PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 10/08/2026
Sirius
Sirius
Vs
64%
19%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sirius win
64.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
IF Brommapojkarna win
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SiriusSirius

Avg scored 2.80
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 4.20
40-4avg 2.8avg 1.4avg total 4.222322032213044213141A·BK H·KALH·ORGA·DJUH·GAIA·AIKH·MJAA·IF A·IF H·IFK
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.432.621.192.211.71
vs Stronger (3)2.002.672.503.001.002.00
vs Similar (10)2.901.903.401.002.402.80
vs Weaker (17)2.240.942.220.892.251.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna

Avg scored 1.30
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 2.70
30-3avg 1.3avg 1.4avg total 2.731021021221112121112A·HALA·IF H·KALA·DJUA·DEGH·GAIH·SIRA·IFKH·HAMH·MAL
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.731.532.001.201.47
vs Stronger (23)1.171.741.231.771.101.70
vs Similar (6)2.171.833.503.501.501.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.5%
Under 1.5
9.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74.2%
Under 2.5
25.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-2
5.0%
4-1
5.0%
Sirius goals ↓
IF Brommapojkarna goals →
01234
02.8%2.0%1.7%0.8%0.2%
14.7%7.7%4.5%1.9%0.6%
26.9%9.0%5.8%2.5%0.8%
36.0%7.7%5.0%2.1%0.7%
43.8%5.0%3.2%1.4%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sirius goals (down), columns = IF Brommapojkarna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sirius
2.71
Hammarby FF
1.80
Djurgardens IF
1.77
BK Hacken
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.57
Malmo FF
1.53
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.40
Gais
1.33
Mjallby AIF
1.21
Kalmar FF
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna
1.13
IFK Goteborg
1.07
Orgryte IS
0.87
Degerfors IF
0.67
Halmstad
0.50
Sirius is 1.58 points better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.86
Hammarby FF
2.20
Djurgardens IF
2.08
Malmo FF
2.00
BK Hacken
1.87
Vasteras SK FK
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.43
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IF Elfsborg
1.33
IFK Goteborg
1.27
Kalmar FF
1.27
Gais
1.27
AIK Stockholm
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.13
Degerfors IF
0.80
Halmstad
0.79
Sirius is 1.52 goals better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of goals scored per game (2.86 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
1.00
Hammarby FF
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.15
IF Elfsborg
1.20
Sirius
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.36
AIK Stockholm
1.40
Kalmar FF
1.40
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.60
Vasteras SK FK
1.64
Malmo FF
1.67
Degerfors IF
1.73
Halmstad
2.07
IFK Goteborg
2.20
Orgryte IS
2.20
Sirius is 0.39 goals better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
60%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
55%
AIK Stockholm
53%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Degerfors IF
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
Sirius
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
46%
IF Elfsborg
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Sirius is 1.1 percentage points better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SiriusSirius

For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

140444675833974375466113810121112111091214H·IFKA·IF A·IF H·MJAA·AIKH·GAIA·DJUH·ORGH·KALA·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

7014321134134111315511745141H·IFKA·IF A·IF H·MJAA·AIKH·GAIA·DJUH·ORGH·KALA·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.5

⚠️ Fouls

2907161213177613131211111514816620171123252419252229242628H·IFKA·IF A·IF H·MJAA·AIKH·GAIA·DJUH·ORGH·KALA·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna

For 4.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1504429510573853834385548111512118117139H·MALH·HAMA·IFKH·SIRH·GAIA·DEGA·DJUH·KALA·IF A·HAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

70251121121242437231212427H·MALH·HAMA·IFKH·SIRH·GAIA·DEGA·DJUH·KALA·IF A·HAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 12.1 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

32011219138147175881311810136712732222224132119231319H·MALH·HAMA·IFKH·SIRH·GAIA·DEGA·DJUH·KALA·IF A·HAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SiriusSirius

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)11.010.611.33.22.93.425.324.426.3
vs Stronger (3)10.710.012.00.71.00.022.020.026.0
vs Similar (14)10.810.710.93.12.14.125.626.125.0
vs Weaker (28)11.110.711.43.43.63.325.624.126.9
% over line73%64%82%47%41%52%89%82%95%
% under line27%36%18%53%59%48%11%18%5%
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)10.510.610.43.84.23.424.625.224.0
vs Stronger (33)10.09.510.63.84.23.325.125.624.5
vs Similar (10)11.213.89.54.14.83.723.023.822.5
vs Weaker (2)15.517.014.02.52.03.023.523.024.0
% over line60%64%57%44%59%30%78%82%74%
% under line40%36%43%56%41%70%22%18%26%
This opponent (Sirius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.0
Djurgardens IF
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.6
IF Brommapojkarna
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.5
BK Hacken
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.4
Gais
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.3
Kalmar FF
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Malmo FF
10.0
Halmstad
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.8
Vasteras SK FK
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.5
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.1
Degerfors IF
4.0
Vasteras SK FK
3.9
IF Elfsborg
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.5
Sirius
3.4
Orgryte IS
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Vasteras SK FK
26.7
IFK Goteborg
26.1
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.3
Malmo FF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Gais
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.5
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.9
Kalmar FF
22.9
Orgryte IS
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.3%
Under 21.5
34.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.590.5%-------
Over 2.574.2%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Sirius's squad is €19m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€27m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Sirius's attack is €15m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€18m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Sirius's midfield is €5m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€5m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Sirius and IF Brommapojkarna have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna · H/A from SIR
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs SIR1-2
17/08/25AIF Brommapojkarna Vs SIR2-4
13/04/25HSIR Vs IF Brommapojkarna0-3

