This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Avg scored1.00
Avg conceded1.10
Avg total2.10
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.13
1.33
0.80
1.40
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.00
0.86
2.25
1.25
1.67
0.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.17
1.22
1.00
0.64
1.33
1.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lusitânia Lourosa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
Lusitânia Lourosa goals ↓
FC Porto B goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
7.4%
6.3%
3.1%
1.1%
1
6.8%
13%
8.6%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.5%
8.1%
5.9%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.5%
3.7%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lusitânia Lourosa goals (down), columns = FC Porto B goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Academico Viseu
1.74
Torreense
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
União de Leiria
1.47
Leixoes
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Benfica B
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Lusitânia Lourosa is 0.24 points worse than FC Porto B in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Portimonense
1.15
Vizela
1.15
Feirense
1.09
Penafiel
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Lusitânia Lourosa is 0.09 goals better than FC Porto B in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Academico Viseu
0.97
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Vizela
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Lusitânia Lourosa is 0.29 goals worse than FC Porto B in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Lusitânia Lourosa is 1.3 percentage points better than FC Porto B in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lusitânia Lourosa
For 5.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 16.1 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Porto B
For 3.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.8 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lusitânia Lourosa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
10.4
9.4
11.5
5.9
5.6
6.2
30.1
31.6
28.3
vs Stronger (10)
10.3
9.0
11.0
7.0
6.0
8.0
29.3
28.0
30.0
vs Similar (24)
10.4
9.5
11.8
5.5
5.5
5.4
30.3
32.2
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
43%
67%
85%
82%
88%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
57%
33%
15%
18%
12%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.6
10.2
9.3
6.3
6.2
6.3
29.4
30.2
28.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
9.0
12.0
6.0
5.9
5.8
6.0
27.5
32.0
23.0
vs Weaker (26)
9.8
9.7
9.8
6.4
6.4
6.4
29.8
29.7
29.8
% over line
55%
75%
43%
82%
82%
82%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
45%
25%
57%
18%
18%
18%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Lusitânia Lourosa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.2
Portimonense
10.9
Farense
10.7
Torreense
10.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.2
União de Leiria
10.2
FC Porto B
9.6
Vizela
9.6
Benfica B
9.6
Chaves
9.5
Tondela
9.4
Feirense
9.4
AVS
9.0
Leixoes
8.7
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.9
Feirense
6.3
FC Porto B
6.3
Vizela
6.2
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Sporting CP B
6.0
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
União de Leiria
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Farense
5.7
Penafiel
5.6
Torreense
5.5
Tondela
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
AVS
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
32.7
Benfica B
31.8
Farense
31.1
União de Leiria
30.6
Leixoes
30.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Felgueiras 1932
29.4
FC Porto B
29.4
Vizela
29.4
Portimonense
28.2
Chaves
27.6
Tondela
27.5
Penafiel
27.1
AVS
25.9
Sporting CP B
25.0
Torreense
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.6%
Under 9.5
99.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
84.2%
Under 3.5
15.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
1.3%
Under 21.5
98.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 9.5 corners
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (39)
€76m
BB (38)
€76m
FPB (36)
€57m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
Lusitânia Lourosa's squad is €51m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€6m vs €57m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (14)
€37m
FPB (14)
€19m
BB (13)
€15m
TON (12)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
Lusitânia Lourosa's attack is €18m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€2m vs €19m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SCB (9)
€18m
FPB (7)
€10m
BB (8)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
TOR (6)
€5m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
Lusitânia Lourosa's midfield is €9m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€1m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (17)
€53m
FPB (15)
€27m
SCB (16)
€21m
TON (14)
€15m
TOR (13)
€9m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
Lusitânia Lourosa's defence is €24m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€3m vs €27m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B · H/A from LL
Date
H/A
Game
Score
13/04/26
H
LL Vs FC Porto B
1-1
30/11/25
A
FC Porto B Vs LL
1-2
Lusitânia Lourosa
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
A
Leixoes Vs LL
2-1
09/05/26
H
LL Vs Torreense
1-2
02/05/26
A
Oliveirense Vs LL
0-0
26/04/26
H
LL Vs Pacos Ferreira
2-0
19/04/26
A
Portimonense Vs LL
3-2
13/04/26
H
LL Vs FC Porto B
1-1
05/04/26
A
União de Leiria Vs LL
0-0
21/03/26
H
LL Vs Academico Viseu
0-3
15/03/26
A
Vizela Vs LL
4-3
08/03/26
H
LL Vs Sporting CP B
1-0
FC Porto B
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
15/05/26
H
FPB Vs Benfica B
2-0
09/05/26
A
Sporting CP B Vs FPB
0-1
04/05/26
H
FPB Vs Felgueiras 1932
1-0
26/04/26
A
Penafiel Vs FPB
3-0
20/04/26
H
FPB Vs Leixoes
0-3
13/04/26
A
Lusitânia Lourosa Vs FPB
1-1
06/04/26
H
FPB Vs Chaves
3-0
21/03/26
A
Portimonense Vs FPB
2-1
16/03/26
H
FPB Vs Oliveirense
0-0
08/03/26
A
Maritimo Vs FPB
2-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Lusitânia Lourosa
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWDLL
1.26
Home
WLDWL
1.29
Away
LDLDL
1.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
32%
29%
35%
AVG goals
2.82
2.47
3.18
Over 2.5 %
59%
47%
71%
Scored
1.29
1.12
1.47
Conceded
1.53
1.35
1.71
BTTS
62%
59%
65%
Clean Sheet
24%
24%
24%
Failed to Score
24%
24%
24%
FC Porto B
Portugal: Segunda Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLWWW
1.50
Home
DWLWW
1.88
Away
LLDLW
1.12
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
44%
59%
29%
AVG goals
2.44
2.00
2.88
Over 2.5 %
50%
41%
59%
Scored
1.21
1.18
1.24
Conceded
1.24
0.82
1.65
BTTS
41%
29%
53%
Clean Sheet
38%
59%
18%
Failed to Score
26%
24%
29%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026-27 full table · Lusitânia Lourosa and FC Porto B highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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