PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 07/08/2026
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Vs
84%
10%
5%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Club Brugge KV win
84.2%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Draw
10.5%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.81
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
6.46
Pinnacle
6.39
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.90
Kortrijk win
5.3%
Avg Implied 9.5% · @ 9.76
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
11.40
Marathonbet
11.00
10Bet
11.00
Pinnacle
10.01
Betfair
10.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV

Avg scored 3.20
Avg conceded 0.90
Avg total 4.10
60-6avg 3.2avg 0.9avg total 4.142211261203120502250H·ANDA·ST.A·UNIH·KV A·GENA·ANDH·ST.H·UNIA·KV H·GEN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.671.432.941.312.361.57
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (6)2.171.673.671.000.672.33
vs Weaker (23)2.911.303.001.252.821.36
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KortrijkKortrijk

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.30
40-4avg 1.9avg 1.4avg total 3.311242021223032022022H·CERA·ST.H·OH A·GENH·CERA·ST.H·BEEA·BEEA·CERH·ST.
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.831.271.601.072.07
vs Stronger (23)1.131.961.181.731.082.17
vs Similar (7)1.291.431.501.251.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%2%05%113%218%320%417%526%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
93.2%
@ 1.12+10.0%
Under 1.5
6.8%
@ 5.55-10.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Under
Unibet
5.80
BetVictor
5.75
Pinnacle
5.74
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.44+15.3%
Under 2.5
19.8%
@ 2.66-15.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.70
10Bet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
62.1%
@ 2.14+18.3%
Under 3.5
37.9%
@ 1.68-18.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.20
Betano
2.20
888Sport
2.20
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Under
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Both teams to score
Yes
56.6%
@ 1.83+5.9%
No
43.4%
@ 1.88-5.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
No
Unibet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.88

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
9.2%@ 7.77+3.4%
2-0
8.1%@ 6.72+1.4%
3-1
8.0%@ 9.51+3.3%
4-0
7.9%@ 11.50+4.0%
2-1
7.0%@ 8.13+1.5%
4-1
6.9%@ 14.40+3.7%
5-0
5.4%@ 20.90+3.2%
5-1
4.7%@ 25.50+2.9%
Club Brugge KV goals ↓
Kortrijk goals →
01234
01.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.0%
14.3%4.5%1.8%0.5%0.1%
28.1%7.0%3.1%0.9%0.2%
39.2%8.0%3.5%1.0%0.2%
47.9%6.9%3.0%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Club Brugge KV goals (down), columns = Kortrijk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
Beerschot VA
1.00
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Dender
0.68
Patro Eisden
0.50
Liège
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Beerschot VA
1.50
Patro Eisden
1.50
Anderlecht
1.48
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
Charleroi
1.25
KVC Westerlo
1.25
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Dender
0.87
Liège
0.50
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Dender
1.71
Patro Eisden
2.00
Beerschot VA
2.25
Liège
2.50
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
64%
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
Liège
56%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Dender
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Patro Eisden
29%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV

For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

16058536106248973333510821381681216661510H·GENA·KV H·UNIH·ST.A·ANDA·GENH·KV A·UNIA·ST.H·AND
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

8012112222235323211332423853H·GENA·KV H·UNIH·ST.A·ANDA·GENH·KV A·UNIA·ST.H·AND
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

290411126137759812681212131613111415182012171820252925H·GENA·KV H·UNIH·ST.A·ANDA·GENH·KV A·UNIA·ST.H·AND
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KortrijkKortrijk

For 4.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

1003727919142434544353109109567978H·ST.A·CERA·BEEH·BEEA·ST.H·CERA·GENH·OH A·ST.H·CER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

801532212334511511421823576626H·ST.A·CERA·BEEH·BEEA·ST.H·CERA·GENH·OH A·ST.H·CER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

