PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 07/08/2026
Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK
Vs
69%
20%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall
Sweden: Superettan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostersunds FK win
69.2%
Avg Implied 60.1% · @ 1.53
Edge
+9.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Draw
20.1%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.92
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
4.11
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
GIF Sundsvall win
10.7%
Avg Implied 16.3% · @ 5.65
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
6.34
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 2.40
30-3avg 1.4avg 1.0avg total 2.421013211110220202210H·SANA·ODDH·OREA·UNIA·LJUH·IFKA·GIFH·LANA·NORH·OST
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.601.330.931.67
vs Stronger (4)1.002.000.503.001.501.00
vs Similar (21)1.191.331.600.700.821.91
vs Weaker (5)1.801.802.332.331.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall

Avg scored 0.70
Avg conceded 2.60
Avg total 3.30
50-5avg 0.7avg 2.6avg total 3.321010310042502131205H·LANA·VARH·SANA·OREH·OSTA·HELH·OSTA·NORH·FALA·SAN
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.001.072.000.802.00
vs Stronger (18)1.062.001.102.001.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.821.911.002.000.671.83
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.3%
@ 1.24+5.7%
Under 1.5
19.7%
@ 3.64-5.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.77
Unibet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
888Sport
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.7%
@ 1.78+4.2%
Under 2.5
43.3%
@ 1.97-4.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
888Sport
1.95
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.3%
@ 2.88+2.2%
Under 3.5
65.7%
@ 1.36-2.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
2.97
888Sport
2.90
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.81
Under
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
48.3%
@ 1.80-2.9%
No
51.7%
@ 1.89+2.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
William Hil
1.75
No
William Hil
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%@ 6.84+6.2%
1-0
10.5%@ 6.39+3.8%
1-1
9.6%@ 7.06+3.5%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.33+3.7%
3-0
9.1%@ 10.22+4.9%
3-1
7.0%@ 11.34+3.2%
0-0
6.1%@ 10.39+1.9%
4-0
5.0%@ 19.31+2.8%
Ostersunds FK goals ↓
GIF Sundsvall goals →
01234
06.1%3.1%1.5%0.4%0.1%
111%9.6%3.3%0.8%0.2%
213%9.6%3.6%0.9%0.2%
39.1%7.0%2.7%0.7%0.1%
45.0%3.8%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ostersunds FK goals (down), columns = GIF Sundsvall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.06
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.94
Falkenbergs FF
1.82
Ostersunds FK
1.71
United Nordic
1.59
Osters IF
1.53
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
Helsingborg
1.41
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Sandviken
1.29
Oddevold
1.29
IK brage
1.18
Norrby IF
1.12
Orebro SK
0.94
IFK Varnamo
0.69
GIF Sundsvall
0.53
Ostersunds FK is 1.18 points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 0.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Varbergs BoIS FC
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.94
Helsingborg
1.76
Sandviken
1.76
IK brage
1.76
IFK Norrkoping
1.71
United Nordic
1.65
Oddevold
1.65
Ostersunds FK
1.59
Osters IF
1.59
Ljungskile SK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.35
Norrby IF
1.24
IFK Varnamo
1.06
Orebro SK
0.81
GIF Sundsvall
0.76
Ostersunds FK is 0.82 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.59
Landskrona BoIS
1.12
Ostersunds FK
1.24
Norrby IF
1.35
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.35
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Orebro SK
1.38
Sandviken
1.47
United Nordic
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Oddevold
1.53
Osters IF
1.53
IK brage
1.76
Helsingborg
2.00
IFK Varnamo
2.12
GIF Sundsvall
2.41
Ostersunds FK is 1.18 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 2.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
58%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
Ostersunds FK
53%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ljungskile SK
51%
Osters IF
50%
United Nordic
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Oddevold
50%
Orebro SK
50%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
45%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Ostersunds FK is 12.4 percentage points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average possession (53% vs 41%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK

For 5.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1408611425878362311033414261371184137H·OSTA·NORH·IFKA·UNIH·OREA·ODDH·SANA·IK A·OSTA·SAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

6042331311211242234054432265H·OSTA·NORH·IFKA·UNIH·OREA·ODDH·SANA·IK A·OSTA·SAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

280131312169148151872628232325H·IFKA·UNIA·OSTA·SANH·VAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall

For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

17011023566376386547519811511913111111617A·SANA·NORA·OREH·SANA·VARH·LANA·LJUA·FALH·IK H·ORG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5

🟨 Cards

6022122211224222032422262A·SANA·NORA·OREH·SANA·VARH·LANA·LJUA·FALH·IK H·ORG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

