PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 07/08/2026
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Viborg
Viborg
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sonderjyske win
37.1%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.83
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Dafabet
2.85
1xBet
2.82
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.52
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Dafabet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Viborg win
36.3%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.30
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
2.30
Dafabet
2.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 2.30
Avg total 3.40
60-6avg 1.1avg 2.3avg total 3.402220206123012101423A·FC A·FC H·VIBA·BROH·FC H·BROA·AARA·VIBH·FC H·FC
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.531.331.131.53
vs Stronger (16)1.381.811.621.621.122.00
vs Similar (10)0.900.801.001.200.800.40
vs Weaker (4)2.251.502.500.502.002.50
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ViborgViborg

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 1.60
Avg total 2.70
60-6avg 1.1avg 1.6avg total 2.712201201103301261001H·AARA·SONA·FC H·BROH·FC A·FC H·SONA·AARH·ODEA·BRO
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.531.601.401.331.67
vs Stronger (13)1.312.151.501.501.142.71
vs Similar (11)1.000.910.831.171.200.60
vs Weaker (6)2.671.333.331.672.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
Sonderjyske goals ↓
Viborg goals →
01234
06.2%6.4%5.6%2.7%1.0%
16.5%12%8.3%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.5%6.3%3.1%1.1%
32.9%4.2%3.1%1.5%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sonderjyske goals (down), columns = Viborg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Midtjylland
3.00
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Brondby
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Viborg
1.50
Aarhus
1.00
Silkeborg
0.50
Lyngby
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
AC Horsens
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.00
Odense
0.00
Sonderjyske is 1.50 points worse than Viborg in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
FC Midtjylland
2.50
Sonderjyske
2.00
Lyngby
2.00
Aarhus
1.50
Brondby
1.00
Silkeborg
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.00
Randers FC
0.50
Viborg
0.50
Odense
0.00
Sonderjyske is 1.50 goals better than Viborg in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brondby
0.50
Viborg
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Randers FC
1.00
Odense
1.00
Aarhus
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
FC Copenhagen
1.50
Silkeborg
2.00
Lyngby
2.50
Sonderjyske
3.00
Sonderjyske is 2.50 goals worse than Viborg in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
68%
FC Midtjylland
58%
Odense
57%
FC Copenhagen
57%
Lyngby
52%
Brondby
50%
Silkeborg
49%
Aarhus
46%
Viborg
44%
Sonderjyske
42%
Randers FC
40%
AC Horsens
36%
Sonderjyske is 2.0 percentage points worse than Viborg in terms of average possession (42% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

For 3.8 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

14054348594638556459269781410111010148H·FC H·FC A·VIBA·AARH·BROH·FC A·BROH·VIBA·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

50123122114312332113312354552H·FC H·FC A·VIBA·AARH·BROH·FC A·BROH·VIBA·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

310141011111461191412141614171314151581124222020263031273019H·FC H·FC A·VIBA·AARH·BROH·FC A·BROH·VIBA·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ViborgViborg

For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1703871022886543464642111748811710106A·BROH·ODEA·AARH·SONA·FC H·FC H·BROA·FC A·SONH·AAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

6032212211222153232215341346553A·BROH·ODEA·AARH·SONA·FC H·FC H·BROA·FC A·SONH·AAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

