PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Vs
59%
22%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anderlecht win
59.5%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.75
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.74
Draw
22.4%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.53
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.66
Betano
3.60
Pinnacle
3.56
10Bet
3.55
RAAL La Louvière win
18.1%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.41
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
4.65
1xBet
4.56
Betano
4.55
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.35

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Avg scored 1.60
Avg conceded 2.30
Avg total 3.90
50-5avg 1.6avg 2.3avg total 3.924312102131311223115A·CLUH·GENA·KV A·ST.H·UNIH·CLUA·GENH·KV H·ST.A·UNI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.771.791.291.192.19
vs Stronger (7)1.292.431.001.501.673.67
vs Similar (5)1.602.003.001.001.252.25
vs Weaker (18)1.501.442.001.221.001.67
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 2.00
Avg total 3.40
50-5avg 1.4avg 2.0avg total 3.411003155010302041241A·STAH·ANTA·CERH·GENH·DENA·CERH·ZULA·ZULA·DENH·CER
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.401.001.201.071.60
vs Stronger (24)1.121.501.171.251.081.75
vs Similar (6)0.671.000.331.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.7%
@ 1.31+12.3%
Under 1.5
16.3%
@ 3.27-12.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.49
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.18
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.9%
@ 2.02+14.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
@ 1.79-14.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.14
SBO
2.11
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.6%
@ 3.48+12.8%
Under 3.5
60.4%
@ 1.28-12.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Pinnacle
3.31
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.89+10.1%
No
40.7%
@ 1.82-10.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Unibet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
No
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.80

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 6.38+3.5%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.72+4.2%
2-0
9.0%@ 7.36+3.0%
1-0
7.7%@ 5.88+0.2%
3-1
6.9%@ 13.96+3.8%
3-0
6.3%@ 12.84+2.9%
2-2
5.4%@ 15.65+2.6%
1-2
5.2%@ 13.51+1.9%
Anderlecht goals ↓
RAAL La Louvière goals →
01234
05.0%3.5%2.5%0.9%0.2%
17.7%10%5.2%1.9%0.5%
29.0%9.9%5.4%2.0%0.5%
36.3%6.9%3.8%1.4%0.4%
43.3%3.6%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anderlecht goals (down), columns = RAAL La Louvière goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
Beerschot VA
1.00
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Dender
0.68
Patro Eisden
0.50
Liège
0.00
Anderlecht is 0.43 points better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Beerschot VA
1.50
Patro Eisden
1.50
Anderlecht
1.48
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
Charleroi
1.25
KVC Westerlo
1.25
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Dender
0.87
Liège
0.50
Anderlecht is 0.50 goals better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Dender
1.71
Patro Eisden
2.00
Beerschot VA
2.25
Liège
2.50
Anderlecht is 0.16 goals worse than RAAL La Louvière in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
64%
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
Liège
56%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Dender
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Patro Eisden
29%
Anderlecht is 13.9 percentage points better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of average possession (53% vs 39%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AnderlechtAnderlecht

For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1701489222484437435412851746127118510A·UNIH·ST.H·KV A·GENH·CLUH·UNIA·ST.A·KV H·GENA·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

10032224542233264121254494621033A·UNIH·ST.H·KV A·GENH·CLUH·UNIA·ST.A·KV H·GENA·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

310141011121615141189168981910129141124233125172417292125A·UNIH·ST.H·KV A·GENH·CLUH·UNIA·ST.A·KV H·GENA·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière

For 6.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1406554657159431037573341191181471312107H·CERA·DENA·ZULH·ZULA·CERH·DENH·GENA·CERH·ANTA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

7012121121134212214313322273454H·CERA·DENA·ZULH·ZULA·CERH·DENH·GENA·CERH·ANTA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

3105111020151320118689109118921141216302831141719193026H·CERA·DENA·ZULH·ZULA·CERH·DENH·GENA·CERH·ANTA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AnderlechtAnderlecht

