This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Avg scored2.80
Avg conceded1.40
Avg total4.20
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
1.43
2.62
1.19
2.21
1.71
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
2.67
2.50
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
2.90
1.90
3.40
1.00
2.40
2.80
vs Weaker (17)
2.24
0.94
2.22
0.89
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.9%
@ 1.12+6.4%
Under 1.5
10.1%
@ 5.63-6.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.87
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.2%
@ 1.42+7.9%
Under 2.5
26.8%
@ 2.69-7.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
52.8%
@ 2.10+8.0%
Under 3.5
47.2%
@ 1.70-8.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
SBO
2.19
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Both teams to score
Yes
54.0%
@ 1.63-2.7%
No
46.0%
@ 2.14+2.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
888Sport
1.65
Betano
1.65
No
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
9.9%@ 7.80+4.1%
0-3
9.8%@ 9.49+5.1%
1-2
8.2%@ 7.85+2.4%
1-3
8.1%@ 9.55+3.4%
0-4
7.3%@ 14.81+4.3%
0-1
6.1%@ 9.06+1.1%
1-4
6.1%@ 14.84+3.0%
1-1
6.0%@ 9.36+1.2%
Halmstad goals ↓
Sirius goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.8%
6.1%
9.9%
9.8%
7.3%
1
1.3%
6.0%
8.2%
8.1%
6.1%
2
0.8%
2.3%
3.4%
3.4%
2.5%
3
0.2%
0.6%
0.9%
0.9%
0.7%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halmstad goals (down), columns = Sirius goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
Halmstad is 2.21 points worse than Sirius in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
Halmstad is 2.07 goals worse than Sirius in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 2.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
Halmstad is 0.86 goals worse than Sirius in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Halmstad is 6.4 percentage points worse than Sirius in terms of average possession (41% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Halmstad
For 4.4 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sirius
For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Halmstad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
9.9
9.0
10.8
3.5
3.6
3.3
23.9
24.5
23.3
vs Stronger (34)
9.6
8.6
10.4
3.4
3.1
3.6
24.4
24.9
24.0
vs Similar (8)
10.5
9.6
12.0
4.0
5.2
2.0
22.9
24.0
21.0
vs Weaker (2)
13.0
12.0
14.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
19.0
20.0
18.0
% over line
52%
45%
59%
50%
55%
45%
68%
68%
68%
% under line
48%
55%
41%
50%
45%
55%
32%
32%
32%
This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
11.0
10.6
11.3
3.2
2.9
3.5
25.3
24.4
26.3
vs Stronger (3)
10.7
10.0
12.0
0.7
1.0
0.0
22.0
20.0
26.0
vs Similar (14)
10.8
10.7
10.9
3.1
2.1
4.1
25.6
26.1
25.0
vs Weaker (27)
11.1
10.7
11.4
3.6
3.6
3.5
25.6
24.1
26.9
% over line
73%
64%
82%
48%
41%
55%
89%
82%
95%
% under line
27%
36%
18%
52%
59%
45%
11%
18%
5%
This opponent (Halmstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.5
BK Hacken
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.4
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Malmo FF
10.0
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.1
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Malmo FF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Gais
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.5%
@ 1.44-10.2%
Under 9.5
46.5%
@ 2.52+10.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.52
Unibet
2.48
1xBet
2.44
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.9%
Under 21.5
21.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
89.9%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
+6.4%
Away win
80.0%
1.36
Dafabet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.38
+12.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
73.2%
1.42
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
