This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orgryte IS
Avg scored0.90
Avg conceded2.20
Avg total3.10
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.60
1.50
1.36
0.94
1.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.38
0.00
1.33
0.60
3.00
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.38
2.00
1.29
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
1.22
1.75
1.50
1.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (AIK Stockholm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
@ 1.15-6.4%
Under 1.5
25.4%
@ 4.90+6.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.12
10Bet
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.52-11.9%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.39+11.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 2.35-12.5%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.56+12.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
25.5%
@ 1.67-30.0%
No
74.5%
@ 2.08+30.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
No
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.15
888Sport
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
19.1%@ 7.69+13.3%
1-0
16.0%@ 8.27+10.5%
3-0
14.8%@ 10.15+10.3%
4-0
8.6%@ 16.82+5.9%
0-0
7.7%@ 15.58+4.8%
2-1
6.2%@ 7.49+0.2%
1-1
5.9%@ 8.50+0.6%
3-1
4.8%@ 10.17+0.4%
AIK Stockholm goals ↓
Orgryte IS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
1.8%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
1
16%
5.9%
0.9%
0.1%
0.0%
2
19%
6.2%
1.0%
0.1%
0.0%
3
15%
4.8%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
4
8.6%
2.8%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AIK Stockholm goals (down), columns = Orgryte IS goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
AIK Stockholm is 0.60 points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.87).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
AIK Stockholm is 0.07 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.13).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
AIK Stockholm is 0.80 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.20).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
AIK Stockholm is 9.4 percentage points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average possession (53% vs 43%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
AIK Stockholm
For 5.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 14.0 · Total 25.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orgryte IS
For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AIK Stockholm
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (48)
10.7
10.2
11.1
4.0
3.5
4.4
24.1
23.6
24.5
vs Stronger (6)
9.3
12.0
8.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
25.0
21.0
27.0
vs Similar (24)
11.4
10.7
12.2
3.6
3.1
4.2
23.5
23.5
23.6
vs Weaker (18)
10.2
9.0
11.2
4.2
3.8
4.5
24.5
24.5
24.5
% over line
61%
50%
71%
58%
52%
64%
72%
73%
71%
% under line
39%
50%
29%
42%
48%
36%
28%
27%
29%
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orgryte IS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
10.6
10.4
10.8
2.0
2.1
2.0
22.5
22.4
22.7
vs Stronger (10)
9.9
16.0
9.0
2.0
1.3
2.3
21.5
13.0
22.7
vs Similar (19)
11.7
11.7
11.8
1.7
2.4
0.8
25.1
26.3
23.0
vs Weaker (17)
10.1
8.0
12.2
2.5
2.0
3.0
20.9
19.3
22.5
% over line
55%
57%
53%
26%
26%
26%
55%
57%
53%
% under line
45%
43%
47%
74%
74%
74%
45%
43%
47%
This opponent (AIK Stockholm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.4
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.7
Orgryte IS
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.6
BK Hacken
10.5
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Malmo FF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Malmo FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Hammarby FF
25.0
Malmo FF
24.9
Gais
24.7
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Brommapojkarna
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.4%
@ 1.49-3.3%
Under 9.5
41.6%
@ 2.40+3.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.50
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.39
Superbet
2.30
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.0%
Under 3.5
65.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.2%
Under 21.5
25.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
ðĨ 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home win
82.1%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.48
Dafabet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
+17.7%
Over 1.5
74.6%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-6.4%
BTTS No
74.5%
2.08
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.15
888Sport
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.08
+30.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.7%
1.56
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
+12.5%
AIK Stockholm clean sheet
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ð° 6. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
AIK Stockholm's squad is €12m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€20m vs €8m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
AIK Stockholm's attack is €6m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€8m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
AIK Stockholm's midfield is €6m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€7m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
AIK Stockholm and Orgryte IS have a similar defence value (both €5m).
ðĪ 7. Games History
Head-to-head
AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS · H/A from AS
Date
H/A
Game
Score
No games.
