PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 02/08/2026
Final 2-1
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Vs
52%
29%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
Norway: Eliteserien
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

KFUM Oslo win✓ Hit
52.3%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.70
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Dafabet
1.71
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.84
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.88
Kristiansund BK win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.49
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
4.90
Pinnacle
4.90
Dafabet
4.70
1xBet
4.66
Marathonbet
4.55

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

Avg scored 0.90
Avg conceded 1.80
Avg total 2.70
40-4avg 0.9avg 1.8avg total 2.704102202122000021224A·HAMH·SARA·VALH·VIKA·BRAH·ROSH·TROH·BODA·LILH·MOL
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.571.311.441.141.71
vs Stronger (21)1.051.671.251.420.782.00
vs Similar (7)1.711.141.501.001.801.20
vs Weaker (2)1.502.001.502.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Avg scored 0.70
Avg conceded 1.60
Avg total 2.30
30-3avg 0.7avg 1.6avg total 2.311110201211213030012A·AALH·HAMA·SANA·MOLA·LILH·VIKA·VALA·ROSH·SARH·STA
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.001.241.650.622.46
vs Stronger (21)0.902.141.171.670.562.78
vs Similar (7)1.001.861.332.000.751.75
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.501.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.18-12.0%
Under 1.5
33.1%
@ 4.41+12.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.21
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Under
Pinnacle
4.91
BetVictor
4.75
888Sport
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.0%
@ 1.62-19.1%
Under 2.5
61.0%
@ 2.24+19.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.35
SBO
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
@ 2.50-18.3%
Under 3.5
81.0%
@ 1.49+18.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.51
888Sport
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.9%
@ 1.61-14.7%
No
57.1%
@ 2.19+14.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Unibet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
No
William Hil
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.23

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.3%@ 8.16+8.8%
1-1
13.3%@ 7.20+7.1%
0-0
11.8%@ 12.84+8.3%
2-0
11.4%@ 8.79+6.3%
2-1 ✓
8.9%@ 7.61+3.0%
0-1
7.0%@ 13.94+3.8%
3-0
5.6%@ 13.08+2.1%
1-2
4.7%@ 13.02+1.3%
KFUM Oslo goals ↓
Kristiansund BK goals →
01234
012%7.0%3.2%0.8%0.2%
114%13%4.7%1.2%0.2%
211%8.9%3.5%0.9%0.2%
35.6%4.3%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.0%1.6%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KFUM Oslo goals (down), columns = Kristiansund BK goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viking
2.47
Bodo/Glimt
2.38
Tromso
2.12
Lillestrom
1.67
Molde
1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.47
Ham-Kam
1.40
Valerenga
1.33
Rosenborg
1.29
Brann
1.27
Fredrikstad
1.13
KFUM Oslo
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Aalesund
0.87
Kristiansund BK
0.80
Start
0.62
KFUM Oslo is 0.20 points better than Kristiansund BK in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.80).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.56
Viking
2.47
Tromso
2.00
Brann
2.00
Molde
1.87
Ham-Kam
1.53
Lillestrom
1.47
Valerenga
1.47
Aalesund
1.40
Rosenborg
1.36
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.13
Fredrikstad
1.07
Start
1.00
Kristiansund BK
0.87
Sandefjord
0.87
KFUM Oslo is 0.27 goals better than Kristiansund BK in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 0.87).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.69
Viking
0.93
Tromso
1.06
Lillestrom
1.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.27
Rosenborg
1.29
Sandefjord
1.40
Molde
1.47
Kristiansund BK
1.67
Brann
1.67
KFUM Oslo
1.73
Ham-Kam
1.73
Fredrikstad
1.80
Valerenga
1.80
Start
2.31
Aalesund
2.33
KFUM Oslo is 0.07 goals worse than Kristiansund BK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
65%
Brann
59%
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
53%
Lillestrom
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
51%
Tromso
50%
Valerenga
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
Ham-Kam
47%
KFUM Oslo
45%
Aalesund
44%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
KFUM Oslo is 2.5 percentage points better than Kristiansund BK in terms of average possession (45% vs 43%).

