This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Avg scored1.50
Avg conceded2.30
Avg total3.80
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
2.12
1.50
2.20
1.43
2.00
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
2.55
1.67
2.50
1.00
2.60
vs Similar (5)
1.80
1.40
1.25
1.75
4.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
6% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
4.3%
Ham-Kam goals ↓
Aalesund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.9%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
1
5.7%
10%
6.7%
3.2%
1.1%
2
6.5%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
3
4.3%
6.1%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
4
2.1%
3.0%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ham-Kam goals (down), columns = Aalesund goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viking
2.47
Bodo/Glimt
2.38
Tromso
2.12
Lillestrom
1.67
Molde
1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.47
Ham-Kam
1.40
Valerenga
1.33
Rosenborg
1.29
Brann
1.27
Fredrikstad
1.13
KFUM Oslo
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Aalesund
0.87
Kristiansund BK
0.80
Start
0.62
Ham-Kam is 0.53 points better than Aalesund in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.56
Viking
2.47
Tromso
2.00
Brann
2.00
Molde
1.87
Ham-Kam
1.53
Lillestrom
1.47
Valerenga
1.47
Aalesund
1.40
Rosenborg
1.36
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.13
Fredrikstad
1.07
Start
1.00
Kristiansund BK
0.87
Sandefjord
0.87
Ham-Kam is 0.13 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.69
Viking
0.93
Tromso
1.06
Lillestrom
1.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.27
Rosenborg
1.29
Sandefjord
1.40
Molde
1.47
Kristiansund BK
1.67
Brann
1.67
KFUM Oslo
1.73
Ham-Kam
1.73
Fredrikstad
1.80
Valerenga
1.80
Start
2.31
Aalesund
2.33
Ham-Kam is 0.60 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
65%
Brann
59%
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
53%
Lillestrom
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
51%
Tromso
50%
Valerenga
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
Ham-Kam
47%
KFUM Oslo
45%
Aalesund
44%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Ham-Kam is 3.0 percentage points better than Aalesund in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
H
Ham-Kam
For 3.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aalesund
For 5.5 · Against 7.3 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
H
Ham-Kam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
10.4
11.1
9.7
2.7
2.3
3.2
23.3
23.4
23.3
vs Stronger (9)
10.8
12.2
9.0
2.1
2.0
2.2
22.1
22.8
21.2
vs Similar (24)
11.0
12.0
10.2
3.0
2.3
3.7
24.6
23.4
25.6
vs Weaker (12)
9.0
8.7
9.3
2.6
2.5
2.7
21.7
23.8
19.5
% over line
56%
55%
57%
36%
27%
43%
56%
64%
48%
% under line
44%
45%
43%
64%
73%
57%
44%
36%
52%
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
11.6
11.4
12.0
3.4
3.5
3.3
23.7
25.3
21.4
vs Stronger (11)
12.0
11.5
12.6
3.2
3.2
3.2
22.5
25.8
18.4
vs Similar (5)
10.6
11.2
8.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
25.8
24.5
31.0
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
-
13.0
3.0
-
3.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
76%
70%
86%
53%
60%
43%
65%
70%
57%
% under line
24%
30%
14%
47%
40%
57%
35%
30%
43%
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Viking
11.7
Aalesund
11.6
Valerenga
11.6
Sandefjord
11.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.1
Rosenborg
10.9
Brann
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Ham-Kam
10.4
Lillestrom
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
9.9
Tromso
9.0
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Start
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lillestrom
4.5
Viking
4.3
Valerenga
4.1
Brann
4.1
Molde
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Kristiansund BK
3.8
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Aalesund
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Tromso
3.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.7
Lillestrom
24.7
Valerenga
24.3
Rosenborg
24.3
Start
24.2
Brann
24.2
Aalesund
23.7
Tromso
23.4
Ham-Kam
23.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.9
Molde
22.8
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.5
