PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 02/08/2026
Final 1-0
Brondby
Brondby
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Viborg
Viborg
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Brondby win✓ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.89
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
1.95
SBO
1.93
Dafabet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.69
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
3.90
Betano
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Viborg win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.70
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
Dafabet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.75

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BrondbyBrondby

Avg scored 1.50
Avg conceded 1.60
Avg total 3.10
60-6avg 1.5avg 1.6avg total 3.112126010031102321311A·FC H·FC H·SONA·VIBA·SONH·FC H·AARA·FC H·FC A·AAR
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.671.531.001.07
vs Stronger (13)1.081.691.432.430.670.83
vs Similar (6)0.830.831.000.670.671.00
vs Weaker (11)1.911.092.400.801.501.33
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ViborgViborg

Avg scored 1.20
Avg conceded 1.60
Avg total 2.80
60-6avg 1.2avg 1.6avg total 2.811122012011033012610H·FC H·AARA·SONA·FC H·BROH·FC A·FC H·SONA·AARH·ODE
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.501.561.311.431.71
vs Stronger (13)1.312.151.501.501.142.71
vs Similar (11)1.090.820.861.001.500.50
vs Weaker (6)2.671.333.331.672.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.6%
@ 1.19+6.1%
Under 1.5
15.4%
@ 4.35-6.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.66
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
BetVictor
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.65+6.2%
Under 2.5
36.9%
@ 2.17-6.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.70
SBO
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.9%
@ 2.63+5.1%
Under 3.5
59.1%
@ 1.47-5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.65
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.1%
@ 1.58+6.4%
No
34.9%
@ 2.25-6.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
No
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.26
William Hil
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Superbet
2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 6.77+4.5%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.84+3.2%
1-2
7.5%@ 11.57+3.6%
2-2
6.7%@ 11.66+2.8%
2-0
6.1%@ 9.85+1.5%
1-0 ✓
5.8%@ 8.44+0.5%
3-1
5.3%@ 12.98+1.8%
0-0
4.9%@ 12.68+1.3%
Brondby goals ↓
Viborg goals →
01234
04.9%4.7%4.3%2.1%0.8%
15.8%11%7.5%3.7%1.4%
26.1%9.0%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.6%2.3%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brondby goals (down), columns = Viborg goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Midtjylland
3.00
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Brondby
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Viborg
1.50
Aarhus
1.00
Silkeborg
0.50
Lyngby
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
AC Horsens
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.00
Odense
0.00
Brondby is 0.50 points better than Viborg in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
FC Midtjylland
2.50
Sonderjyske
2.00
Lyngby
2.00
Aarhus
1.50
Brondby
1.00
Silkeborg
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.00
Randers FC
0.50
Viborg
0.50
Odense
0.00
Brondby is 0.50 goals better than Viborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brondby
0.50
Viborg
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Randers FC
1.00
Odense
1.00
Aarhus
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
FC Copenhagen
1.50
Silkeborg
2.00
Lyngby
2.50
Sonderjyske
3.00
Brondby and Viborg are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
68%
FC Midtjylland
58%
Odense
57%
FC Copenhagen
57%
Lyngby
52%
Brondby
50%
Silkeborg
49%
Aarhus
46%
Viborg
44%
Sonderjyske
42%
Randers FC
40%
AC Horsens
36%
Brondby is 6.5 percentage points better than Viborg in terms of average possession (50% vs 44%).

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BrondbyBrondby

For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1706108915545264345539651617697107101211A·AARH·FC A·FC H·AARH·FC A·SONA·VIBH·SONH·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

1105129234232125113352261156536484A·AARH·FC A·FC H·AARH·FC A·SONA·VIBH·SONH·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 13.3 · Total 29.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3702312221510211412221212148717142015121135373126342615313523A·AARH·FC A·FC H·AARH·FC A·SONA·VIBH·SONH·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ViborgViborg

For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1707102288654346464256174881171010611H·ODEA·AARH·SONA·FC H·FC H·BROA·FC A·SONH·AARH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6021221122215323221223413465534H·ODEA·AARH·SONA·FC H·FC H·BROA·FC A·SONH·AARH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

