PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 02/08/2026
Final 1-3
Silkeborg
Silkeborg
Vs
11%
17%
72%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Silkeborg win✗ Miss
11.4%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.50
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.64
Marathonbet
4.60
Dafabet
4.60
Draw✗ Miss
16.8%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.99
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
4.26
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
4.10
Betano
4.05
FC Copenhagen win✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.68
Edge
+16.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Dafabet
1.71
SBO
1.71
Betano
1.70

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SilkeborgSilkeborg

Avg scored 1.70
Avg conceded 2.20
Avg total 3.90
70-7avg 1.7avg 2.2avg total 3.930073122212032041411A·RANA·FC H·ODEH·FC A·VEJH·RANA·ODEH·FC A·FC A·RAN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.071.001.571.622.50
vs Stronger (11)1.003.360.602.601.334.00
vs Similar (15)1.531.401.291.001.751.75
vs Weaker (4)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

Avg scored 3.60
Avg conceded 0.90
Avg total 4.50
70-7avg 3.6avg 0.9avg total 4.570214121303340503132H·SILA·RANA·VEJH·ODEH·VEJA·FC A·SILH·RANA·BROH·LYN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.672.121.311.792.07
vs Stronger (3)1.333.001.502.501.004.00
vs Similar (6)1.002.171.001.501.002.50
vs Weaker (21)2.331.332.421.082.221.67
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%117%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.4%
@ 1.15+8.0%
Under 1.5
10.6%
@ 5.05-8.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.31
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.1%
@ 1.53+10.7%
Under 2.5
27.9%
@ 2.42-10.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.3%
@ 2.33+10.9%
Under 3.5
48.7%
@ 1.58-10.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Unibet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Under
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
@ 1.54+0.6%
No
39.1%
@ 2.34-0.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Unibet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
No
Betfair
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
888Sport
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Betano
2.37

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.0%@ 7.60+3.1%
0-2
8.7%@ 9.20+3.8%
1-3 ✓
8.1%@ 11.10+4.1%
0-3
7.8%@ 13.17+4.4%
1-1
7.4%@ 7.60+1.4%
0-1
5.8%@ 9.00+0.8%
1-4
5.5%@ 20.19+3.2%
0-4
5.3%@ 23.89+3.4%
Silkeborg goals ↓
FC Copenhagen goals →
01234
03.1%5.8%8.7%7.8%5.3%
11.8%7.4%9.0%8.1%5.5%
21.3%3.5%4.7%4.2%2.8%
30.4%1.2%1.6%1.5%1.0%
40.1%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Silkeborg goals (down), columns = FC Copenhagen goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Midtjylland
3.00
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Brondby
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Viborg
1.50
Aarhus
1.00
Silkeborg
0.50
Lyngby
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
AC Horsens
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.00
Odense
0.00
Silkeborg is 2.50 points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 3.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
FC Midtjylland
2.50
Sonderjyske
2.00
Lyngby
2.00
Aarhus
1.50
Brondby
1.00
Silkeborg
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.00
Randers FC
0.50
Viborg
0.50
Odense
0.00
Silkeborg is 2.00 goals worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 3.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brondby
0.50
Viborg
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Randers FC
1.00
Odense
1.00
Aarhus
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
FC Copenhagen
1.50
Silkeborg
2.00
Lyngby
2.50
Sonderjyske
3.00
Silkeborg is 0.50 goals worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
68%
FC Midtjylland
58%
Odense
57%
FC Copenhagen
57%
Lyngby
52%
Brondby
50%
Silkeborg
49%
Aarhus
46%
Viborg
44%
Sonderjyske
42%
Randers FC
40%
AC Horsens
36%
Silkeborg is 8.0 percentage points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average possession (49% vs 57%).

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SilkeborgSilkeborg

For 4.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

14075642538354354433113412107118797147A·RANA·FC H·FC A·ODEH·RANA·VEJH·FC H·ODEA·FC A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701111112251121121211371322A·RANA·FC H·FC A·ODEH·RANA·VEJH·FC H·ODEA·FC A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 6.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 16.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

240413366779715109614973812121791316221920161124A·RANA·FC H·FC A·ODEH·RANA·VEJH·FC H·ODEA·FC A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

For 6.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1705598655246104611632511310171171014179714H·LYNA·BROH·RANA·SILA·FC H·VEJH·ODEA·VEJA·RANH·SIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