Fredrikstad
21.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
70.7%
Under 9.5
29.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.5%
Under 21.5
47.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (25)
€45m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (24)
€25m
ROS (20)
€18m
S0F (24)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
VAL (19)
€14m
AAL (24)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (22)
€11m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (9)
€20m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (9)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
ROS (6)
€6m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
AAL (6)
€5m
SAN (7)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
MOL (11)
€15m
VIK (11)
€13m
BRA (11)
€9m
ROS (10)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
VAL (6)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Ham-Kam vs Aalesund · H/A from HAM
Date
H/A
Game
Score
29/05/26
A
Aalesund Vs HAM
2-2
H
Ham-Kam
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
A
Valerenga Vs HAM
0-3
26/07/26
A
Sarpsborg 08 FF Vs HAM
1-0
22/07/26
A
Bodo/Glimt Vs HAM
3-0
18/07/26
H
HAM Vs Tromso
1-4
12/07/26
A
Sandefjord Vs HAM
2-2
29/05/26
A
Aalesund Vs HAM
2-2
25/05/26
H
HAM Vs Lillestrom
2-0
16/05/26
A
Fredrikstad Vs HAM
2-1
08/05/26
H
HAM Vs Valerenga
1-0
03/05/26
A
Kristiansund BK Vs HAM
1-1
Aalesund
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
H
AAL Vs Tromso
2-6
26/07/26
H
AAL Vs Viking
1-1
16/07/26
A
Valerenga Vs AAL
6-1
11/07/26
H
AAL Vs Molde
2-2
29/05/26
H
AAL Vs Ham-Kam
2-2
25/05/26
A
Tromso Vs AAL
1-1
20/05/26
H
AAL Vs Brann
2-1
16/05/26
A
Rosenborg Vs AAL
2-3
03/05/26
A
Sandefjord Vs AAL
1-0
26/04/26
H
AAL Vs Kristiansund BK
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
H
Ham-Kam
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLLLW
1.29
Home
WWWWL
1.77
Away
DDLLW
0.83
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
36%
55%
17%
AVG goals
3.07
3.32
2.83
Over 2.5 %
67%
73%
61%
Scored
1.44
1.82
1.09
Conceded
1.62
1.50
1.74
BTTS
58%
68%
48%
Clean Sheet
22%
32%
13%
Failed to Score
22%
5%
39%
Aalesund
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DDLDL
0.94
Home
WDDDL
0.80
Away
LLWDL
1.14
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
18%
10%
29%
AVG goals
3.59
3.70
3.43
Over 2.5 %
65%
70%
57%
Scored
1.47
1.50
1.43
Conceded
2.12
2.20
2.00
BTTS
76%
90%
57%
Clean Sheet
6%
0%
14%
Failed to Score
18%
10%
29%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Bodo/Glimt
16
75%
2.4
41
11
+30
3.2
88%
69%
44%
9.7
56%
2.4
13%
19.6
31%
75
22
27
26
2.6
0.7
65%
2
Viking
15
80%
2.5
37
14
+23
3.4
87%
73%
27%
11.5
80%
4.9
80%
25.2
67%
45
20
12
13
2.5
0.9
51%
3
Tromso
16
62%
2.1
32
17
+15
3.1
81%
50%
44%
9.9
44%
2.6
29%
22.7
62%
0
0
0
0
2.0
1.1
50%
4
Lillestrom
15
53%
1.7
22
18
+4
2.7
87%
53%
33%
10.3
60%
4.5
57%
24.7
67%
14
6
4
5
1.5
1.2
52%
5
Molde
15
47%
1.6
28
22
+6
3.3
80%
60%
40%
10.0
47%
3.9
53%
24.5
60%
35
13
7
15
1.9
1.5
59%
6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
15
40%
1.5
18
19
-1
2.5
67%
47%
20%
9.7
53%
3.5
40%
22.9
60%
16
9
3
4
1.2
1.3
44%
7
Ham-Kam
15
40%
1.4
23
26
-3
3.3
87%
73%
40%
9.3
47%
3.4
50%
25.1
67%
0
0
0
0
1.5
1.7
47%
8
Valerenga
15
40%
1.3
22
27
-5
3.3
80%
53%
47%
12.3
67%
3.8
50%
21.9
40%
14
6
5
3
1.5
1.8
48%
9
Brann
15
40%
1.3
30
25
+5
3.7
93%
87%
47%
11.6
67%
3.7
67%
24.5
67%
25
10
7
9
2.0
1.7
59%
10
Rosenborg
14
36%
1.3
19
18
+1
2.6
93%
50%
21%
11.7
64%
3.6
57%
25.7
79%
18
6
3
8
1.4
1.3
53%
11
Fredrikstad
15
33%
1.1
16
27
-11
2.9
87%
60%
33%
9.9
60%
3.5
47%
23.1
60%
15
5
3
8
1.1
1.8
47%
12
Sandefjord
15
27%
1.0
13
21
-8
2.3
67%
47%
20%
12.5
87%
3.6
57%
24.4
73%
11
4
2
5
0.9
1.4
51%
13
KFUM Oslo
15
27%
1.0
17
26
-9
2.9
87%
60%
33%
8.9
53%
3.6
53%
21.2
40%
8
3
2
4
1.1
1.7
45%
14
Aalesund
15
13%
0.9
21
35
-14
3.7
93%
67%
53%
12.1
87%
3.8
57%
23.5
67%
13
5
4
4
1.4
2.3
44%
15
Kristiansund BK
15
20%
0.8
13
25
-12
2.5
87%
53%
13%
10.7
53%
4.1
47%
24.2
60%
13
5
4
3
0.9
1.7
43%
16
Start
16
12%
0.6
16
37
-21
3.3
100%
62%
25%
8.9
31%
3.8
50%
24.2
81%
9
2
3
4
1.0
2.3
42%
Norway: Eliteserien 2026-27 full table · Ham-Kam and Aalesund highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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