PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
Bandırmaspor
Bandırmaspor
Vs
45%
34%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
İstanbulspor
İstanbulspor
Turkey: 1. Lig
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bandırmaspor win
44.6%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.15
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
William Hil
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
888Sport
2.20
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Draw
34.1%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.14
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
İstanbulspor win
21.3%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.25
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
3.32
888Sport
3.25
Betano
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.25

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BandırmasporBandırmaspor

Avg scored 0.70
Avg conceded 0.20
Avg total 0.90
20-2avg 0.7avg 0.2avg total 0.910110000100000201110H·İSTA·ESEH·IĞDA·BOLA·ÇORH·SARA·BODH·AMEA·ERZH·SIV
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.801.330.471.001.13
vs Stronger (6)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.940.881.250.380.621.38
vs Weaker (8)1.750.881.751.001.750.75
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (İstanbulspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor

Avg scored 2.00
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.40
80-8avg 2.0avg 1.4avg total 3.401041101220131313181A·BANH·AMEA·PENH·BODA·SAKH·ERZA·SIVH·SARA·VANH·ADA
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.531.641.711.501.38
vs Stronger (18)1.061.891.111.891.001.89
vs Similar (10)1.501.001.251.501.670.67
vs Weaker (2)6.501.008.001.005.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%37%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.31-14.9%
Under 1.5
44.4%
@ 3.11+14.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
888Sport
3.10
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.5%
@ 2.00-19.1%
Under 2.5
72.5%
@ 1.74+19.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
888Sport
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
888Sport
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
11.2%
@ 3.45-15.5%
Under 3.5
88.8%
@ 1.26+15.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
3.60
Pinnacle
3.54
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
35.0%
@ 1.78-17.0%
No
65.0%
@ 1.93+17.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
William Hil
1.80
888Sport
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
No
888Sport
1.95
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.5%@ 8.42+12.3%
1-0
17.0%@ 6.64+10.5%
1-1
13.9%@ 5.69+6.3%
2-0
10.3%@ 9.30+5.6%
0-1
10.0%@ 8.56+4.9%
2-1
7.1%@ 7.78+1.6%
1-2
4.4%@ 9.90+0.0%
0-2
3.9%@ 15.05+1.0%
Bandırmaspor goals ↓
İstanbulspor goals →
01234
017%10.0%3.9%0.9%0.2%
117%14%4.4%1.0%0.2%
210%7.1%2.5%0.6%0.1%
33.9%2.7%0.9%0.2%0.0%
41.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bandırmaspor goals (down), columns = İstanbulspor goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Erzurumspor FK
2.13
Amed
1.95
Çorum FK
1.90
Esenler Erokspor
1.90
Bodrum FK
1.71
Pendikspor
1.62
Bandırmaspor
1.58
Keçiörengücü
1.54
Manisa F.K.
1.45
İstanbulspor
1.37
Sarıyer
1.37
Sivasspor
1.35
Iğdır FK
1.32
Vanspor FK
1.29
Boluspor
1.26
Ümraniyespor
1.21
Serik Spor
1.03
Sakaryaspor
0.92
Hatayspor
0.37
Adana Demirspor
0.16
Bandırmaspor is 0.21 points better than İstanbulspor in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Erzurumspor FK
2.16
Amed
2.13
Esenler Erokspor
2.08
Keçiörengücü
1.87
Bodrum FK
1.80
Boluspor
1.61
Çorum FK
1.60
İstanbulspor
1.50
Manisa F.K.
1.50
Pendikspor
1.49
Iğdır FK
1.37
Vanspor FK
1.37
Bandırmaspor
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.24
Sakaryaspor
1.22
Sivasspor
1.19
Sarıyer
1.16
Serik Spor
1.16
Hatayspor
0.87
Adana Demirspor
0.58
Bandırmaspor is 0.26 goals worse than İstanbulspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Erzurumspor FK
0.71
Bandırmaspor
0.89
Pendikspor
0.90
Esenler Erokspor
0.95
Çorum FK
0.95
Bodrum FK
0.98
Amed
1.11
Keçiörengücü
1.13
Sarıyer
1.16
Sivasspor
1.16
Vanspor FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.34
Iğdır FK
1.42
İstanbulspor
1.45
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Boluspor
1.50
Sakaryaspor
1.86
Serik Spor
1.97
Hatayspor
2.68
Adana Demirspor
4.45
Bandırmaspor is 0.55 goals better than İstanbulspor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.45).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Çorum FK
59%
Esenler Erokspor
58%
Boluspor
57%
Iğdır FK
56%
Erzurumspor FK
56%
Vanspor FK
55%
Amed
53%
Pendikspor
52%
Sivasspor
50%
Bodrum FK
49%
İstanbulspor
48%
Sarıyer
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Ümraniyespor
47%
Sakaryaspor
47%
Hatayspor
46%
Manisa F.K.
46%
Bandırmaspor
45%
Serik Spor
41%
Adana Demirspor
38%
Bandırmaspor is 2.8 percentage points worse than İstanbulspor in terms of average possession (45% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BandırmasporBandırmaspor

