PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 07/08/2026
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Vs
47%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Norway: Eliteserien
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandefjord win
46.7%
Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.10
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
Dafabet
2.12
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Draw
28.8%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.54
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betfair
3.70
Unibet
3.60
1xBet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
KFUM Oslo win
24.5%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.22
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
1xBet
3.34
Pinnacle
3.32
Marathonbet
3.26
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.25

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SandefjordSandefjord

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 1.70
Avg total 2.70
30-3avg 1.0avg 1.7avg total 2.713102013111222120301A·TROH·AALH·KRIA·LILH·FREA·MOLH·HAMA·VIKH·BODA·FRE
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.430.861.071.561.75
vs Stronger (8)0.751.880.602.001.001.67
vs Similar (15)0.871.400.670.831.001.78
vs Weaker (7)2.571.001.670.003.251.75
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 2.60
40-4avg 1.1avg 1.5avg total 2.610220212200002122421H·SARA·VALH·VIKA·BRAH·ROSH·TROH·BODA·LILH·MOLH·KRI
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.601.351.410.851.85
vs Stronger (21)1.051.671.251.420.782.00
vs Similar (7)1.291.291.671.001.001.50
vs Weaker (2)1.502.001.502.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.0%
@ 1.22-4.3%
Under 1.5
28.0%
@ 3.90+4.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Under
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
3.99
BetVictor
3.80
Marathonbet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.73-9.2%
Under 2.5
55.1%
@ 2.05+9.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
BetVictor
1.72
Under
Unibet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.03
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.7%
@ 2.76-9.8%
Under 3.5
76.3%
@ 1.39+9.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.76
Under
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
50.0%
@ 1.59-8.0%
No
50.0%
@ 2.20+8.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
10Bet
1.55
No
Unibet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.18
BetVictor
2.15

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.54+7.0%
1-0
11.1%@ 8.19+5.8%
0-0
9.7%@ 11.04+5.7%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.01+3.7%
2-0
9.1%@ 10.36+4.9%
0-1
7.2%@ 10.39+3.0%
1-2
6.2%@ 10.04+1.9%
2-2
4.6%@ 11.14+0.7%
Sandefjord goals ↓
KFUM Oslo goals →
01234
09.7%7.2%4.2%1.4%0.4%
111%14%6.2%2.1%0.5%
29.1%9.1%4.6%1.5%0.4%
34.5%4.5%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sandefjord goals (down), columns = KFUM Oslo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viking
2.47
Bodo/Glimt
2.38
Tromso
2.12
Lillestrom
1.67
Molde
1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.47
Ham-Kam
1.40
Valerenga
1.33
Rosenborg
1.29
Brann
1.27
Fredrikstad
1.13
KFUM Oslo
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Aalesund
0.87
Kristiansund BK
0.80
Start
0.62
Sandefjord and KFUM Oslo are level in average points per game (both 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.56
Viking
2.47
Tromso
2.00
Brann
2.00
Molde
1.87
Ham-Kam
1.53
Lillestrom
1.47
Valerenga
1.47
Aalesund
1.40
Rosenborg
1.36
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.13
Fredrikstad
1.07
Start
1.00
Kristiansund BK
0.87
Sandefjord
0.87
Sandefjord is 0.27 goals worse than KFUM Oslo in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.69
Viking
0.93
Tromso
1.06
Lillestrom
1.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.27
Rosenborg
1.29
Sandefjord
1.40
Molde
1.47
Kristiansund BK
1.67
Brann
1.67
KFUM Oslo
1.73
Ham-Kam
1.73
Fredrikstad
1.80
Valerenga
1.80
Start
2.31
Aalesund
2.33
Sandefjord is 0.33 goals better than KFUM Oslo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
65%
Brann
59%
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
53%
Lillestrom
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
51%
Tromso
50%
Valerenga
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
Ham-Kam
47%
KFUM Oslo
45%
Aalesund
44%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Sandefjord is 5.8 percentage points better than KFUM Oslo in terms of average possession (51% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SandefjordSandefjord

