This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Avg scored0.90
Avg conceded2.40
Avg total3.30
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.67
1.13
1.20
1.20
2.13
vs Stronger (17)
1.06
1.88
1.25
1.12
0.89
2.56
vs Similar (8)
1.00
1.62
1.00
1.40
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.5%
@ 1.26-1.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
@ 3.60+1.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.90
Betano
3.65
Unibet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
1xBet
3.54
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.86-5.1%
Under 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.92+5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.91
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.93
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.3%
@ 3.12-5.7%
Under 3.5
75.7%
@ 1.33+5.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.25
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
49.6%
@ 1.69-5.1%
No
50.4%
@ 2.05+5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
William Hil
1.70
888Sport
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
No
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
888Sport
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 6.10+6.0%
1-0
11.5%@ 7.33+5.4%
2-0
9.8%@ 9.44+5.1%
0-0
9.4%@ 10.65+5.2%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.01+3.8%
0-1
6.6%@ 10.07+2.2%
1-2
5.8%@ 10.87+1.7%
3-0
5.0%@ 17.17+2.5%
Gent goals ↓
KV Mechelen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
6.6%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.8%
9.4%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.0%
4.8%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.0%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = KV Mechelen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
Beerschot VA
1.00
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Dender
0.68
Patro Eisden
0.50
Liège
0.00
Gent is 0.01 points worse than KV Mechelen in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Beerschot VA
1.50
Patro Eisden
1.50
Anderlecht
1.48
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
Charleroi
1.25
KVC Westerlo
1.25
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Dender
0.87
Liège
0.50
Gent is 0.09 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Dender
1.71
Patro Eisden
2.00
Beerschot VA
2.25
Liège
2.50
Gent is 0.13 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
64%
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
Liège
56%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Dender
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Patro Eisden
29%
Gent is 0.1 percentage points worse than KV Mechelen in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 11.8 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.5
3.6
3.8
3.2
21.4
21.9
20.9
vs Stronger (12)
11.7
12.3
11.0
2.8
3.7
1.8
20.2
20.2
20.3
vs Similar (16)
9.0
8.7
9.4
4.8
5.1
4.3
21.2
22.0
20.3
vs Weaker (22)
10.3
9.7
10.8
3.1
2.9
3.4
22.2
22.8
21.6
% over line
54%
42%
67%
42%
50%
33%
46%
50%
42%
% under line
46%
58%
33%
58%
50%
67%
54%
50%
58%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.4
4.0
4.4
3.5
21.6
22.1
21.2
vs Stronger (20)
9.8
9.4
10.2
4.2
5.3
3.2
22.3
22.8
21.8
vs Similar (20)
11.5
11.9
11.1
3.5
3.9
3.2
19.9
21.7
18.1
vs Weaker (10)
9.1
9.0
9.2
4.2
3.8
4.6
23.8
21.4
26.2
% over line
54%
60%
48%
54%
56%
52%
46%
56%
36%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
46%
44%
48%
54%
44%
64%
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Lommel United
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Charleroi
10.5
Cercle Brugge
10.3
KV Mechelen
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Gent
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
Standard Liege
10.0
SK Beveren
9.8
St. Truiden
9.7
Genk
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.5
RAAL La Louvière
9.4
Union St. Gilloise
9.2
Antwerp
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
OH Leuven
4.8
Antwerp
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Cercle Brugge
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Lommel United
3.8
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Gent
3.6
RAAL La Louvière
