PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF
Vs
47%
30%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
United Nordic
United Nordic
Sweden: Superettan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Falkenbergs FF win
46.7%
Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 2.02
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
2.02
Draw
30.3%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.60
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
3.60
United Nordic win
23.0%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.20
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Unibet
3.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF

Avg scored 2.40
Avg conceded 1.70
Avg total 4.10
40-4avg 2.4avg 1.7avg total 4.141312124113142232112A·UNIH·IFKH·ODDA·SANH·OREA·OSTA·IK H·HELA·GIFA·VAR
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.331.870.872.001.80
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (14)2.001.362.141.141.861.57
vs Weaker (14)2.001.361.860.572.142.14
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

United NordicUnited Nordic

Avg scored 1.30
Avg conceded 1.30
Avg total 2.60
40-4avg 1.3avg 1.3avg total 2.614102011020033201122H·FALH·IK A·IFKH·OSTA·LANA·NORH·ODDH·OREA·HELH·LJU
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.651.472.111.561.121.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.501.671.861.711.001.60
vs Weaker (5)2.001.003.001.001.331.00
Clean sheet %29% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.15-13.1%
Under 1.5
33.1%
@ 4.60+13.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.15
Under
Unibet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.9%
@ 1.52-21.5%
Under 2.5
61.1%
@ 2.32+21.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.52
Under
Unibet
2.32
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.9%
@ 2.28-21.4%
Under 3.5
81.1%
@ 1.54+21.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Under
Unibet
1.54
Both teams to score
Yes
44.8%
@ 1.45-18.0%
No
55.2%
@ 2.45+18.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Unibet
1.45
No
Unibet
2.45

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.00+6.1%
1-0
13.2%@ 8.00+7.3%
0-0
11.9%@ 11.00+7.6%
2-0
9.8%@ 8.00+3.9%
2-1
8.7%@ 6.75+1.7%
0-1
8.1%@ 9.50+3.1%
1-2
5.6%@ 8.00-0.3%
3-0
4.5%@ 11.50+0.4%
Falkenbergs FF goals ↓
United Nordic goals →
01234
012%8.1%4.1%1.2%0.3%
113%14%5.6%1.6%0.4%
29.8%8.7%3.8%1.1%0.2%
34.5%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.5%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Falkenbergs FF goals (down), columns = United Nordic goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.06
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.94
Falkenbergs FF
1.82
Ostersunds FK
1.71
United Nordic
1.59
Osters IF
1.53
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
Helsingborg
1.41
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Sandviken
1.29
Oddevold
1.29
IK brage
1.18
Norrby IF
1.12
Orebro SK
0.94
IFK Varnamo
0.69
GIF Sundsvall
0.53
Falkenbergs FF is 0.24 points better than United Nordic in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Varbergs BoIS FC
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.94
Helsingborg
1.76
Sandviken
1.76
IK brage
1.76
IFK Norrkoping
1.71
United Nordic
1.65
Oddevold
1.65
Ostersunds FK
1.59
Osters IF
1.59
Ljungskile SK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.35
Norrby IF
1.24
IFK Varnamo
1.06
Orebro SK
0.81
GIF Sundsvall
0.76
Falkenbergs FF is 0.29 goals better than United Nordic in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.65).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.59
Landskrona BoIS
1.12
Ostersunds FK
1.24
Norrby IF
1.35
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.35
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Orebro SK
1.38
Sandviken
1.47
United Nordic
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Oddevold
1.53
Osters IF
1.53
IK brage
1.76
Helsingborg
2.00
IFK Varnamo
2.12
GIF Sundsvall
2.41
Falkenbergs FF is 0.06 goals worse than United Nordic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
58%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
Ostersunds FK
53%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ljungskile SK
51%
Osters IF
50%
United Nordic
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Oddevold
50%
Orebro SK
50%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
45%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Falkenbergs FF is 0.3 percentage points worse than United Nordic in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF

For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

14043723852524277745510791177614111010A·VARA·SANH·ODDH·IFKA·UNIH·VARH·IFKH·GIFH·LJUA·KAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.7 · Total 1.7

🟨 Cards

4011111122122111202141231A·VARA·SANH·ODDH·IFKA·UNIH·VARH·IFKH·GIFH·LJUA·KAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.2 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

