PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 10/08/2026
Benfica B
Benfica B
Vs
36%
26%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leixoes
Leixoes
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica B win
35.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Leixoes win
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Benfica BBenfica B

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 1.30
Avg total 2.30
30-3avg 1.0avg 1.3avg total 2.330011021220312100202H·FEIA·PACH·FARA·VIZH·UNIA·OLIH·MARA·SPOH·ACAA·FC
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.301.531.271.071.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.001.251.251.500.751.00
vs Weaker (22)1.411.321.641.181.181.45
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Leixoes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeixoesLeixoes

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 3.40
40-4avg 1.9avg 1.5avg total 3.414133211203020232121H·UNIA·ACAH·PACA·TORH·OLIA·FC H·PORA·MARA·CHAH·LUS
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.671.202.001.401.33
vs Stronger (7)1.291.861.002.251.671.33
vs Similar (16)1.251.621.002.291.441.11
vs Weaker (7)1.431.571.751.251.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
Benfica B goals ↓
Leixoes goals →
01234
05.8%6.2%5.7%2.9%1.1%
16.0%12%8.5%4.4%1.7%
25.3%8.3%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.7%4.2%3.2%1.7%0.7%
41.0%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica B goals (down), columns = Leixoes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Academico Viseu
1.74
Torreense
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
União de Leiria
1.47
Leixoes
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Benfica B
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Benfica B is 0.18 points worse than Leixoes in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Portimonense
1.15
Vizela
1.15
Feirense
1.09
Penafiel
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Benfica B is 0.09 goals worse than Leixoes in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.35).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Academico Viseu
0.97
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Vizela
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Benfica B is 0.32 goals better than Leixoes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Benfica B is 4.2 percentage points better than Leixoes in terms of average possession (54% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Benfica BBenfica B

For 5.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1508452333486436449187127361210981015A·FC H·MARA·OLIH·FARA·PACA·PENH·FELA·PORH·LUSH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.4

🟨 Cards

1002424642614135243413366108547756A·FC H·ACAA·SPOH·MARA·OLIH·UNIA·VIZH·FARA·PACH·FEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 16.0 · Total 32.0

⚠️ Fouls

450131914221618102012141011271819102215171332363430262145293730A·FC H·MARA·OLIH·FARA·PACA·PENH·FELA·PORH·LUSH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeixoesLeixoes

For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

150621639349625929748712715792911H·PACA·ACAA·SPOA·FARA·LUSH·MARH·FC A·OLIH·TORA·PAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

8034325322324322222137584545444H·LUSA·CHAA·MARH·PORA·FC H·OLIA·TORH·PACA·ACAH·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.8

⚠️ Fouls

37016131013161412181819172016152114510171429233030373731351531H·PACA·ACAA·SPOA·FARA·LUSH·MARH·FC A·OLIH·TORA·PAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Benfica BBenfica B

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)9.610.78.56.96.86.931.834.529.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)12.0-12.06.87.06.532.0-32.0
vs Weaker (26)9.410.77.86.96.77.131.734.528.4
% over line50%50%50%91%94%88%92%100%83%
% under line50%50%50%9%6%12%8%0%17%
This opponent (Leixoes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeixoesLeixoes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)8.78.49.05.95.06.930.129.031.0
vs Stronger (8)8.39.07.05.86.55.023.023.023.0
vs Similar (18)10.88.013.55.74.37.134.235.033.5
vs Weaker (8)7.08.06.76.65.08.231.229.032.0
% over line27%0%50%88%82%94%91%80%100%
% under line73%100%50%12%18%6%9%20%0%
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.2
Portimonense
10.9
Farense
10.7
Torreense
10.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.2
União de Leiria
10.2
FC Porto B
9.6
Vizela
9.6
Benfica B
9.6
Chaves
9.5
Tondela
9.4
Feirense
9.4
AVS
9.0
Leixoes
8.7
Sporting CP B
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.9
Feirense
6.3
FC Porto B
6.3
Vizela
6.2
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Sporting CP B
6.0
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
União de Leiria
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Farense
5.7
Penafiel
5.6
Torreense
5.5
Tondela
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
AVS
4.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Feirense
32.7
Benfica B
31.8
Farense
31.1
União de Leiria
30.6
Leixoes
30.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Felgueiras 1932
29.4
FC Porto B
29.4
Vizela
29.4
Portimonense
28.2
Chaves
27.6
Tondela
27.5
Penafiel
27.1
AVS
25.9
Sporting CP B
25.0
Torreense
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.3%
Under 9.5
99.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.4%
Under 3.5
10.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.7%
Under 21.5
99.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 9.5 corners99.7%-------
Under 21.5 fouls99.3%-------
Over 3.5 cards89.4%-------
Over 1.582.1%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (39)
€76m
BB (38)
€76m
FPB (36)
€57m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
Benfica B's squad is €68m more valuable than Leixoes's (€76m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (14)
€37m
FPB (14)
€19m
BB (13)
€15m
TON (12)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
Benfica B's attack is €12m more valuable than Leixoes's (€15m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (9)
€18m
FPB (7)
€10m
BB (8)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
TOR (6)
€5m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
Benfica B's midfield is €6m more valuable than Leixoes's (€8m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (17)
€53m
FPB (15)
€27m
SCB (16)
€21m
TON (14)
€15m
TOR (13)
€9m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
Benfica B's defence is €49m more valuable than Leixoes's (€53m vs €3m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Benfica B vs Leixoes · H/A from BB
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26ALeixoes Vs BB0-0
17/08/25HBB Vs Leixoes1-1

Benfica BBenfica B

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26AFC Porto B Vs BB2-0
09/05/26HBB Vs Academico Viseu0-2
01/05/26ASporting CP B Vs BB0-1
26/04/26HBB Vs Maritimo1-2
22/04/26AOliveirense Vs BB3-0
11/04/26HBB Vs União de Leiria2-2
07/04/26AVizela Vs BB1-2
22/03/26HBB Vs Farense1-0
14/03/26APacos Ferreira Vs BB1-0
09/03/26HBB Vs Feirense3-0

LeixoesLeixoes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HLEI Vs Lusitânia Lourosa2-1
09/05/26AChaves Vs LEI1-2
01/05/26AMaritimo Vs LEI3-2
25/04/26HLEI Vs Portimonense2-0
20/04/26AFC Porto B Vs LEI0-3
12/04/26HLEI Vs Oliveirense2-0
06/04/26ATorreense Vs LEI1-1
22/03/26HLEI Vs Pacos Ferreira3-2
14/03/26AAcademico Viseu Vs LEI3-1
08/03/26HLEI Vs União de Leiria1-4

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Benfica B
Benfica B
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.29
HomeWWDLL1.47
AwayLWLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%41%24%
AVG goals2.562.762.35
Over 2.5 %44%53%35%
Scored1.261.471.06
Conceded1.291.291.29
BTTS59%59%59%
Clean Sheet24%29%18%
Failed to Score21%12%29%
Leixoes
Leixoes
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.47
HomeLWWWW1.47
AwayLDWLW1.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%47%41%
AVG goals2.973.292.65
Over 2.5 %59%65%53%
Scored1.351.411.29
Conceded1.621.881.35
BTTS56%53%59%
Clean Sheet26%29%24%
Failed to Score24%24%24%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026-27 full table · Benfica B and Leixoes highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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