3301511181161412176167810914131012132026292029221519272233H·ODEA·AARH·SONA·FC H·FC H·BROA·FC A·SONH·AARH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrondbyBrondby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)9.28.89.74.64.84.525.326.823.8
vs Stronger (14)9.68.710.45.96.45.429.630.029.3
vs Similar (10)8.48.48.44.24.24.223.626.021.2
vs Weaker (16)9.59.19.93.83.63.922.624.520.6
% over line50%45%55%60%65%55%70%85%55%
% under line50%55%45%40%35%45%30%15%45%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ViborgViborg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (33)9.39.59.03.53.43.624.624.324.9
vs Stronger (14)8.69.67.63.93.94.025.224.326.1
vs Similar (13)10.19.610.73.23.13.323.523.923.2
vs Weaker (6)9.29.39.03.03.03.025.525.325.7
% over line52%59%44%45%41%50%76%76%75%
% under line48%41%56%55%59%50%24%24%25%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AC Horsens
17.0
Odense
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Silkeborg
9.7
Aarhus
9.4
Viborg
9.3
Brondby
9.2
FC Nordsjaelland
8.6
Lyngby
8.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
Lyngby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Aarhus
3.9
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.6
Viborg
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.1
Silkeborg
2.8
AC Horsens
2.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
30.5
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Brondby
25.3
Aarhus
24.9
Viborg
24.6
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Sonderjyske
22.1
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Silkeborg
18.7
AC Horsens
15.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.1%
@ 1.67-7.4%
Under 9.5
51.9%
@ 2.08+7.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.9%
@ 1.61+5.6%
Under 3.5
37.1%
@ 2.15-5.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.60
Unibet
1.55
Under
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.8%
Under 21.5
16.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.584.6%1.19
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+6.1%
Over 21.5 fouls83.8%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
Brondby's squad is €24m more valuable than Viborg's (€54m vs €30m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
Brondby's attack is €10m more valuable than Viborg's (€18m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
Brondby's midfield is €2m more valuable than Viborg's (€11m vs €9m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
Brondby's defence is €12m more valuable than Viborg's (€25m vs €13m).

ðŸĪ 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Brondby vs Viborg · H/A from BRO
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/26AViborg Vs BRO0-1
15/03/26HBRO Vs Viborg0-1
15/02/26AViborg Vs BRO1-0
03/08/25HBRO Vs Viborg0-2

BrondbyBrondby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26AAarhus Vs BRO1-1
21/05/26HBRO Vs FC Copenhagen1-3
17/05/26AFC Midtjylland Vs BRO2-3
10/05/26HBRO Vs Aarhus0-2
01/05/26HBRO Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-1
26/04/26ASonderjyske Vs BRO3-0
22/04/26AViborg Vs BRO0-1
17/04/26HBRO Vs Sonderjyske6-0
12/04/26HBRO Vs FC Midtjylland1-2
07/04/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs BRO2-1

ViborgViborg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26HVIB Vs Odense1-0
17/05/26AAarhus Vs VIB6-2
08/05/26HVIB Vs Sonderjyske0-1
04/05/26AFC Midtjylland Vs VIB3-3
26/04/26HVIB Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-0
22/04/26HVIB Vs Brondby0-1
19/04/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs VIB2-1
12/04/26ASonderjyske Vs VIB0-2
06/04/26HVIB Vs Aarhus1-2
22/03/26HVIB Vs FC Midtjylland1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Brondby
Brondby
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.35
HomeLWDLL1.40
AwayLWLWD1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%35%
AVG goals2.503.051.95
Over 2.5 %45%60%30%
Scored1.351.750.95
Conceded1.151.301.00
BTTS40%50%30%
Clean Sheet38%35%40%
Failed to Score35%25%45%
Viborg
Viborg
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.42
HomeLLWLW1.53
AwayWWLDL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%47%38%
AVG goals3.063.003.12
Over 2.5 %58%59%56%
Scored1.521.591.44
Conceded1.551.411.69
BTTS58%65%50%
Clean Sheet30%24%38%
Failed to Score15%12%19%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Copenhagen2
100%
3.0
63+3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
23.5
50%
115
2359333.01.5
57%
2FC Midtjylland2
100%
3.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.0
100%
120
6227322.51.5
58%
3Brondby2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
5.5
100%
31.5
100%
54
1811251.00.5
50%
4FC Nordsjaelland2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
16.0
100%
3.0
50%
16.0
0%
80
3118301.00.5
68%
5Viborg2
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
27.0
100%
30
89130.50.5
44%
6Aarhus2
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
34.0
100%
37
1314101.51.5
46%
7Lyngby2
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
30.5
100%
0
0002.02.5
52%
8AC Horsens2
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
0
0001.01.5
36%
9Randers FC2
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
2.5
50%
17.0
0%
27
16470.51.0
40%
10Silkeborg2
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
100%
2.5
50%
18.0
0%
26
91081.02.0
49%
11Sonderjyske1
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
3.0
0%
24.0
100%
20
9562.03.0
42%
12Odense1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
17.0
100%
3.0
0%
26.0
100%
18
5480.01.0
57%
Denmark: Superliga 2026-27 full table · Brondby and Viborg highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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