This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Avg scored0.90
Avg conceded2.10
Avg total3.00
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.53
1.06
1.50
0.93
1.57
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
2.00
1.14
2.00
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
1.36
0.86
1.43
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.3%
@ 1.18-6.9%
Under 1.5
27.7%
@ 4.50+6.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.78
Superbet
4.60
BetVictor
4.60
888Sport
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.62-12.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
@ 2.26+12.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.65
SBO
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
Unibet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.27
SBO
2.26
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
@ 2.51-12.9%
Under 3.5
75.8%
@ 1.49+12.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.5%
@ 1.63-15.3%
No
58.5%
@ 2.14+15.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Unibet
2.16
888Sport
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 â
14.1%@ 7.92+8.4%
2-0
14.0%@ 8.34+8.5%
1-1
10.9%@ 7.35+4.8%
0-0
9.2%@ 13.27+5.8%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.52+3.2%
3-0
8.6%@ 12.39+4.9%
3-1
5.6%@ 11.21+1.6%
0-1
4.4%@ 14.58+1.3%
FC Nordsjaelland goals ↓
Randers FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
4.4%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
1
14%
11%
3.3%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
9.2%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
8.6%
5.6%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
4.0%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals (down), columns = Randers FC goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
FC Midtjylland
3.00
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Brondby
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Viborg
1.50
Aarhus
1.00
Silkeborg
0.50
Lyngby
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
AC Horsens
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.00
Odense
0.00
FC Nordsjaelland is 1.50 points better than Randers FC in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.50).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
FC Midtjylland
2.50
Sonderjyske
2.00
Lyngby
2.00
Aarhus
1.50
Brondby
1.00
Silkeborg
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.00
Randers FC
0.50
Viborg
0.50
Odense
0.00
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.50 goals better than Randers FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Brondby
0.50
Viborg
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Randers FC
1.00
Odense
1.00
Aarhus
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
FC Copenhagen
1.50
Silkeborg
2.00
Lyngby
2.50
Sonderjyske
3.00
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.50 goals better than Randers FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
68%
FC Midtjylland
58%
Odense
57%
FC Copenhagen
57%
Lyngby
52%
Brondby
50%
Silkeborg
49%
Aarhus
46%
Viborg
44%
Sonderjyske
42%
Randers FC
40%
AC Horsens
36%
FC Nordsjaelland is 29.0 percentage points better than Randers FC in terms of average possession (68% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland
For 5.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
For 5.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
8.6
8.6
8.6
3.8
3.8
3.8
21.3
19.4
23.1
vs Stronger (4)
8.2
9.5
7.0
4.8
5.0
4.5
22.8
20.5
25.0
vs Similar (10)
8.9
8.2
9.6
4.0
3.6
4.4
22.2
19.4
25.0
vs Weaker (19)
8.5
8.6
8.4
3.4
3.6
3.3
20.6
19.2
21.8
% over line
36%
38%
35%
48%
50%
47%
52%
31%
71%
% under line
64%
62%
65%
52%
50%
53%
48%
69%
29%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.2
2.8
3.6
21.7
20.5
23.1
vs Stronger (14)
8.9
7.7
10.0
3.6
3.4
3.9
23.4
23.3
23.6
vs Similar (15)
11.3
11.8
10.9
2.9
2.4
3.6
19.9
18.0
22.1
vs Weaker (4)
8.5
9.0
8.0
2.8
2.5
3.0
22.5
20.5
24.5
% over line
48%
41%
56%
42%
29%
56%
55%
35%
75%
% under line
52%
59%
44%
58%
71%
44%
45%
65%
25%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AC Horsens
17.0
Odense
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Silkeborg
9.7
Aarhus
9.4
Viborg
9.3
Brondby
9.2
FC Nordsjaelland
8.6
Lyngby
8.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
Lyngby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Aarhus
3.9
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.6
Viborg
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.1
Silkeborg
2.8
AC Horsens
2.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
30.5
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Brondby
25.3
Aarhus
24.9
Viborg
24.6
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Sonderjyske
22.1
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Silkeborg
18.7
AC Horsens
15.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.6%
@ 1.90+0.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
@ 1.83-0.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.87
Unibet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.0%
@ 1.80-7.2%
Under 3.5
56.0%
@ 1.89+7.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.75
Under
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
45.1%
Under 21.5
54.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
ðĨ 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
75.8%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
+12.9%
Over 1.5
72.3%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
-6.9%
ð° 6. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
FC Nordsjaelland's squad is €53m more valuable than Randers FC's (€80m vs €27m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €15m more valuable than Randers FC's (€31m vs €16m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €15m more valuable than Randers FC's (€18m vs €4m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €23m more valuable than Randers FC's (€30m vs €7m).