For 5.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

1605626564710665366482610118111116119101016A·FREH·BODA·VIKH·HAMA·MOLH·FREA·LILH·KRIH·AALA·TRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

601333223123421213311364456344A·FREH·BODA·VIKH·HAMA·MOLH·FREA·LILH·KRIH·AALH·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

330712111210221617111312121213171091513919233233242425272422A·FREH·BODA·VIKH·HAMA·MOLH·FREA·LILH·KRIH·AALA·TRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

For 3.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

14033394564359264631112612910811610143H·KRIH·MOLA·LILH·BODH·TROH·ROSA·BRAH·VIKA·VALH·SAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

701334111241416251641225477H·KRIH·MOLA·LILH·BODH·TROH·ROSA·BRAH·VIKA·VALH·SAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 7.8 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

2809118913910915916415513271119920172219242020151828H·KRIH·MOLA·LILH·BODH·TROH·ROSA·BRAH·VIKA·VALH·SAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SandefjordSandefjord

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)11.210.512.03.63.63.525.525.525.4
vs Stronger (12)9.98.211.14.14.43.925.426.224.9
vs Similar (22)11.410.512.33.53.83.126.026.325.6
vs Weaker (11)12.312.212.43.22.54.024.523.525.8
% over line67%68%65%51%55%48%73%82%65%
% under line33%32%35%49%45%52%27%18%35%
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)8.98.98.93.53.53.621.520.822.4
vs Stronger (31)9.09.28.73.83.73.921.920.923.1
vs Similar (11)7.76.88.53.02.63.321.220.421.8
vs Weaker (3)12.311.514.02.73.51.019.321.016.0
% over line43%39%48%49%42%57%51%50%52%
% under line57%61%52%51%58%43%49%50%48%
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Viking
11.7
Aalesund
11.6
Valerenga
11.6
Sandefjord
11.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.1
Rosenborg
10.9
Brann
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Ham-Kam
10.4
Lillestrom
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
9.9
Tromso
9.0
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Start
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lillestrom
4.5
Viking
4.3
Valerenga
4.1
Brann
4.1
Molde
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Kristiansund BK
3.8
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Aalesund
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Tromso
3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.7
Lillestrom
24.7
Valerenga
24.3
Rosenborg
24.3
Start
24.2
Brann
24.2
Aalesund
23.7
Tromso
23.4
Ham-Kam
23.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.9
Molde
22.8
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.5
Fredrikstad
21.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.2%
@ 1.34-16.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
@ 2.90+16.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.34
Under
Unibet
2.90
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.0%
Under 3.5
49.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.5%
Under 21.5
31.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 3.576.3%1.39
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
+9.8%
Over 1.572.0%1.22
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.20
-4.3%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (25)
€45m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (24)
€25m
ROS (20)
€18m
S0F (24)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
VAL (19)
€14m
AAL (24)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (22)
€11m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Sandefjord's squad is €3m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€11m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (9)
€20m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (9)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
ROS (6)
€6m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
AAL (6)
€5m
SAN (7)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Sandefjord's attack is €1m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€4m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Sandefjord and KFUM Oslo have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
MOL (11)
€15m
VIK (11)
€13m
BRA (11)
€9m
ROS (10)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
VAL (6)
€3m
Sandefjord's defence is €2m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€5m vs €4m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo · H/A from SAN
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/26AKFUM Oslo Vs SAN1-2
30/11/25HSAN Vs KFUM Oslo2-0
30/03/25AKFUM Oslo Vs SAN3-1

SandefjordSandefjord

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AFredrikstad Vs SAN1-0
26/07/26HSAN Vs Bodo/Glimt0-3
18/07/26AViking Vs SAN2-1
12/07/26HSAN Vs Ham-Kam2-2
30/05/26AMolde Vs SAN2-1
25/05/26HSAN Vs Fredrikstad1-1
16/05/26ALillestrom Vs SAN3-1
10/05/26HSAN Vs Kristiansund BK2-0
03/05/26HSAN Vs Aalesund1-0
26/04/26ATromso Vs SAN3-1

