PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
HF
Hammarby FF
Vs
69%
19%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hammarby FF win
68.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
BK Hacken win
12.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HF
Hammarby FF

Avg scored 2.00
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 3.00
40-4avg 2.0avg 1.0avg total 3.030104102122321204011H·VASA·IFKH·MALA·GAIH·AIKA·BK A·IF H·KALH·DEGA·IF
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.002.860.641.311.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.881.252.670.001.402.00
vs Weaker (22)2.090.912.910.821.271.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BK HackenBK Hacken

Avg scored 1.70
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 3.20
40-4avg 1.7avg 1.5avg total 3.211321011322434200011A·DEGH·MALA·MJAA·IF H·HAMH·DJUA·ORGA·HALH·AIKH·KAL
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.501.601.531.331.47
vs Stronger (14)1.291.791.501.751.001.83
vs Similar (12)1.501.331.671.171.331.50
vs Weaker (4)2.001.002.002.002.000.67
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
Hammarby FF goals ↓
BK Hacken goals →
01234
04.6%2.6%1.6%0.5%0.1%
18.0%9.0%3.8%1.2%0.3%
210%9.6%4.5%1.4%0.3%
38.2%7.6%3.5%1.1%0.3%
44.9%4.5%2.1%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hammarby FF goals (down), columns = BK Hacken goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
Hammarby FF is 0.13 points better than BK Hacken in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
Hammarby FF is 0.33 goals better than BK Hacken in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
Hammarby FF is 0.53 goals better than BK Hacken in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Hammarby FF is 8.1 percentage points better than BK Hacken in terms of average possession (60% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HF
Hammarby FF

For 6.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1509262518387543210354711861115951397A·IF H·DEGH·KALA·IF A·BK H·AIKA·GAIH·MALA·IFKH·VAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

5011121123143222122122555223A·IF H·DEGH·KALA·IF A·BK H·AIKA·GAIH·MALA·IFKH·VAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

30013911812118981112181116131692091322192317193027292922A·IF H·DEGH·KALA·IF A·BK H·AIKA·GAIH·MALA·IFKH·VAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BK HackenBK Hacken

For 5.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

150565137857878617545531161013151571298H·KALH·AIKA·HALA·ORGH·DJUH·HAMA·IF A·MJAH·MALA·DEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

503122221332313231213324454543H·KALH·AIKA·HALA·ORGH·DJUH·HAMA·IF A·MJAH·MALA·DEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

33017141611316131310121187131914141082131271926221920332429H·KALH·AIKA·HALA·ORGH·DJUH·HAMA·IF A·MJAH·MALA·DEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HF
Hammarby FF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (49)9.89.610.13.23.43.125.025.025.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)8.48.87.82.73.12.226.327.325.0
vs Weaker (36)10.39.810.83.43.43.424.624.225.0
% over line49%39%59%41%40%42%76%74%77%
% under line51%61%41%59%60%58%24%26%23%
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BK HackenBK Hacken

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.69.811.44.24.24.324.524.824.2
vs Stronger (22)12.011.213.14.14.23.923.423.922.6
vs Similar (18)9.48.410.44.84.35.325.725.825.6
vs Weaker (10)10.19.010.83.53.53.524.625.024.3
% over line60%45%76%60%48%72%67%68%67%
% under line40%55%24%40%52%28%33%32%33%
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.5
BK Hacken
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.4
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Malmo FF
10.0
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.1
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Malmo FF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Gais
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.1%
Under 21.5
25.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.584.8%-------
Over 21.5 fouls74.1%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken · H/A from HF
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/26ABK Hacken Vs HF3-2
21/09/25HHF Vs BK Hacken4-0
27/04/25ABK Hacken Vs HF1-1

HF
Hammarby FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs HF1-1
19/07/26HHF Vs Degerfors IF4-0
12/07/26HHF Vs Kalmar FF2-0
05/07/26AIF Elfsborg Vs HF1-2
31/05/26ABK Hacken Vs HF3-2
24/05/26HHF Vs AIK Stockholm1-2
20/05/26AGais Vs HF2-0
17/05/26HHF Vs Malmo FF4-1
09/05/26AIFK Goteborg Vs HF0-1
03/05/26HHF Vs Vasteras SK FK3-0

BK HackenBK Hacken

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HBH Vs Kalmar FF1-1
27/07/26HBH Vs AIK Stockholm0-0
19/07/26AHalmstad Vs BH0-2
11/07/26AOrgryte IS Vs BH4-3
06/07/26HBH Vs Djurgardens IF2-4
31/05/26HBH Vs Hammarby FF3-2
25/05/26AIF Elfsborg Vs BH1-1
17/05/26AMjallby AIF Vs BH0-1
10/05/26HBH Vs Malmo FF3-2
02/05/26ADegerfors IF Vs BH1-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

HF
Hammarby FF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.92
HomeWWLWW2.28
AwayWLLWD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%72%42%
AVG goals2.883.042.71
Over 2.5 %53%60%46%
Scored1.942.401.46
Conceded0.940.641.25
BTTS49%40%58%
Clean Sheet43%56%29%
Failed to Score14%8%21%
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.30
HomeWWLDD1.32
AwayDWDLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.943.522.36
Over 2.5 %50%64%36%
Scored1.481.761.20
Conceded1.461.761.16
BTTS60%80%40%
Clean Sheet24%12%36%
Failed to Score24%12%36%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sirius14
86%
2.7
4017+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18542.91.2
47%
2Hammarby FF15
53%
1.8
3315+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0002.21.0
60%
3BK Hacken15
40%
1.7
2823+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6371.91.5
52%
4Djurgardens IF13
54%
1.8
2715+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
81462.11.2
57%
5Malmo FF15
47%
1.5
3025+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
98122.01.7
56%
6Vasteras SK FK14
43%
1.6
2423+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3341.71.6
48%
7AIK Stockholm15
40%
1.5
1821-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8751.21.4
53%
8IF Elfsborg15
33%
1.4
2018+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5471.31.2
46%
9Gais15
33%
1.3
1915+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5351.31.0
50%
10Kalmar FF15
33%
1.2
1921-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4231.31.4
47%
11Mjallby AIF14
29%
1.2
2019+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
71181.41.4
55%
12IF Brommapojkarna15
27%
1.1
2024-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3141.31.6
46%
13IFK Goteborg15
27%
1.1
1933-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8351.32.2
51%
14Orgryte IS15
20%
0.9
1733-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2241.12.2
43%
15Degerfors IF15
13%
0.7
1226-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1330.81.7
48%
16Halmstad14
7%
0.5
1129-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4130.82.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · Hammarby FF and BK Hacken highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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