SiriusSirius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HSIR Vs IFK Goteborg4-1
19/07/26AIF Elfsborg Vs SIR1-3
12/07/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs SIR1-2
03/07/26HSIR Vs Mjallby AIF4-4
30/05/26AAIK Stockholm Vs SIR0-3
24/05/26HSIR Vs Gais2-1
18/05/26ADjurgardens IF Vs SIR2-3
11/05/26HSIR Vs Orgryte IS2-0
02/05/26HSIR Vs Kalmar FF3-2
27/04/26ABK Hacken Vs SIR2-2

IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HIB Vs Malmo FF1-2
26/07/26HIB Vs Hammarby FF1-1
17/07/26AIFK Goteborg Vs IB2-1
12/07/26HIB Vs Sirius1-2
06/07/26HIB Vs Gais1-1
31/05/26ADegerfors IF Vs IB2-2
22/05/26ADjurgardens IF Vs IB1-2
17/05/26HIB Vs Kalmar FF1-0
08/05/26AIF Elfsborg Vs IB2-0
04/05/26AHalmstad Vs IB1-3

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Sirius
Sirius
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.75
HomeWWWDW1.91
AwayDWWWW1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%59%45%
AVG goals3.663.453.86
Over 2.5 %75%68%82%
Scored2.112.232.00
Conceded1.551.231.86
BTTS75%64%86%
Clean Sheet18%23%14%
Failed to Score7%14%0%
IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.07
HomeWDLDL0.82
AwayWLWDL1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%23%35%
AVG goals2.913.142.70
Over 2.5 %56%55%57%
Scored1.331.321.35
Conceded1.581.821.35
BTTS58%59%57%
Clean Sheet18%14%22%
Failed to Score27%27%26%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sirius14
86%
2.7
4017+23
4.1
100%
86%
57%
10.2
71%
3.0
50%
25.9
93%
27
18542.91.2
47%
2Hammarby FF15
53%
1.8
3315+18
3.2
93%
53%
27%
8.5
33%
3.0
33%
24.6
73%
0
0002.21.0
60%
3BK Hacken15
40%
1.7
2823+5
3.4
87%
53%
47%
10.9
60%
4.3
60%
26.4
80%
16
6371.91.5
52%
4Djurgardens IF13
54%
1.8
2715+12
3.2
69%
62%
38%
12.0
77%
3.5
46%
22.5
54%
27
81462.11.2
57%
5Malmo FF15
47%
1.5
3025+5
3.7
80%
73%
60%
10.3
47%
4.0
60%
26.7
87%
30
98122.01.7
56%
6Vasteras SK FK14
43%
1.6
2423+1
3.4
79%
57%
43%
10.4
64%
3.8
50%
26.9
100%
10
3341.71.6
48%
7AIK Stockholm15
40%
1.5
1821-3
2.6
80%
60%
13%
10.8
47%
4.3
73%
24.3
73%
20
8751.21.4
53%
8IF Elfsborg15
33%
1.4
2018+2
2.5
87%
47%
20%
9.2
47%
3.9
53%
21.3
53%
17
5471.31.2
46%
9Gais15
33%
1.3
1915+4
2.3
73%
40%
20%
9.7
53%
3.6
40%
23.6
67%
13
5351.31.0
50%
10Kalmar FF15
33%
1.2
1921-2
2.7
80%
53%
20%
10.0
47%
3.5
40%
24.0
67%
10
4231.31.4
47%
11Mjallby AIF14
29%
1.2
2019+1
2.8
79%
50%
21%
8.9
36%
4.0
64%
26.4
71%
26
71181.41.4
55%
12IF Brommapojkarna15
27%
1.1
2024-4
2.9
93%
73%
27%
9.9
53%
3.1
33%
21.8
53%
8
3141.31.6
46%
13IFK Goteborg15
27%
1.1
1933-14
3.5
93%
53%
40%
11.1
67%
4.1
47%
24.9
80%
16
8351.32.2
51%
14Orgryte IS15
20%
0.9
1733-16
3.3
93%
53%
33%
9.7
47%
3.1
53%
22.1
53%
8
2241.12.2
43%
15Degerfors IF15
13%
0.7
1226-14
2.5
80%
47%
20%
9.3
40%
3.7
40%
26.0
73%
6
1330.81.7
48%
16Halmstad14
7%
0.5
1129-18
2.9
100%
43%
21%
10.1
50%
3.4
50%
23.7
57%
8
4130.82.1
41%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026-27 full table · Sirius and IF Brommapojkarna highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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