28011613119713121041018172416251428H·LANA·LJUA·FALH·IK H·ORGA·TRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)9.39.69.01.71.51.924.522.626.2
vs Stronger (9)8.49.76.51.62.21.025.826.325.0
vs Similar (31)9.69.99.51.91.32.624.621.626.5
vs Weaker (7)8.58.5-0.91.50.016.016.0-
% over line44%42%46%21%22%21%79%67%90%
% under line56%58%54%79%78%79%21%33%10%
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)9.79.010.11.31.01.720.718.622.4
vs Stronger (29)10.39.411.31.10.91.418.817.720.2
vs Similar (17)8.97.59.21.71.02.324.725.024.6
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line48%22%64%11%4%17%39%25%50%
% under line52%78%36%89%96%83%61%75%50%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Osters IF
12.0
IFK Norrkoping
11.1
IFK Varnamo
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Sandviken
10.6
Ljungskile SK
10.2
GIF Sundsvall
9.7
Oddevold
9.5
Falkenbergs FF
9.3
IK brage
9.3
Orebro SK
9.3
Ostersunds FK
9.3
Helsingborg
9.2
United Nordic
9.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
8.9
Norrby IF
7.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.4
Helsingborg
4.3
IK brage
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Osters IF
4.0
Orebro SK
3.8
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
IFK Varnamo
3.2
Ostersunds FK
3.2
Sandviken
3.0
United Nordic
2.7
GIF Sundsvall
2.7
Norrby IF
2.6
Oddevold
2.5
Falkenbergs FF
2.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.1
IFK Norrkoping
27.5
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.8
Osters IF
24.7
Ostersunds FK
24.5
Orebro SK
24.1
Helsingborg
23.7
IFK Varnamo
23.4
Falkenbergs FF
22.9
Norrby IF
22.7
Sandviken
22.6
Oddevold
22.1
GIF Sundsvall
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
@ 1.60-7.5%
Under 9.5
50.1%
@ 2.16+7.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.16
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.2%
Under 21.5
99.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 21.5 fouls99.8%-------
Over 1.580.3%1.24
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+5.7%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (22)
€4m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
GS (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IB (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
GS (4)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall · H/A from OF
DateH/AGameScore
27/06/26AGIF Sundsvall Vs OF0-2
16/08/25HOF Vs GIF Sundsvall1-3
28/06/25AGIF Sundsvall Vs OF1-1

Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HOF Vs Osters IF1-0
26/07/26ANorrby IF Vs OF2-2
18/07/26HOF Vs Landskrona BoIS2-0
27/06/26AGIF Sundsvall Vs OF0-2
21/06/26HOF Vs IFK Norrkoping0-2
14/06/26ALjungskile SK Vs OF1-1
09/06/26AUnited Nordic Vs OF1-1
31/05/26HOF Vs Orebro SK3-2
23/05/26AOddevold Vs OF1-0
17/05/26HOF Vs Sandviken2-1

GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ASandviken Vs GS5-0
26/07/26HGS Vs Falkenbergs FF1-2
20/07/26ANorrby IF Vs GS3-1
27/06/26HGS Vs Ostersunds FK0-2
21/06/26AHelsingborg Vs GS5-2
15/06/26HGS Vs Osters IF0-4
10/06/26AOrebro SK Vs GS0-1
30/05/26HGS Vs Sandviken0-3
24/05/26AVarbergs BoIS FC Vs GS1-0
18/05/26HGS Vs Landskrona BoIS2-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.38
HomeWWLWW1.83
AwayLDDWD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%21%
AVG goals2.813.222.42
Over 2.5 %49%65%33%
Scored1.281.740.83
Conceded1.531.481.58
BTTS51%65%38%
Clean Sheet23%26%21%
Failed to Score32%13%50%
GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.04
HomeWLLLL0.96
AwayLWLLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%25%35%
AVG goals2.722.922.52
Over 2.5 %55%58%52%
Scored1.041.170.91
Conceded1.681.751.61
BTTS53%62%43%
Clean Sheet19%12%26%
Failed to Score32%29%35%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IFK Norrkoping17
65%
2.1
2910+19
2.3
71%
35%
18%
9.4
44%
3.4
56%
27.8
100%
9
3331.70.6
55%
2Varbergs BoIS FC17
59%
1.9
3423+11
3.4
88%
76%
47%
7.8
36%
3.9
64%
30.8
100%
6
2222.01.4
47%
3Falkenbergs FF17
53%
1.8
3326+7
3.5
88%
76%
47%
9.1
44%
1.8
11%
20.3
67%
5
2131.91.5
50%
4Ostersunds FK17
47%
1.7
2721+6
2.8
82%
47%
29%
8.7
44%
3.3
56%
25.7
100%
4
1221.61.2
53%
5United Nordic17
41%
1.6
2825+3
3.1
88%
47%
41%
9.1
57%
2.7
29%
29.8
100%
3
0121.61.5
50%
6Osters IF17
47%
1.5
2726+1
3.1
76%
71%
41%
11.8
89%
2.9
33%
24.5
100%
5
2221.61.5
50%
7Landskrona BoIS17
41%
1.5
2319+4
2.5
71%
47%
24%
10.1
43%
3.7
43%
28.2
75%
6
2221.41.1
58%
8Helsingborg17
41%
1.4
3034-4
3.8
94%
71%
53%
9.8
75%
5.0
80%
26.0
100%
7
2221.82.0
45%
9Ljungskile SK17
35%
1.4
2523+2
2.8
71%
53%
41%
10.2
56%
3.8
50%
26.6
100%
3
1121.51.4
51%
10Sandviken17
35%
1.3
3025+5
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.6
33%
2.4
11%
23.0
67%
4
1121.81.5
55%
11Oddevold17
29%
1.3
2826+2
3.2
76%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
2.4
22%
25.4
100%
5
1131.61.5
50%
12IK brage17
29%
1.2
3030+0
3.5
76%
71%
53%
8.8
38%
4.2
67%
27.3
100%
4
1121.81.8
48%
13Norrby IF17
18%
1.1
2123-2
2.6
76%
47%
35%
7.3
33%
2.3
33%
21.5
50%
3
1011.21.4
44%
14Orebro SK16
19%
0.9
1322-9
2.2
62%
38%
19%
9.5
50%
3.0
38%
23.3
67%
5
1130.81.4
50%
15IFK Varnamo16
19%
0.7
1734-17
3.2
69%
62%
50%
8.2
22%
2.9
22%
24.3
67%
5
2121.12.1
53%
16GIF Sundsvall17
18%
0.5
1341-28
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.8
67%
2.6
22%
20.5
50%
4
1120.82.4
41%
Sweden: Superettan 2026-27 full table · Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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