370581513136176141415141181621105221513281923282919371537H·ST.A·CERA·BEEH·BEEA·ST.H·CERA·GENH·OH A·ST.H·CER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.63.52.94.119.919.020.8
vs Stronger (2)4.54.5-3.53.5-18.018.0-
vs Similar (13)10.711.79.93.83.54.118.817.719.7
vs Weaker (35)10.810.810.83.42.64.120.419.521.3
% over line62%60%64%40%28%52%36%28%44%
% under line38%40%36%60%72%48%64%72%56%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KortrijkKortrijk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.49.74.14.43.821.422.720.0
vs Stronger (37)10.110.89.43.94.23.621.322.919.7
vs Similar (13)9.99.310.74.85.14.321.622.121.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%60%44%62%68%56%38%52%24%
% under line48%40%56%38%32%44%62%48%76%
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Lommel United
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Charleroi
10.5
Cercle Brugge
10.3
KV Mechelen
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Gent
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
Standard Liege
10.0
SK Beveren
9.8
St. Truiden
9.7
Genk
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.5
RAAL La Louvière
9.4
Union St. Gilloise
9.2
Antwerp
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
OH Leuven
4.8
Antwerp
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Cercle Brugge
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Lommel United
3.8
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Gent
3.6
RAAL La Louvière
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
OH Leuven
25.1
Anderlecht
24.9
Zulte Waregem
24.2
Antwerp
23.9
RAAL La Louvière
23.6
Lommel United
23.2
KVC Westerlo
23.0
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.6
Charleroi
21.6
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Gent
21.4
Kortrijk
21.4
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.3%
Under 9.5
43.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
41.7%
Under 21.5
58.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.593.2%1.12
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
+10.0%
Home win84.2%1.24
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+9.6%
Over 2.580.2%1.44
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
+15.3%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (33)
€274m
GEN (59)
€182m
USG (35)
€163m
AND (34)
€126m
ANT (35)
€97m
KW (33)
€66m
GEN (46)
€62m
SL (34)
€57m
ST (25)
€53m
KM (30)
€51m
CB (28)
€44m
CHA (58)
€44m
ZW (32)
€32m
RLL (28)
€22m
SB (26)
€15m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
Club Brugge KV's squad is €261m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€274m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (13)
€130m
GEN (26)
€106m
USG (12)
€59m
AND (11)
€46m
KW (13)
€32m
ST (11)
€29m
GEN (17)
€24m
ANT (11)
€17m
ZW (12)
€16m
SL (10)
€16m
CB (9)
€14m
KM (10)
€12m
CHA (19)
€11m
SB (12)
€8m
RLL (11)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
Club Brugge KV's attack is €124m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€130m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (11)
€69m
CBK (6)
€65m
AND (6)
€38m
ANT (9)
€24m
GEN (12)
€21m
GEN (8)
€20m
CHA (10)
€14m
KW (7)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
CB (7)
€9m
SL (8)
€9m
ZW (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
RLL (6)
€5m
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
Club Brugge KV's midfield is €63m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€65m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (14)
€79m
ANT (15)
€57m
GEN (25)
€56m
AND (17)
€42m
USG (12)
€35m
SL (16)
€32m
KM (13)
€32m
KW (13)
€23m
CB (12)
€22m
CHA (29)
€19m
GEN (17)
€16m
ST (10)
€13m
RLL (11)
€9m
ZW (13)
€8m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
Club Brugge KV's defence is €74m more valuable than Kortrijk's (€79m vs €5m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Club Brugge KV vs Kortrijk · H/A from CBK
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25HCBK Vs Kortrijk1-1
14/09/24AKortrijk Vs CBK0-3
30/01/24HCBK Vs Kortrijk3-3
21/10/23AKortrijk Vs CBK1-0
18/03/23AKortrijk Vs CBK1-0
21/08/22HCBK Vs Kortrijk2-1
30/01/22AKortrijk Vs CBK0-1
15/10/21HCBK Vs Kortrijk2-0

Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HCBK Vs Gent5-0
21/05/26AKV Mechelen Vs CBK2-2
17/05/26HCBK Vs Union St. Gilloise5-0
09/05/26HCBK Vs St. Truiden2-0
03/05/26AAnderlecht Vs CBK1-3
26/04/26AGent Vs CBK0-2
22/04/26HCBK Vs KV Mechelen6-1
19/04/26AUnion St. Gilloise Vs CBK2-1
11/04/26ASt. Truiden Vs CBK1-2
06/04/26HCBK Vs Anderlecht4-2

KortrijkKortrijk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HKOR Vs St. Truiden2-2
03/05/25ACercle Brugge Vs KOR0-2
25/04/25ABeerschot VA Vs KOR2-0
12/04/25HKOR Vs Beerschot VA3-2
06/04/25ASt. Truiden Vs KOR0-3
30/03/25HKOR Vs Cercle Brugge2-2
16/03/25AGent Vs KOR1-2
08/03/25HKOR Vs OH Leuven2-0
01/03/25ASt. Truiden Vs KOR4-2
23/02/25HKOR Vs Cercle Brugge1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.04
HomeWWWWW2.32
AwayWLWWD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%72%56%
AVG goals3.724.283.16
Over 2.5 %74%80%68%
Scored2.342.961.72
Conceded1.381.321.44
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Failed to Score14%8%20%
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.08
HomeDWDWD1.24
AwayLWWLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.842.722.96
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded1.721.521.92
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Failed to Score30%24%36%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 full table · Club Brugge KV and Kortrijk highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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