For 3.4 · Against 7.8 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

17058542104523213785817221391295151513174H·SIVA·ERZH·AMEA·BODH·SARA·ÇORA·BOLH·IĞDA·ESEH·İST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

60121133111123113123223262252454H·SIVA·ERZH·AMEA·BODH·SARA·ÇORA·BOLH·IĞDA·ESEH·İST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

300101349161415457410119107815171223133019121420172329H·SIVA·ERZH·AMEA·BODH·SARA·ÇORA·BOLH·IĞDA·ESEH·İST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor

For 4.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1907138512171322102484722811619441212114H·ADAA·VANH·SARA·SIVH·ERZA·SAKH·BODA·PENH·AMEA·BAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

701231221325335111223441376624H·ADAA·VANH·SARA·SIVH·ERZA·SAKH·BODA·PENH·AMEA·BAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

33041218157121010131110171082013614121716331920242718332029H·ADAA·VANH·SARA·SIVH·ERZA·SAKH·BODA·PENH·AMEA·BAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BandırmasporBandırmaspor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)9.38.79.94.54.74.322.122.721.4
vs Stronger (6)11.710.013.35.57.33.721.725.018.3
vs Similar (20)9.68.810.44.24.04.423.123.422.8
vs Weaker (12)7.67.87.34.44.54.320.620.520.7
% over line47%47%47%61%63%58%55%63%47%
% under line53%53%53%39%37%42%45%37%53%
This opponent (İstanbulspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.69.44.54.14.922.521.923.2
vs Stronger (30)9.08.79.34.33.94.822.121.522.7
vs Similar (17)8.88.09.44.94.65.223.523.323.7
vs Weaker (3)10.010.010.04.04.04.021.320.024.0
% over line46%44%48%62%60%64%58%52%64%
% under line54%56%52%38%40%36%42%48%36%
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.1
Sivasspor
9.5
Fatih Karagümrük
9.5
Bandırmaspor
9.3
Antalyaspor
9.3
Ümraniyespor
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Bodrum FK
9.0
İstanbulspor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Manisa F.K.
8.8
Esenler Erokspor
8.6
Pendikspor
8.6
Vanspor FK
8.4
Boluspor
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.1
Sarıyer
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Pendikspor
5.9
Iğdır FK
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.2
Antalyaspor
5.2
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
4.8
Bursaspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Ümraniyespor
4.5
Bandırmaspor
4.5
Kayserispor
4.3
Fatih Karagümrük
4.1
Bodrum FK
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bursaspor
30.1
Vanspor FK
28.3
Antalyaspor
27.3
Pendikspor
27.1
Fatih Karagümrük
27.0
Boluspor
26.3
Kayserispor
25.3
Bodrum FK
24.2
Ümraniyespor
23.8
Sivasspor
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Sarıyer
23.3
Esenler Erokspor
23.2
Iğdır FK
22.8
İstanbulspor
22.5
Bandırmaspor
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.0%
Under 3.5
30.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.3%
Under 21.5
36.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.588.8%1.26
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+15.5%
Under 2.572.5%1.74
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
888Sport
1.73
1xBet
1.73
+19.1%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (34)
€27m