2901612151118116141217616781091413101228262920292215192722A·BROH·ODEA·AARH·SONA·FC H·FC H·BROA·FC A·SONH·AAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)10.19.910.33.43.92.922.121.922.2
vs Stronger (19)9.99.310.73.84.33.223.823.524.1
vs Similar (11)9.110.47.82.94.02.020.221.219.2
vs Weaker (4)13.512.015.02.81.54.018.515.521.5
% over line64%65%62%38%47%29%45%47%44%
% under line36%35%38%62%53%71%55%53%56%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ViborgViborg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)9.39.59.13.53.43.624.724.325.1
vs Stronger (14)8.69.67.63.93.94.025.224.326.1
vs Similar (14)10.19.610.73.43.13.623.923.923.9
vs Weaker (6)9.29.39.03.03.03.025.525.325.7
% over line53%59%47%47%41%53%76%76%76%
% under line47%41%53%53%59%47%24%24%24%
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AC Horsens
13.5
Odense
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Sonderjyske
10.1
Randers FC
10.1
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Silkeborg
9.7
Aarhus
9.4
Viborg
9.3
Brondby
9.3
FC Nordsjaelland
8.8
Lyngby
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
Lyngby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.2
Aarhus
3.9
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Viborg
3.6
Sonderjyske
3.6
AC Horsens
3.5
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.1
Silkeborg
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
30.5
FC Midtjylland
26.7
Brondby
25.4
Aarhus
24.9
Viborg
24.7
AC Horsens
23.5
FC Copenhagen
23.4
Sonderjyske
22.1
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.2
Silkeborg
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.2%
Under 21.5
30.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.580.9%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
Sonderjyske's squad is €10m less valuable than Viborg's (€20m vs €30m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
Sonderjyske's attack is €1m more valuable than Viborg's (€9m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
Sonderjyske's midfield is €4m less valuable than Viborg's (€5m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
Sonderjyske's defence is €7m less valuable than Viborg's (€6m vs €13m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Sonderjyske vs Viborg · H/A from SON
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26AViborg Vs SON0-1
12/04/26HSON Vs Viborg0-2
28/11/25HSON Vs Viborg2-2
08/08/25AViborg Vs SON1-0

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HSON Vs FC Midtjylland2-3
17/05/26HSON Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-4
08/05/26AViborg Vs SON0-1
03/05/26AAarhus Vs SON2-1
26/04/26HSON Vs Brondby3-0
23/04/26HSON Vs FC Midtjylland1-2
17/04/26ABrondby Vs SON6-0
12/04/26HSON Vs Viborg0-2
04/04/26AFC Midtjylland Vs SON2-2
22/03/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs SON2-0

ViborgViborg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26ABrondby Vs VIB1-0
24/07/26HVIB Vs Odense1-0
17/05/26AAarhus Vs VIB6-2
08/05/26HVIB Vs Sonderjyske0-1
04/05/26AFC Midtjylland Vs VIB3-3
26/04/26HVIB Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-0
22/04/26HVIB Vs Brondby0-1
19/04/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs VIB2-1
12/04/26ASonderjyske Vs VIB0-2
06/04/26HVIB Vs Aarhus1-2

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.33
HomeLLWLL1.59
AwayLDLLW1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%47%25%
AVG goals2.972.943.00
Over 2.5 %58%65%50%
Scored1.391.591.19
Conceded1.581.351.81
BTTS58%65%50%
Clean Sheet27%24%31%
Failed to Score21%12%31%
Viborg
Viborg
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.38
HomeLLWLW1.53
AwayWLDLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%47%35%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 2.5 %56%59%53%
Scored1.471.591.35
Conceded1.531.411.65
BTTS56%65%47%
Clean Sheet29%24%35%
Failed to Score18%12%24%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Copenhagen2
100%
3.0
63+3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
23.5
50%
115
2359333.01.5
57%
2FC Midtjylland2
100%
3.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.0
100%
120
6227322.51.5
58%
3Brondby2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
5.5
100%
31.5
100%
54
1811251.00.5
50%
4FC Nordsjaelland2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
16.0
100%
3.0
50%
16.0
0%
80
3118301.00.5
68%
5Viborg2
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
27.0
100%
30
89130.50.5
44%
6Aarhus2
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
34.0
100%
37
1314101.51.5
46%
7Lyngby2
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
30.5
100%
0
0002.02.5
52%
8AC Horsens2
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
0
0001.01.5
36%
9Randers FC2
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
2.5
50%
17.0
0%
27
16470.51.0
40%
10Silkeborg2
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
100%
2.5
50%
18.0
0%
26
91081.02.0
49%
11Sonderjyske1
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
3.0
0%
24.0
100%
20
9562.03.0
42%
12Odense1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
17.0
100%
3.0
0%
26.0
100%
18
5480.01.0
57%
Denmark: Superliga 2026-27 full table · Sonderjyske and Viborg highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

← all matches