ðĪ 7. Games History
Head-to-head
FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC · H/A from FN
Date
H/A
Game
Score
19/10/25
H
FN Vs Randers FC
1-0
22/09/25
A
Randers FC Vs FN
3-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
26/07/26
A
AC Horsens Vs FN
1-1
17/05/26
A
Sonderjyske Vs FN
1-4
10/05/26
H
FN Vs FC Midtjylland
0-0
01/05/26
A
Brondby Vs FN
1-1
26/04/26
A
Viborg Vs FN
1-0
23/04/26
H
FN Vs Aarhus
1-1
19/04/26
H
FN Vs Viborg
2-1
10/04/26
A
Aarhus Vs FN
1-1
07/04/26
H
FN Vs Brondby
2-1
22/03/26
H
FN Vs Sonderjyske
2-0
Randers FC
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
27/07/26
H
RF Vs Silkeborg
1-1
17/05/26
A
FC Copenhagen Vs RF
5-0
11/05/26
H
RF Vs Odense
2-2
03/05/26
H
RF Vs Vejle
1-0
26/04/26
A
Silkeborg Vs RF
2-0
23/04/26
H
RF Vs FC Fredericia
2-2
19/04/26
A
Odense Vs RF
3-1
12/04/26
H
RF Vs FC Copenhagen
1-2
06/04/26
A
Vejle Vs RF
1-1
22/03/26
H
RF Vs Silkeborg
0-3
ð 8. Overall Statistics
FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LDDWD
1.55
Home
WWWDD
1.88
Away
DLDWD
1.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
45%
56%
35%
AVG goals
3.00
2.88
3.12
Over 2.5 %
58%
56%
59%
Scored
1.58
1.81
1.35
Conceded
1.42
1.06
1.76
BTTS
55%
50%
59%
Clean Sheet
27%
44%
12%
Failed to Score
21%
12%
29%
Randers FC
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWDLD
1.09
Home
LDWDD
1.18
Away
WDLLL
1.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
27%
29%
25%
AVG goals
2.48
2.47
2.50
Over 2.5 %
52%
53%
50%
Scored
1.03
1.06
1.00
Conceded
1.45
1.41
1.50
BTTS
48%
47%
50%
Clean Sheet
30%
35%
25%
Failed to Score
33%
29%
38%
ð 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value âŽm
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
FC Copenhagen
2
100%
3.0
6
3
+3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
23.5
50%
115
23
59
33
3.0
1.5
57%
2
FC Midtjylland
2
100%
3.0
5
3
+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.0
100%
120
62
27
32
2.5
1.5
58%
3
Brondby
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
5.5
100%
31.5
100%
54
18
11
25
1.0
0.5
50%
4
FC Nordsjaelland
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
16.0
100%
3.0
50%
16.0
0%
80
31
18
30
1.0
0.5
68%
5
Viborg
2
50%
1.5
1
1
+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
27.0
100%
30
8
9
13
0.5
0.5
44%
6
Aarhus
2
0%
1.0
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
34.0
100%
37
13
14
10
1.5
1.5
46%
7
Lyngby
2
0%
0.5
4
5
-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
30.5
100%
0
0
0
0
2.0
2.5
52%
8
AC Horsens
2
0%
0.5
2
3
-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.5
36%
9
Randers FC
2
0%
0.5
1
2
-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
2.5
50%
17.0
0%
27
16
4
7
0.5
1.0
40%
10
Silkeborg
2
0%
0.5
2
4
-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
100%
2.5
50%
18.0
0%
26
9
10
8
1.0
2.0
49%
11
Sonderjyske
1
0%
0.0
2
3
-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
3.0
0%
24.0
100%
20
9
5
6
2.0
3.0
42%
12
Odense
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
17.0
100%
3.0
0%
26.0
100%
18
5
4
8
0.0
1.0
57%
Denmark: Superliga 2026-27 full table · FC Nordsjaelland and Randers FC highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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