ANT (29)
€22m
FK (32)
€21m
BF (35)
€18m
IF (38)
€14m
MF (27)
€12m
SIV (25)
€11m
İST (37)
€11m
VF (31)
€10m
EE (25)
€10m
PEN (23)
€9m
BAN (29)
€9m
ÜMR (26)
€8m
BOL (28)
€8m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
Bandırmaspor's squad is €2m less valuable than İstanbulspor's (€9m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (13)
€12m
FK (13)
€11m
ANT (11)
€9m
BF (14)
€9m
SIV (7)
€5m
VF (13)
€5m
IF (14)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (12)
€4m
EE (9)
€4m
BAN (10)
€4m
ÜMR (6)
€3m
PEN (7)
€3m
BOL (8)
€3m
KEÇ (8)
€2m
Bandırmaspor and İstanbulspor have a similar attack value (both €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (7)
€5m
ANT (5)
€5m
IF (9)
€4m
FK (6)
€4m
BF (8)
€3m
VF (6)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (6)
€2m
PEN (6)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
BOL (8)
€2m
İST (8)
€2m
BAN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (6)
€1m
EE (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor and İstanbulspor have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAY (14)
€9m
ANT (13)
€8m
FK (13)
€6m
BF (13)
€6m
IF (15)
€5m
İST (17)
€5m
MF (10)
€5m
EE (11)
€5m
SIV (12)
€4m
BOL (12)
€3m
PEN (10)
€3m
ÜMR (13)
€3m
BAN (14)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
VF (12)
€2m
Bandırmaspor's defence is €2m less valuable than İstanbulspor's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor · H/A from BAN
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HBAN Vs İstanbulspor1-0
20/10/25Aİstanbulspor Vs BAN1-1

BandırmasporBandırmaspor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HBAN Vs Sivasspor1-0
26/04/26AErzurumspor FK Vs BAN1-1
19/04/26HBAN Vs Amed2-0
11/04/26ABodrum FK Vs BAN0-0
07/04/26HBAN Vs Sarıyer0-0
03/04/26AÇorum FK Vs BAN0-1
21/03/26ABoluspor Vs BAN0-0
16/03/26HBAN Vs Iğdır FK0-0
12/03/26AEsenler Erokspor Vs BAN1-1
07/03/26HBAN Vs İstanbulspor1-0

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26HİST Vs Adana Demirspor8-1
25/04/26AVanspor FK Vs İST1-3
19/04/26HİST Vs Sarıyer3-1
13/04/26ASivasspor Vs İST1-3
09/04/26HİST Vs Erzurumspor FK0-1
04/04/26ASakaryaspor Vs İST2-2
22/03/26HİST Vs Bodrum FK0-1
14/03/26APendikspor Vs İST1-1
11/03/26HİST Vs Amed0-4
07/03/26ABandırmaspor Vs İST1-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Bandırmaspor
Bandırmaspor
Turkey: 1. Lig
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.58
HomeWDDWW2.00
AwayDDWDD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%26%
AVG goals2.132.112.16
Over 2.5 %34%32%37%
Scored1.241.421.05
Conceded0.890.681.11
BTTS39%26%53%
Clean Sheet45%63%26%
Failed to Score29%26%32%
İstanbulspor
İstanbulspor
Turkey: 1. Lig
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.12
HomeLLLWW1.00
AwayLDDWW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals3.003.042.96
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Scored1.281.401.16
Conceded1.721.641.80
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Failed to Score40%32%48%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026-27 full table · Bandırmaspor and İstanbulspor highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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