This opponent (Aarhus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Avg scored1.80
Avg conceded1.10
Avg total2.90
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.00
2.07
0.87
1.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.75
1.00
0.25
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
2.32
1.09
2.45
1.09
2.18
1.09
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Viborg goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
8.7%
8.1%
4.5%
1.8%
1
5.8%
13%
9.5%
5.2%
2.1%
2
4.1%
6.7%
5.5%
3.0%
1.3%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Midtjylland
3.00
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Brondby
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Viborg
1.50
Aarhus
1.00
Silkeborg
0.50
Lyngby
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
AC Horsens
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.00
Odense
0.00
Viborg is 0.50 points better than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
FC Midtjylland
2.50
Sonderjyske
2.00
Lyngby
2.00
Aarhus
1.50
Brondby
1.00
Silkeborg
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.00
Randers FC
0.50
Viborg
0.50
Odense
0.00
Viborg is 1.00 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Brondby
0.50
Viborg
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Randers FC
1.00
Odense
1.00
Aarhus
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
FC Copenhagen
1.50
Silkeborg
2.00
Lyngby
2.50
Sonderjyske
3.00
Viborg is 1.00 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
68%
FC Midtjylland
58%
Odense
57%
FC Copenhagen
57%
Lyngby
52%
Brondby
50%
Silkeborg
49%
Aarhus
46%
Viborg
44%
Sonderjyske
42%
Randers FC
40%
AC Horsens
36%
Viborg is 2.0 percentage points worse than Aarhus in terms of average possession (44% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viborg
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 4.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 16.1 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
9.3
9.5
9.1
3.4
3.4
3.4
24.7
24.3
25.1
vs Stronger (14)
8.6
9.6
7.6
3.9
3.9
4.0
25.2
24.3
26.1
vs Similar (15)
10.1
9.6
10.7
3.1
3.1
3.1
23.9
23.9
23.9
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
9.3
9.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
25.5
25.3
25.7
% over line
53%
59%
47%
46%
41%
50%
76%
76%
76%
% under line
47%
41%
53%
54%
59%
50%
24%
24%
24%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.4
9.7
9.1
3.8
4.1
3.6
24.9
24.9
24.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.1
10.6
9.6
4.3
4.2
4.4
23.4
23.6
23.2
vs Weaker (24)
9.1
9.3
8.8
3.6
4.0
3.2
25.5
25.4
25.6
% over line
41%
41%
41%
53%
59%
47%
74%
76%
71%
% under line
59%
59%
59%
47%
41%
53%
26%
24%
29%
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AC Horsens
13.5
Odense
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Sonderjyske
10.1
Randers FC
10.1
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Silkeborg
9.7
Aarhus
9.4
Viborg
9.3
Brondby
9.3
FC Nordsjaelland
8.8
Lyngby
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
Lyngby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.2
Aarhus
3.9
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Viborg
3.6
Sonderjyske
3.6
AC Horsens
3.5
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.1
Silkeborg
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
30.5
FC Midtjylland
26.7
Brondby
25.4
Aarhus
24.9
Viborg
24.7
AC Horsens
23.5
FC Copenhagen
23.4
Sonderjyske
22.1
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.2
Silkeborg
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.7%
Under 9.5
55.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.5%
Under 21.5
23.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
Viborg's squad is €8m less valuable than Aarhus's (€30m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
Viborg's attack is €6m less valuable than Aarhus's (€8m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
Viborg's midfield is €5m less valuable than Aarhus's (€9m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
Viborg's defence is €3m more valuable than Aarhus's (€13m vs €10m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Viborg vs Aarhus · H/A from VIB
Date
H/A
Game
Score
17/05/26
A
Aarhus Vs VIB
6-2
06/04/26
H
VIB Vs Aarhus
1-2
22/02/26
A
Aarhus Vs VIB
5-2
14/09/25
H
VIB Vs Aarhus
1-2
Viborg
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
Brondby Vs VIB
1-0
24/07/26
H
VIB Vs Odense
1-0
17/05/26
A
Aarhus Vs VIB
6-2
08/05/26
H
VIB Vs Sonderjyske
0-1
04/05/26
A
FC Midtjylland Vs VIB
3-3
26/04/26
H
VIB Vs FC Nordsjaelland
1-0
22/04/26
H
VIB Vs Brondby
0-1
19/04/26
A
FC Nordsjaelland Vs VIB
2-1
12/04/26
A
Sonderjyske Vs VIB
0-2
06/04/26
H
VIB Vs Aarhus
1-2
Aarhus
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/08/26
A
Lyngby Vs AAR
2-2
25/07/26
H
AAR Vs Brondby
1-1
17/05/26
H
AAR Vs Viborg
6-2
10/05/26
A
Brondby Vs AAR
0-2
03/05/26
H
AAR Vs Sonderjyske
2-1
26/04/26
H
AAR Vs FC Midtjylland
0-0
23/04/26
A
FC Nordsjaelland Vs AAR
1-1
20/04/26
A
FC Midtjylland Vs AAR
2-1
10/04/26
H
AAR Vs FC Nordsjaelland
1-1
06/04/26
A
Viborg Vs AAR
1-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Viborg
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLLWL
1.38
Home
LLWLW
1.53
Away
WLDLL
1.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
41%
47%
35%
AVG goals
3.00
3.00
3.00
Over 2.5 %
56%
59%
53%
Scored
1.47
1.59
1.35
Conceded
1.53
1.41
1.65
BTTS
56%
65%
47%
Clean Sheet
29%
24%
35%
Failed to Score
18%
12%
24%
Aarhus
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWWDD
2.03
Home
DDWWD
2.06
Away
WLDWD
2.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
56%
59%
53%
AVG goals
2.94
2.76
3.12
Over 2.5 %
53%
47%
59%
Scored
1.91
1.88
1.94
Conceded
1.03
0.88
1.18
BTTS
74%
59%
88%
Clean Sheet
26%
41%
12%
Failed to Score
9%
18%
0%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
FC Copenhagen
2
100%
3.0
6
3
+3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
23.5
50%
115
23
59
33
3.0
1.5
57%
2
FC Midtjylland
2
100%
3.0
5
3
+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.0
100%
120
62
27
32
2.5
1.5
58%
3
Brondby
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
5.5
100%
31.5
100%
54
18
11
25
1.0
0.5
50%
4
FC Nordsjaelland
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
16.0
100%
3.0
50%
16.0
0%
80
31
18
30
1.0
0.5
68%
5
Viborg
2
50%
1.5
1
1
+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
27.0
100%
30
8
9
13
0.5
0.5
44%
6
Aarhus
2
0%
1.0
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
50%
5.5
100%
34.0
100%
37
13
14
10
1.5
1.5
46%
7
Lyngby
2
0%
0.5
4
5
-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
30.5
100%
0
0
0
0
2.0
2.5
52%
8
AC Horsens
2
0%
0.5
2
3
-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.5
100%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
1.5
36%
9
Randers FC
2
0%
0.5
1
2
-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
2.5
50%
17.0
0%
27
16
4
7
0.5
1.0
40%
10
Silkeborg
2
0%
0.5
2
4
-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
11.0
100%
2.5
50%
18.0
0%
26
9
10
8
1.0
2.0
49%
11
Sonderjyske
1
0%
0.0
2
3
-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
3.0
0%
24.0
100%
20
9
5
6
2.0
3.0
42%
12
Odense
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
17.0
100%
3.0
0%
26.0
100%
18
5
4
8
0.0
1.0
57%
Denmark: Superliga 2026-27 full table · Viborg and Aarhus highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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