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.210.45.15.35.024.824.824.8
vs Stronger (10)9.08.79.55.86.25.222.722.223.5
vs Similar (12)9.88.410.74.95.24.726.024.427.1
vs Weaker (28)11.011.510.55.05.05.025.026.123.9
% over line68%71%65%70%80%60%81%83%78%
% under line32%29%35%30%20%40%19%17%22%
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)9.49.59.33.53.33.723.623.024.3
vs Stronger (30)9.69.39.93.33.13.523.823.923.6
vs Similar (6)8.310.76.04.54.34.723.018.327.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%50%50%47%44%50%67%61%72%
% under line50%50%50%53%56%50%33%39%28%
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Lommel United
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.8
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Charleroi
10.5
Cercle Brugge
10.3
KV Mechelen
10.3
Anderlecht
10.3
Gent
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
Standard Liege
10.0
SK Beveren
9.8
St. Truiden
9.7
Genk
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.5
RAAL La Louvière
9.4
Union St. Gilloise
9.2
Antwerp
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
OH Leuven
4.8
Antwerp
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Cercle Brugge
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
SK Beveren
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
KVC Westerlo
3.9
Lommel United
3.8
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Gent
3.6
RAAL La Louvière
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
OH Leuven
25.1
Anderlecht
24.9
Zulte Waregem
24.2
Antwerp
23.9
RAAL La Louvière
23.6
Lommel United
23.2
KVC Westerlo
23.0
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.6
Charleroi
21.6
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Gent
21.4
Kortrijk
21.4
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.8%
Under 21.5
31.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.583.7%1.31
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+12.3%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (33)
€274m
GEN (59)
€182m
USG (35)
€163m
AND (34)
€126m
ANT (35)
€97m
KW (33)
€66m
GEN (46)
€62m
SL (34)
€57m
ST (25)
€53m
KM (30)
€51m
CB (28)
€44m
CHA (58)
€44m
ZW (32)
€32m
RLL (28)
€22m
SB (26)
€15m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
Anderlecht's squad is €105m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€126m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (13)
€130m
GEN (26)
€106m
USG (12)
€59m
AND (11)
€46m
KW (13)
€32m
ST (11)
€29m
GEN (17)
€24m
ANT (11)
€17m
ZW (12)
€16m
SL (10)
€16m
CB (9)
€14m
KM (10)
€12m
CHA (19)
€11m
SB (12)
€8m
RLL (11)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
Anderlecht's attack is €38m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€46m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (11)
€69m
CBK (6)
€65m
AND (6)
€38m
ANT (9)
€24m
GEN (12)
€21m
GEN (8)
€20m
CHA (10)
€14m
KW (7)
€11m
ST (4)
€10m
CB (7)
€9m
SL (8)
€9m
ZW (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
RLL (6)
€5m
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
Anderlecht's midfield is €34m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€38m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (14)
€79m
ANT (15)
€57m
GEN (25)
€56m
AND (17)
€42m
USG (12)
€35m
SL (16)
€32m
KM (13)
€32m
KW (13)
€23m
CB (12)
€22m
CHA (29)
€19m
GEN (17)
€16m
ST (10)
€13m
RLL (11)
€9m
ZW (13)
€8m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
Anderlecht's defence is €34m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€42m vs €9m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière · H/A from AND
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26HAND Vs RAAL La Louvière0-0
23/11/25ARAAL La Louvière Vs AND0-1

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26AUnion St. Gilloise Vs AND5-1
21/05/26HAND Vs St. Truiden3-1
17/05/26HAND Vs KV Mechelen2-2
10/05/26AGent Vs AND1-1
03/05/26HAND Vs Club Brugge KV1-3
26/04/26HAND Vs Union St. Gilloise1-3
23/04/26ASt. Truiden Vs AND2-0
18/04/26AKV Mechelen Vs AND1-2
12/04/26HAND Vs Gent3-1
06/04/26AClub Brugge KV Vs AND4-2

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HRLL Vs Cercle Brugge4-1
03/05/26ADender Vs RLL2-1
26/04/26AZulte Waregem Vs RLL4-0
19/04/26HRLL Vs Zulte Waregem0-2
11/04/26ACercle Brugge Vs RLL3-0
06/04/26HRLL Vs Dender0-1
22/03/26HRLL Vs Genk5-5
15/03/26ACercle Brugge Vs RLL1-3
06/03/26HRLL Vs Antwerp0-0
27/02/26AStandard Liege Vs RLL1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.32
HomeWLLDW1.68
AwayLWLDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.922.803.04
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Scored1.421.641.20
Conceded1.501.161.84
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Failed to Score24%16%32%
RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.94
HomeDDLLW1.06
AwayDWLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%22%17%
AVG goals2.362.002.72
Over 2.5 %47%28%67%
Scored0.970.891.06
Conceded1.391.111.67
BTTS50%33%67%
Clean Sheet28%39%17%
Failed to Score44%56%33%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026-27 full table · Anderlecht and RAAL La Louvière highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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