
vs Similar (44)
11.4
12.0
10.7
2.2
2.3
2.0
20.6
20.5
20.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
68%
60%
28%
31%
25%
50%
45%
55%
% under line
36%
32%
40%
72%
69%
75%
50%
55%
45%
This opponent (Jong PSV U21) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JP
Jong PSV U21
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
11.2
10.6
11.9
3.2
3.0
3.5
24.2
23.6
24.8
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
6.0
11.0
5.0
6.0
4.0
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Similar (2)
6.5
10.0
3.0
4.5
2.0
7.0
26.5
25.0
28.0
vs Weaker (35)
11.7
10.9
12.5
3.0
2.8
3.2
24.1
23.5
24.7
% over line
68%
63%
74%
41%
30%
53%
66%
68%
63%
% under line
32%
37%
26%
59%
70%
47%
34%
32%
37%
This opponent (Almere City FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
De Graafschap
11.9
Den Bosch
11.8
FC OSS
11.8
Dordrecht
11.3
Jong PSV U21
11.2
FC Eindhoven
10.9
Helmond Sport
10.8
Jong AZ
10.8
Almere City FC
10.8
Emmen
10.7
FC Volendam
10.6
MVV
10.5
Waalwijk
10.4
Heracles
10.4
Jong Ajax
10.3
VVV Venlo
10.3
Roda
10.3
Vitesse
10.1
NAC Breda
9.8
Jong Utrecht
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dordrecht
4.5
Vitesse
4.4
FC OSS
4.4
Jong Ajax
3.8
Den Bosch
3.8
FC Volendam
3.6
Emmen
3.6
Heracles
3.5
NAC Breda
3.4
Jong AZ
3.4
VVV Venlo
3.4
Helmond Sport
3.3
Jong PSV U21
3.3
FC Eindhoven
3.3
MVV
3.2
De Graafschap
3.2
Waalwijk
3.1
Roda
3.1
Jong Utrecht
3.1
Almere City FC
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC OSS
29.9
Vitesse
26.4
Helmond Sport
25.3
Jong Utrecht
25.3
Dordrecht
25.3
Jong Ajax
24.3
Roda
24.3
Emmen
24.2
Jong PSV U21
24.2
Heracles
24.2
Jong AZ
23.3
VVV Venlo
23.3
FC Eindhoven
23.3
Den Bosch
23.1
MVV
22.8
NAC Breda
22.5
De Graafschap
22.5
Waalwijk
22.3
Almere City FC
20.6
FC Volendam
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
71.0%
Under 9.5
29.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
38.7%
Under 3.5
61.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.1%
Under 21.5
43.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (32)
€14m
HER (34)
€14m
DOR (34)
€14m
NB (26)
€11m
ACF (28)
€10m
EMM (33)
€9m
DG (22)
€9m
ROD (28)
€7m
WAA (25)
€7m
DB (24)
€7m
VV (29)
€6m
FE (27)
€6m
MVV (28)
€6m
HS (23)
€6m
VIT (25)
€6m
FO (28)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HER (14)
€7m
DOR (15)
€7m
ACF (10)
€6m
DG (11)
€5m
FV (12)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
EMM (12)
€4m
ROD (12)
€3m
WAA (10)
€3m
DB (9)
€2m
FE (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
HS (8)
€2m
FO (11)
€2m
VIT (8)
€2m
MVV (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (7)
€3m
HER (6)
€3m
EMM (8)
€2m
NB (4)
€2m
ROD (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DB (5)
€2m
FE (4)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
VIT (5)
€1m
ACF (5)
€1m
FO (4)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
DG (3)
€1m
VV (5)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (13)
€7m
DOR (14)
€6m
NB (12)
€5m
HER (14)
€4m
WAA (12)
€4m
ACF (13)
€3m
EMM (13)
€3m
VV (14)
€3m
MVV (13)
€3m
ROD (11)
€3m
HS (10)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
VIT (12)
€2m
FE (12)
€2m
FO (13)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21 · H/A from ACF
Date
H/A
Game
Score
12/12/25
A
Jong PSV U21 Vs ACF
2-3
12/09/25
H
ACF Vs Jong PSV U21
2-4
Almere City FC
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
16/05/26
A
Willem II Vs ACF
2-0
13/05/26
H
ACF Vs Willem II
0-1
09/05/26
A
De Graafschap Vs ACF
2-2
06/05/26
H
ACF Vs De Graafschap
3-1
02/05/26
H
ACF Vs Den Bosch
3-0
29/04/26
A
Den Bosch Vs ACF
2-3
24/04/26
A
VVV Venlo Vs ACF
3-1
17/04/26
H
ACF Vs Dordrecht
4-1
12/04/26
A
Willem II Vs ACF
2-1
06/04/26
H
ACF Vs Den Bosch
1-2
JP
Jong PSV U21
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/04/26
A
Waalwijk Vs JPU
4-1
17/04/26
H
JPU Vs Jong Ajax
0-1
13/04/26
A
Jong AZ Vs JPU
0-2
06/04/26
H
JPU Vs VVV Venlo
1-0
03/04/26
A
Willem II Vs JPU
1-0
20/03/26
H
JPU Vs Vitesse
0-2
16/03/26
A
Den Bosch Vs JPU
1-0
13/03/26
H
JPU Vs FC Eindhoven
1-2
06/03/26
A
Roda Vs JPU
0-2
27/02/26
H
JPU Vs Dordrecht
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Almere City FC
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWDLL
1.42
Home
LWWWL
1.64
Away
LLWDL
1.20
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
42%
48%
36%
AVG goals
3.50
3.24
3.76
Over 2.5 %
70%
68%
72%
Scored
1.84
2.00
1.68
Conceded
1.66
1.24
2.08
BTTS
64%
52%
76%
Clean Sheet
20%
32%
8%
Failed to Score
18%
20%
16%
JP
Jong PSV U21
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWLL
1.47
Home
DLLWL
1.58
Away
WLLWL
1.37
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
45%
47%
42%
AVG goals
3.42
3.00
3.84
Over 2.5 %
66%
63%
68%
Scored
1.74
1.68
1.79
Conceded
1.68
1.32
2.05
BTTS
61%
53%
68%
Clean Sheet
21%
26%
16%
Failed to Score
18%
21%
16%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2026-27 full table · Almere City FC and Jong PSV U21 highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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