PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Rangers
Rangers
Vs
64%
21%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rangers win
64.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Hibernian win
14.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RangersRangers

Avg scored 1.60
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 3.10
50-5avg 1.6avg 1.5avg total 3.120202300121213125211H·STEA·KELH·MOTH·EASA·HEAA·HEAA·CELH·HIBA·FALA·DUN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.502.131.401.731.60
vs Stronger (2)1.502.502.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (2)2.502.004.002.001.002.00
vs Weaker (26)1.921.382.001.311.851.46
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Avg scored 1.20
Avg conceded 1.30
Avg total 2.50
30-3avg 1.2avg 1.3avg total 2.500300212121231210112A·MOTH·KILA·ABEH·HEAH·HEAH·CELA·FALA·RANH·MOTH·MOT
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.231.591.061.151.46
vs Stronger (9)1.111.331.201.601.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.701.502.401.201.001.80
vs Weaker (11)1.360.911.290.571.501.50
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
Rangers goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
01234
05.0%3.1%2.0%0.7%0.2%
18.1%9.8%4.4%1.5%0.4%
210.0%9.9%4.9%1.6%0.4%
37.3%7.3%3.6%1.2%0.3%
44.1%4.0%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Motherwell
3.00
Aberdeen
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
ST Mirren
3.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Hibernian
0.00
Falkirk
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Rangers is 1.00 points better than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
ST Johnstone
4.00
Kilmarnock
3.00
Motherwell
2.00
Aberdeen
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Rangers
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Falkirk
0.00
Rangers and Hibernian are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Kilmarnock
4.00
Rangers is 1.00 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Falkirk
58%
ST Johnstone
56%
Rangers
55%
Motherwell
52%
Aberdeen
51%
Heart Of Midlothian
49%
Hibernian
48%
Dundee Utd
45%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Rangers is 7.0 percentage points better than Hibernian in terms of average possession (55% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RangersRangers

For 5.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

150105479371626222752843151112888412107A·DUNA·FALH·HIBA·CELA·HEAA·HEAH·EASH·MOTA·KELH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

80313222621211223154348330356A·DUNA·FALH·HIBA·CELA·HEAA·HEAH·EASH·MOTA·KELH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

38014169111412132512812891115101113171130202638202020252428A·DUNA·FALH·HIBA·CELA·HEAA·HEAH·EASH·MOTA·KELH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HibernianHibernian

For 3.4 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

13092743956131111333942111112111311116126H·MOTH·MOTA·RANA·FALH·CELH·HEAH·HEAA·ABEH·KILA·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.1

🟨 Cards

1101356221437353321343411417108547H·MOTH·MOTA·RANA·FALH·CELH·HEAH·HEAA·ABEH·KILA·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

27014131413121413107118178179189159727272623182525272416H·MOTH·MOTA·RANA·FALH·CELH·HEAH·HEAA·ABEH·KILA·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RangersRangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.111.23.73.83.623.623.423.8
vs Stronger (3)11.313.010.54.73.05.527.719.032.0
vs Similar (4)10.210.010.33.57.02.325.530.024.0
vs Weaker (43)10.18.911.43.63.63.623.223.323.0
% over line60%50%69%46%54%38%60%58%62%
% under line40%50%31%54%46%62%40%42%38%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.79.64.54.74.223.523.623.5
vs Stronger (17)11.212.010.24.25.13.223.223.622.8
vs Similar (16)10.210.410.04.54.74.324.424.124.7
vs Weaker (17)10.812.48.64.64.35.122.923.322.4
% over line70%79%59%60%58%62%67%71%64%
% under line30%21%41%40%42%38%33%29%36%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Falkirk
9.8
Aberdeen
9.7
Dundee
9.7
Kilmarnock
9.6
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.0
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
ST Johnstone
4.3
Falkirk
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Celtic
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.0
Rangers
3.7
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.2
Motherwell
25.8
Falkirk
25.2
Kilmarnock
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.4
ST Johnstone
23.9
Rangers
23.6
Hibernian
23.4
Dundee
22.6
Dundee Utd
22.3
ST Mirren
22.2
Celtic
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.1%
Under 21.5
35.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.583.8%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
SJ (26)
€5m
Rangers's squad is €97m more valuable than Hibernian's (€127m vs €30m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
Rangers's attack is €45m more valuable than Hibernian's (€59m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
SJ (7)
€1m
Rangers's midfield is €18m more valuable than Hibernian's (€28m vs €10m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
Rangers's defence is €34m more valuable than Hibernian's (€40m vs €6m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Rangers vs Hibernian · H/A from RAN
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/26HRAN Vs Hibernian1-2
01/02/26AHibernian Vs RAN0-0
15/12/25HRAN Vs Hibernian1-0
29/10/25AHibernian Vs RAN0-1
17/05/25AHibernian Vs RAN2-2
05/04/25HRAN Vs Hibernian0-2
05/01/25AHibernian Vs RAN3-3
29/09/24HRAN Vs Hibernian1-0

RangersRangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26ADundee Utd Vs RAN1-1
16/05/26AFalkirk Vs RAN2-5
13/05/26HRAN Vs Hibernian1-2
10/05/26ACeltic Vs RAN3-1
04/05/26AHearts Vs RAN2-1
04/05/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs RAN2-1
02/05/26HRAN Vs East Fife0-0
26/04/26HRAN Vs Motherwell2-3
25/04/26AKelty Hearts Vs RAN0-2
18/04/26HRAN Vs Stenhousemuir2-0

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HHIB Vs Motherwell1-2
16/05/26HHIB Vs Motherwell0-1
13/05/26ARangers Vs HIB1-2
09/05/26AFalkirk Vs HIB1-3
03/05/26HHIB Vs Celtic1-2
26/04/26HHIB Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-2
26/04/26HHIB Vs Hearts1-2
11/04/26AAberdeen Vs HIB2-0
04/04/26HHIB Vs Kilmarnock3-0
21/03/26AMotherwell Vs HIB0-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Rangers
Rangers
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.62
HomeWWLDL2.00
AwayLLLWD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals3.142.963.31
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Scored1.861.961.77
Conceded1.281.001.54
BTTS64%58%69%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Failed to Score16%17%15%
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.32
HomeLLLLL1.31
AwayDDLWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals2.802.962.62
Over 2.5 %58%65%50%
Scored1.501.651.33
Conceded1.301.311.29
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Failed to Score26%15%38%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST Mirren1
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
8
3322.00.0
42%
2ST Johnstone1
100%
3.0
43+1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
5
3124.03.0
56%
3Motherwell1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
21
12462.01.0
52%
4Aberdeen1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
10582.01.0
51%
5Rangers1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
127
5928401.01.0
55%
6Dundee Utd1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
30.0
100%
0
0001.01.0
45%
7Kilmarnock1
0%
0.0
34-1
7.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.0
0%
13
5353.04.0
44%
8Hibernian1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
30
141061.02.0
48%
9Heart Of Midlothian1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
33
19951.02.0
49%
10Falkirk1
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
100%
36.0
100%
7
2230.02.0
58%
Scotland: Premiership 2026-27 full table · Rangers and Hibernian highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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