AIK Stockholm
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
27/07/26
A
BK Hacken Vs AS
0-0
18/07/26
H
AS Vs Gais
2-0
11/07/26
A
Mjallby AIF Vs AS
1-2
05/07/26
A
IFK Goteborg Vs AS
1-2
30/05/26
H
AS Vs Sirius
0-3
24/05/26
A
Hammarby FF Vs AS
1-2
17/05/26
A
Vasteras SK FK Vs AS
1-1
10/05/26
H
AS Vs Djurgardens IF
2-4
03/05/26
A
IF Elfsborg Vs AS
1-1
27/04/26
H
AS Vs Malmo FF
0-1
Orgryte IS
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/07/26
A
Vasteras SK FK Vs OI
2-0
20/07/26
H
OI Vs Djurgardens IF
0-0
11/07/26
H
OI Vs BK Hacken
4-3
05/07/26
A
Kalmar FF Vs OI
3-0
29/05/26
H
OI Vs IF Elfsborg
2-2
23/05/26
A
Halmstad Vs OI
2-0
19/05/26
H
OI Vs IFK Goteborg
2-3
11/05/26
A
Sirius Vs OI
2-0
03/05/26
A
Gais Vs OI
4-0
27/04/26
H
OI Vs Degerfors IF
1-1
ð 8. Overall Statistics
AIK Stockholm
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWWD
1.65
Home
WLLLW
1.83
Away
DWWWD
1.48
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
46%
52%
40%
AVG goals
2.54
2.70
2.40
Over 2.5 %
52%
57%
48%
Scored
1.42
1.65
1.20
Conceded
1.12
1.04
1.20
BTTS
50%
43%
56%
Clean Sheet
38%
43%
32%
Failed to Score
25%
30%
20%
Orgryte IS
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLWDL
1.52
Home
DLDWD
1.74
Away
LLLLL
1.30
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
41%
48%
35%
AVG goals
3.04
3.13
2.96
Over 2.5 %
52%
57%
48%
Scored
1.61
2.04
1.17
Conceded
1.43
1.09
1.78
BTTS
50%
48%
52%
Clean Sheet
30%
39%
22%
Failed to Score
28%
26%
30%
ð 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value âŽm
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Sirius
14
86%
2.7
40
17
+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18
5
4
2.9
1.2
47%
2
Hammarby FF
15
53%
1.8
33
15
+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0
0
0
2.2
1.0
60%
3
BK Hacken
15
40%
1.7
28
23
+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6
3
7
1.9
1.5
52%
4
Djurgardens IF
13
54%
1.8
27
15
+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
8
14
6
2.1
1.2
57%
5
Malmo FF
15
47%
1.5
30
25
+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
9
8
12
2.0
1.7
56%
6
Vasteras SK FK
14
43%
1.6
24
23
+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3
3
4
1.7
1.6
48%
7
AIK Stockholm
15
40%
1.5
18
21
-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8
7
5
1.2
1.4
53%
8
IF Elfsborg
15
33%
1.4
20
18
+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5
4
7
1.3
1.2
46%
9
Gais
15
33%
1.3
19
15
+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5
3
5
1.3
1.0
50%
10
Kalmar FF
15
33%
1.2
19
21
-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4
2
3
1.3
1.4
47%
11
Mjallby AIF
14
29%
1.2
20
19
+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
7
11
8
1.4
1.4
55%
12
IF Brommapojkarna
15
27%
1.1
20
24
-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3
1
4
1.3
1.6
46%
13
IFK Goteborg
15
27%
1.1
19
33
-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8
3
5
1.3
2.2
51%
14
Orgryte IS
15
20%
0.9
17
33
-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2
2
4
1.1
2.2
43%
15
Degerfors IF
15
13%
0.7
12
26
-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1
3
3
0.8
1.7
48%
16
Halmstad
14
7%
0.5
11
29
-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4
1
3
0.8
2.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · AIK Stockholm and Orgryte IS highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page