1102292114111432111341111524524H·LYNA·BROH·RANA·SILA·FC H·VEJA·VEJA·RANH·SILH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3701414152283761914126711121312118328371113331818252311H·LYNA·BROH·RANA·SILA·FC H·VEJH·ODEA·VEJA·RANH·SIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SilkeborgSilkeborg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (39)9.710.19.42.82.82.718.718.618.8
vs Stronger (16)9.09.98.12.72.43.017.618.117.0
vs Similar (17)10.411.19.82.42.82.019.120.118.2
vs Weaker (6)9.37.711.04.24.34.020.015.324.7
% over line54%50%58%31%37%25%27%28%26%
% under line46%50%42%69%63%75%73%72%74%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (48)9.810.29.33.73.24.123.522.524.6
vs Stronger (3)11.311.511.04.34.05.022.722.523.0
vs Similar (8)10.410.010.65.05.34.825.422.027.4
vs Weaker (37)9.510.18.93.32.83.823.222.523.9
% over line56%62%50%54%46%62%60%54%67%
% under line44%38%50%46%54%38%40%46%33%
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AC Horsens
17.0
Odense
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Silkeborg
9.7
Aarhus
9.4
Viborg
9.3
Brondby
9.2
FC Nordsjaelland
8.6
Lyngby
8.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
Lyngby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Aarhus
3.9
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.6
Viborg
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.1
Silkeborg
2.8
AC Horsens
2.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
30.5
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Brondby
25.3
Aarhus
24.9
Viborg
24.6
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Sonderjyske
22.1
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Silkeborg
18.7
AC Horsens
15.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.4%
@ 1.70-2.3%
Under 9.5
47.6%
@ 2.05+2.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Under
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.0%
@ 2.08-1.2%
Under 3.5
57.0%
@ 1.65+1.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Unibet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.61
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.6%
Under 21.5
50.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.589.4%1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+8.0%
Over 2.572.1%1.53
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
+10.7%
Away win71.7%1.68
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Dafabet
1.71
SBO
1.71
Betano
1.70
+16.0%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
Silkeborg's squad is €88m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€26m vs €115m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
Silkeborg's attack is €14m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€9m vs €23m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
Silkeborg's midfield is €49m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€10m vs €59m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
Silkeborg's defence is €26m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€8m vs €33m).

ðŸĪ 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen · H/A from SIL
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HSIL Vs FC Copenhagen0-4
05/04/26AFC Copenhagen Vs SIL7-0
17/10/25HSIL Vs FC Copenhagen3-1
21/09/25AFC Copenhagen Vs SIL3-3

SilkeborgSilkeborg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/26ARanders FC Vs SIL1-1
17/05/26AFC Fredericia Vs SIL4-1
10/05/26HSIL Vs FC Copenhagen0-4
03/05/26AOdense Vs SIL2-3
26/04/26HSIL Vs Randers FC2-0
22/04/26AVejle Vs SIL1-2
19/04/26HSIL Vs FC Fredericia2-2
12/04/26HSIL Vs Odense3-1
05/04/26AFC Copenhagen Vs SIL7-0
22/03/26ARanders FC Vs SIL0-3

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HFC Vs Lyngby3-2
21/05/26ABrondby Vs FC1-3
17/05/26HFC Vs Randers FC5-0
10/05/26ASilkeborg Vs FC0-4
03/05/26AFC Fredericia Vs FC3-3
27/04/26HFC Vs Vejle3-0
22/04/26HFC Vs Odense2-1
19/04/26AVejle Vs FC1-4
12/04/26ARanders FC Vs FC1-2
05/04/26HFC Vs Silkeborg7-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Silkeborg
Silkeborg
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.15
HomeDWDWL1.21
AwayLWWLD1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%32%30%
AVG goals3.362.743.95
Over 2.5 %64%42%85%
Scored1.331.161.50
Conceded2.031.582.45
BTTS62%47%75%
Clean Sheet8%11%5%
Failed to Score33%47%20%
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.65
HomeWWWWW1.75
AwayWWDWW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals3.443.463.42
Over 2.5 %67%62%71%
Scored2.002.211.79
Conceded1.441.251.62
BTTS62%58%67%
Clean Sheet27%38%17%
Failed to Score15%8%21%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Copenhagen2
100%
3.0
63+3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
23.5
50%
115
2359333.01.5
57%
2FC Midtjylland2
100%
3.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.0
100%
120
6227322.51.5
58%
3Brondby2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
5.5
100%
31.5
100%
54
1811251.00.5
50%
4FC Nordsjaelland2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
16.0
100%
3.0
50%
16.0
0%
80
3118301.00.5
68%
5Viborg2
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
27.0
100%
30
89130.50.5
44%
6Aarhus2
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
34.0
100%
37
1314101.51.5
46%
7Lyngby2
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
30.5
100%
0
0002.02.5
52%
8AC Horsens2
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
0
0001.01.5
36%
9Randers FC2
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
2.5
50%
17.0
0%
27
16470.51.0
40%
10Silkeborg2
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
100%
2.5
50%
18.0
0%
26
91081.02.0
49%
11Sonderjyske1
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
3.0
0%
24.0
100%
20
9562.03.0
42%
12Odense1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
17.0
100%
3.0
0%
26.0
100%
18
5480.01.0
57%
Denmark: Superliga 2026-27 full table · Silkeborg and FC Copenhagen highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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