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

For 3.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1403945643592646311123129108116101433H·MOLA·LILH·BODH·TROH·ROSA·BRAH·VIKA·VALH·SARA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7033411124141625116412254772H·MOLA·LILH·BODH·TROH·ROSA·BRAH·VIKA·VALH·SARA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 8.2 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

28089139109159164155132711199121517221924202015182827H·MOLA·LILH·BODH·TROH·ROSA·BRAH·VIKA·VALH·SARA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

For 4.9 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1803648786544386346438109121511811910718H·STAH·SARA·ROSA·VALH·VIKA·LILA·MOLA·SANH·HAMA·AAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

100622211134552121223284127103345H·STAH·SARA·ROSA·VALH·VIKA·LILA·MOLA·SANH·HAMA·AAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

36011151517221471211151891561017614101426323619262721272024H·STAH·SARA·ROSA·VALH·VIKA·LILA·MOLA·SANH·HAMA·AAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)9.09.08.93.63.63.621.620.822.4
vs Stronger (31)9.09.28.73.83.73.921.920.923.1
vs Similar (10)7.97.08.53.23.03.321.320.521.8
vs Weaker (3)12.311.514.02.73.51.019.321.016.0
% over line44%41%48%50%43%57%52%52%52%
% under line56%59%52%50%57%43%48%48%48%
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)10.49.910.93.84.43.122.121.922.2
vs Stronger (31)11.010.711.33.64.32.921.921.322.5
vs Similar (10)9.38.610.04.24.24.223.022.823.2
vs Weaker (3)7.36.59.04.35.52.020.324.013.0
% over line58%55%62%50%68%32%51%50%52%
% under line42%45%38%50%32%68%49%50%48%
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Viking
11.7
Valerenga
11.6
Aalesund
11.6
Sandefjord
11.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.2
Rosenborg
10.9
Brann
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Ham-Kam
10.4
Kristiansund BK
10.4
Lillestrom
10.3
Molde
10.3
Fredrikstad
9.9
KFUM Oslo
9.0
Tromso
8.9
Start
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lillestrom
4.5
Viking
4.3
Valerenga
4.1
Brann
4.1
Molde
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Kristiansund BK
3.9
Aalesund
3.8
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
KFUM Oslo
3.7
Tromso
3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.4
Fredrikstad
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.7
Lillestrom
24.7
Valerenga
24.3
Rosenborg
24.3
Start
24.2
Brann
24.2
Aalesund
23.4
Tromso
23.3
Ham-Kam
23.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.9
Molde
22.8
Kristiansund BK
22.1
KFUM Oslo
21.6
Fredrikstad
21.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.2%
@ 1.62-3.0%
Under 9.5
45.8%
@ 2.16+3.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.20
Unibet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.8%
Under 21.5
46.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.581.0%1.49
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.51
888Sport
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
+18.3%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (25)
€45m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (24)
€25m
ROS (20)
€18m
S0F (24)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
VAL (19)
€14m
AAL (24)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (22)
€11m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
KFUM Oslo's squad is €4m less valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€8m vs €13m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (9)
€20m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (9)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
ROS (6)
€6m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
AAL (6)
€5m
SAN (7)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
KFUM Oslo's attack is €2m less valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€3m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
KFUM Oslo's midfield is €2m less valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€2m vs €4m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
MOL (11)
€15m
VIK (11)
€13m
BRA (11)
€9m
ROS (10)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
VAL (6)
€3m
KFUM Oslo and Kristiansund BK have a similar defence value (both €4m).