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HKO Vs Kristiansund BK2-1
26/07/26HKO Vs Molde2-4
18/07/26ALillestrom Vs KO2-1
12/07/26HKO Vs Bodo/Glimt0-2
29/05/26HKO Vs Tromso0-0
25/05/26HKO Vs Rosenborg2-0
16/05/26ABrann Vs KO2-1
10/05/26HKO Vs Viking0-2
03/05/26AValerenga Vs KO2-2
26/04/26HKO Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.40
HomeWWDDL1.95
AwayLLLLL0.87
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%59%26%
AVG goals2.912.593.22
Over 2.5 %60%50%70%
Scored1.511.681.35
Conceded1.400.911.87
BTTS53%32%74%
Clean Sheet31%55%9%
Failed to Score20%23%17%
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.11
HomeWDLLW1.38
AwayDLDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%38%14%
AVG goals2.802.882.71
Over 2.5 %53%54%52%
Scored1.311.501.10
Conceded1.491.381.62
BTTS58%58%57%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Failed to Score27%21%33%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/Glimt16
75%
2.4
4111+30
3.2
88%
69%
44%
9.7
56%
2.4
13%
19.6
31%
75
2227262.60.7
65%
2Viking15
80%
2.5
3714+23
3.4
87%
73%
27%
11.5
80%
4.9
80%
25.2
67%
45
2012132.50.9
51%
3Tromso16
62%
2.1
3217+15
3.1
81%
50%
44%
9.9
44%
2.6
29%
22.7
62%
0
0002.01.1
50%
4Lillestrom15
53%
1.7
2218+4
2.7
87%
53%
33%
10.3
60%
4.5
57%
24.7
67%
14
6451.51.2
52%
5Molde15
47%
1.6
2822+6
3.3
80%
60%
40%
10.0
47%
3.9
53%
24.5
60%
35
137151.91.5
59%
6Sarpsborg 08 FF15
40%
1.5
1819-1
2.5
67%
47%
20%
9.7
53%
3.5
40%
22.9
60%
16
9341.21.3
44%
7Ham-Kam15
40%
1.4
2326-3
3.3
87%
73%
40%
9.3
47%
3.4
50%
25.1
67%
0
0001.51.7
47%
8Valerenga15
40%
1.3
2227-5
3.3
80%
53%
47%
12.3
67%
3.8
50%
21.9
40%
14
6531.51.8
48%
9Brann15
40%
1.3
3025+5
3.7
93%
87%
47%
11.6
67%
3.7
67%
24.5
67%
25
10792.01.7
59%
10Rosenborg14
36%
1.3
1918+1
2.6
93%
50%
21%
11.7
64%
3.6
57%
25.7
79%
18
6381.41.3
53%
11Fredrikstad15
33%
1.1
1627-11
2.9
87%
60%
33%
9.9
60%
3.5
47%
23.1
60%
15
5381.11.8
47%
12Sandefjord15
27%
1.0
1321-8
2.3
67%
47%
20%
12.5
87%
3.6
57%
24.4
73%
11
4250.91.4
51%
13KFUM Oslo15
27%
1.0
1726-9
2.9
87%
60%
33%
8.9
53%
3.6
53%
21.2
40%
8
3241.11.7
45%
14Aalesund15
13%
0.9
2135-14
3.7
93%
67%
53%
12.1
87%
3.8
57%
23.5
67%
13
5441.42.3
44%
15Kristiansund BK15
20%
0.8
1325-12
2.5
87%
53%
13%
10.7
53%
4.1
47%
24.2
60%
13
5430.91.7
43%
16Start16
12%
0.6
1637-21
3.3
100%
62%
25%
8.9
31%
3.8
50%
24.2
81%
9
2341.02.3
42%
Norway: Eliteserien 2026-27 full table · Sandefjord and KFUM Oslo highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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