+7.9%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Halmstad's squad is €19m less valuable than Sirius's (€8m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Halmstad's attack is €14m less valuable than Sirius's (€4m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Halmstad's midfield is €4m less valuable than Sirius's (€1m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Halmstad and Sirius have a similar defence value (both €3m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Halmstad vs Sirius · H/A from HAL
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/08/25
H
HAL Vs Sirius
0-1
27/04/25
A
Sirius Vs HAL
1-1
Halmstad
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
26/07/26
A
Gais Vs HAL
1-1
19/07/26
H
HAL Vs BK Hacken
0-2
13/07/26
A
Djurgardens IF Vs HAL
3-0
04/07/26
H
HAL Vs Vasteras SK FK
1-3
30/05/26
A
Malmo FF Vs HAL
5-2
23/05/26
H
HAL Vs Orgryte IS
2-0
16/05/26
H
HAL Vs IF Elfsborg
1-1
10/05/26
A
Kalmar FF Vs HAL
2-0
04/05/26
H
HAL Vs IF Brommapojkarna
1-3
27/04/26
A
Mjallby AIF Vs HAL
2-0
Sirius
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
26/07/26
H
SIR Vs IFK Goteborg
4-1
19/07/26
A
IF Elfsborg Vs SIR
1-3
12/07/26
A
IF Brommapojkarna Vs SIR
1-2
03/07/26
H
SIR Vs Mjallby AIF
4-4
30/05/26
A
AIK Stockholm Vs SIR
0-3
24/05/26
H
SIR Vs Gais
2-1
18/05/26
A
Djurgardens IF Vs SIR
2-3
11/05/26
H
SIR Vs Orgryte IS
2-0
02/05/26
H
SIR Vs Kalmar FF
3-2
27/04/26
A
BK Hacken Vs SIR
2-2
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Halmstad
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLLLD
0.95
Home
LDWLL
1.05
Away
LLLLD
0.86
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
25%
27%
23%
AVG goals
2.59
2.64
2.55
Over 2.5 %
45%
45%
45%
Scored
0.80
0.86
0.73
Conceded
1.80
1.77
1.82
BTTS
41%
41%
41%
Clean Sheet
23%
32%
14%
Failed to Score
41%
36%
45%
Sirius
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDWWW
1.75
Home
WWWDW
1.91
Away
DWWWW
1.59
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
52%
59%
45%
AVG goals
3.66
3.45
3.86
Over 2.5 %
75%
68%
82%
Scored
2.11
2.23
2.00
Conceded
1.55
1.23
1.86
BTTS
75%
64%
86%
Clean Sheet
18%
23%
14%
Failed to Score
7%
14%
0%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Sirius
14
86%
2.7
40
17
+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18
5
4
2.9
1.2
47%
2
Hammarby FF
15
53%
1.8
33
15
+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0
0
0
2.2
1.0
60%
3
BK Hacken
15
40%
1.7
28
23
+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6
3
7
1.9
1.5
52%
4
Djurgardens IF
13
54%
1.8
27
15
+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
8
14
6
2.1
1.2
57%
5
Malmo FF
15
47%
1.5
30
25
+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
9
8
12
2.0
1.7
56%
6
Vasteras SK FK
14
43%
1.6
24
23
+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3
3
4
1.7
1.6
48%
7
AIK Stockholm
15
40%
1.5
18
21
-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8
7
5
1.2
1.4
53%
8
IF Elfsborg
15
33%
1.4
20
18
+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5
4
7
1.3
1.2
46%
9
Gais
15
33%
1.3
19
15
+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5
3
5
1.3
1.0
50%
10
Kalmar FF
15
33%
1.2
19
21
-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4
2
3
1.3
1.4
47%
11
Mjallby AIF
14
29%
1.2
20
19
+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
7
11
8
1.4
1.4
55%
12
IF Brommapojkarna
15
27%
1.1
20
24
-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3
1
4
1.3
1.6
46%
13
IFK Goteborg
15
27%
1.1
19
33
-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8
3
5
1.3
2.2
51%
14
Orgryte IS
15
20%
0.9
17
33
-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2
2
4
1.1
2.2
43%
15
Degerfors IF
15
13%
0.7
12
26
-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1
3
3
0.8
1.7
48%
16
Halmstad
14
7%
0.5
11
29
-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4
1
3
0.8
2.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · Halmstad and Sirius highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page