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
OH Leuven
25.1
Anderlecht
24.9
Zulte Waregem
24.2
Antwerp
23.9
RAAL La Louvière
23.6
Lommel United
23.2
KVC Westerlo
23.0
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.6
Charleroi
21.6
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Gent
21.4
Kortrijk
21.4
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.5%
Under 21.5
50.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
75.7%
1.33
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
+5.7%
Over 1.5
72.5%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
-1.5%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (33)
€274m
GEN (59)
€182m
USG (35)
€163m
AND (34)
€126m
ANT (35)
€97m
KW (33)
€66m
GEN (46)
€62m
SL (34)
€57m
ST (25)
€53m
KM (30)
€51m
CB (28)
€44m
CHA (58)
€44m
ZW (32)
€32m
RLL (28)
€22m
SB (26)
€15m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
Gent's squad is €11m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€62m vs €51m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (13)
€130m
GEN (26)
€106m
USG (12)
€59m
AND (11)
€46m
KW (13)
€32m
ST (11)
€29m
GEN (17)
€24m
ANT (11)
€17m
ZW (12)
€16m
SL (10)
€16m
CB (9)
€14m
KM (10)
€12m
CHA (19)
€11m
SB (12)
€8m
RLL (11)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
Gent's attack is €12m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€24m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (11)
€69m
CBK (6)
€65m
AND (6)
€38m
ANT (9)
€24m
GEN (12)
€21m
GEN (8)
€20m
CHA (10)
€14m
KW (7)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
CB (7)
€9m
SL (8)
€9m
ZW (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
RLL (6)
€5m
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
Gent's midfield is €14m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€21m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (14)
€79m
ANT (15)
€57m
GEN (25)
€56m
AND (17)
€42m
USG (12)
€35m
SL (16)
€32m
KM (13)
€32m
KW (13)
€23m
CB (12)
€22m
CHA (29)
€19m
GEN (17)
€16m
ST (10)
€13m
RLL (11)
€9m
ZW (13)
€8m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
Gent's defence is €15m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€16m vs €32m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Gent vs KV Mechelen · H/A from GEN
Date
H/A
Game
Score
03/05/26
A
KV Mechelen Vs GEN
1-0
06/04/26
H
GEN Vs KV Mechelen
1-1
08/03/26
H
GEN Vs KV Mechelen
3-1
16/08/25
A
KV Mechelen Vs GEN
1-1
07/02/25
A
KV Mechelen Vs GEN
3-3
15/09/24
H
GEN Vs KV Mechelen
2-0
04/05/24
A
KV Mechelen Vs GEN
2-4
20/04/24
H
GEN Vs KV Mechelen
3-1
Gent
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/05/26
H
GEN Vs Genk
0-0
24/05/26
A
Club Brugge KV Vs GEN
5-0
21/05/26
H
GEN Vs Union St. Gilloise
0-0
16/05/26
A
St. Truiden Vs GEN
1-1
10/05/26
H
GEN Vs Anderlecht
1-1
03/05/26
A
KV Mechelen Vs GEN
1-0
26/04/26
H
GEN Vs Club Brugge KV
0-2
22/04/26
A
Union St. Gilloise Vs GEN
0-0
19/04/26
H
GEN Vs St. Truiden
0-0
12/04/26
A
Anderlecht Vs GEN
3-1
KV Mechelen
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/05/26
A
St. Truiden Vs KM
3-0
21/05/26
H
KM Vs Club Brugge KV
2-2
17/05/26
A
Anderlecht Vs KM
2-2
10/05/26
A
Union St. Gilloise Vs KM
3-0
03/05/26
H
KM Vs Gent
1-0
26/04/26
H
KM Vs St. Truiden
1-4
22/04/26
A
Club Brugge KV Vs KM
6-1
18/04/26
H
KM Vs Anderlecht
1-2
12/04/26
H
KM Vs Union St. Gilloise
0-1
06/04/26
A
Gent Vs KM
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Gent
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DDDLD
1.10
Home
DLDDD
1.19
Away
LDLDL
1.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
31%
25%
AVG goals
2.84
2.58
3.12
Over 2.5 %
54%
46%
62%
Scored
1.14
1.15
1.12
Conceded
1.70
1.42
2.00
BTTS
50%
42%
58%
Clean Sheet
24%
31%
17%
Failed to Score
36%
38%
33%
KV Mechelen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLDDL
1.26
Home
LLLWD
1.36
Away
DLLDL
1.16
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
30%
32%
28%
AVG goals
2.86
2.60
3.12
Over 2.5 %
52%
40%
64%
Scored
1.30
1.32
1.28
Conceded
1.56
1.28
1.84
BTTS
66%
68%
64%
Clean Sheet
20%
24%
16%
Failed to Score
18%
16%
20%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 full table · Gent and KV Mechelen highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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