ðŸĪ 7. Games History

Head-to-head

KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK · H/A from KO
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/25HKO Vs Kristiansund BK1-1
26/07/25AKristiansund BK Vs KO0-5

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HKO Vs Molde2-4
18/07/26ALillestrom Vs KO2-1
12/07/26HKO Vs Bodo/Glimt0-2
29/05/26HKO Vs Tromso0-0
25/05/26HKO Vs Rosenborg2-0
16/05/26ABrann Vs KO2-1
10/05/26HKO Vs Viking0-2
03/05/26AValerenga Vs KO2-2
26/04/26HKO Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0
19/04/26AHam-Kam Vs KO4-0

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HKB Vs Start1-2
18/07/26HKB Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
12/07/26ARosenborg Vs KB3-0
29/05/26AValerenga Vs KB3-1
24/05/26HKB Vs Viking1-2
20/05/26ALillestrom Vs KB1-2
16/05/26AMolde Vs KB1-0
10/05/26ASandefjord Vs KB2-0
03/05/26HKB Vs Ham-Kam1-1
26/04/26AAalesund Vs KB1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.07
HomeLWDLL1.30
AwayDLDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%35%14%
AVG goals2.802.872.71
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Scored1.301.481.10
Conceded1.501.391.62
BTTS57%57%57%
Clean Sheet25%30%19%
Failed to Score27%22%33%
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.07
HomeWDLDL1.23
AwayLLWLL0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.912.773.05
Over 2.5 %56%59%52%
Scored1.071.230.90
Conceded1.841.552.14
BTTS58%59%57%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Failed to Score33%32%33%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/Glimt16
75%
2.4
4111+30
3.2
88%
69%
44%
9.7
56%
2.4
13%
19.6
31%
75
2227262.60.7
65%
2Viking15
80%
2.5
3714+23
3.4
87%
73%
27%
11.5
80%
4.9
80%
25.2
67%
45
2012132.50.9
51%
3Tromso16
62%
2.1
3217+15
3.1
81%
50%
44%
9.9
44%
2.6
29%
22.7
62%
0
0002.01.1
50%
4Lillestrom15
53%
1.7
2218+4
2.7
87%
53%
33%
10.3
60%
4.5
57%
24.7
67%
14
6451.51.2
52%
5Molde15
47%
1.6
2822+6
3.3
80%
60%
40%
10.0
47%
3.9
53%
24.5
60%
35
137151.91.5
59%
6Sarpsborg 08 FF15
40%
1.5
1819-1
2.5
67%
47%
20%
9.7
53%
3.5
40%
22.9
60%
16
9341.21.3
44%
7Ham-Kam15
40%
1.4
2326-3
3.3
87%
73%
40%
9.3
47%
3.4
50%
25.1
67%
0
0001.51.7
47%
8Valerenga15
40%
1.3
2227-5
3.3
80%
53%
47%
12.3
67%
3.8
50%
21.9
40%
14
6531.51.8
48%
9Brann15
40%
1.3
3025+5
3.7
93%
87%
47%
11.6
67%
3.7
67%
24.5
67%
25
10792.01.7
59%
10Rosenborg14
36%
1.3
1918+1
2.6
93%
50%
21%
11.7
64%
3.6
57%
25.7
79%
18
6381.41.3
53%
11Fredrikstad15
33%
1.1
1627-11
2.9
87%
60%
33%
9.9
60%
3.5
47%
23.1
60%
15
5381.11.8
47%
12Sandefjord15
27%
1.0
1321-8
2.3
67%
47%
20%
12.5
87%
3.6
57%
24.4
73%
11
4250.91.4
51%
13KFUM Oslo15
27%
1.0
1726-9
2.9
87%
60%
33%
8.9
53%
3.6
53%
21.2
40%
8
3241.11.7
45%
14Aalesund15
13%
0.9
2135-14
3.7
93%
67%
53%
12.1
87%
3.8
57%
23.5
67%
13
5441.42.3
44%
15Kristiansund BK15
20%
0.8
1325-12
2.5
87%
53%
13%
10.7
53%
4.1
47%
24.2
60%
13
5430.91.7
43%
16Start16
12%
0.6
1637-21
3.3
100%
62%
25%
8.9
31%
3.8
50%
24.2
81%
9
2341.02.3
42%
Norway: Eliteserien 2026-27 full table · KFUM Oslo and Kristiansund BK highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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