250101379913111411122316222523H·IFKH·GIFH·LJUA·KALA·ORE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

United NordicUnited Nordic

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1308553472537662113811710123H·OSTA·IFKH·IK H·FALA·IFKH·SANA·VAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

60132111121334211236H·OSTA·IFKH·IK H·FALA·IFKH·SANA·VAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.8

⚠️ Fouls

320161216161116161628322732H·OSTA·IFKH·SANA·VAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)9.39.39.41.21.21.122.921.424.6
vs Stronger (4)7.55.010.00.20.00.522.520.025.0
vs Similar (22)10.211.29.01.41.51.324.323.825.0
vs Weaker (21)8.88.09.61.11.21.121.919.524.2
% over line43%50%36%15%17%12%65%56%75%
% under line57%50%64%85%83%88%35%44%25%
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

United NordicUnited Nordic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)9.110.87.01.11.01.229.827.532.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)9.310.86.51.41.31.629.827.532.0
vs Weaker (5)8.0-8.00.40.00.7---
% over line57%75%33%12%11%12%100%100%100%
% under line43%25%67%88%89%88%0%0%0%
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Osters IF
12.0
IFK Norrkoping
11.1
IFK Varnamo
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Sandviken
10.6
Ljungskile SK
10.2
GIF Sundsvall
9.7
Oddevold
9.5
Falkenbergs FF
9.3
IK brage
9.3
Orebro SK
9.3
Ostersunds FK
9.3
Helsingborg
9.2
United Nordic
9.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
8.9
Norrby IF
7.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.4
Helsingborg
4.3
IK brage
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Osters IF
4.0
Orebro SK
3.8
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
IFK Varnamo
3.2
Ostersunds FK
3.2
Sandviken
3.0
United Nordic
2.7
GIF Sundsvall
2.7
Norrby IF
2.6
Oddevold
2.5
Falkenbergs FF
2.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.1
IFK Norrkoping
27.5
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.8
Osters IF
24.7
Ostersunds FK
24.5
Orebro SK
24.1
Helsingborg
23.7
IFK Varnamo
23.4
Falkenbergs FF
22.9
Norrby IF
22.7
Sandviken
22.6
Oddevold
22.1
GIF Sundsvall
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.0%
Under 9.5
67.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
10.0%
Under 21.5
90.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 21.5 fouls90.0%-------
Under 3.581.1%1.54
Unibet
1.54
----+21.4%
Under 3.5 cards72.4%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (22)
€4m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
GS (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Falkenbergs FF's squad is €2m more valuable than United Nordic's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IB (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Falkenbergs FF's attack is €1m more valuable than United Nordic's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
GS (4)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Falkenbergs FF and United Nordic have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Falkenbergs FF's defence is €1m more valuable than United Nordic's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Falkenbergs FF vs United Nordic · H/A from FF
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AUnited Nordic Vs FF1-4

Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AVarbergs BoIS FC Vs FF2-1
26/07/26AGIF Sundsvall Vs FF1-2
21/07/26HFF Vs Helsingborg2-3
26/06/26AIK brage Vs FF2-4
21/06/26AOsters IF Vs FF1-3
14/06/26HFF Vs Orebro SK1-1
09/06/26ASandviken Vs FF4-2
30/05/26HFF Vs Oddevold2-1
23/05/26HFF Vs IFK Varnamo3-1
17/05/26AUnited Nordic Vs FF1-4

United NordicUnited Nordic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HUN Vs Ljungskile SK2-2
28/07/26AHelsingborg Vs UN1-1
19/07/26HUN Vs Orebro SK2-0
27/06/26HUN Vs Oddevold3-3
21/06/26ANorrby IF Vs UN0-0
16/06/26ALandskrona BoIS Vs UN2-0
09/06/26HUN Vs Ostersunds FK1-1
31/05/26AIFK Varnamo Vs UN0-2
23/05/26HUN Vs IK brage1-0
17/05/26HUN Vs Falkenbergs FF1-4

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.64
HomeLWWDL1.87
AwayLWWWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%52%38%
AVG goals3.152.783.50
Over 2.5 %68%61%75%
Scored1.831.871.79
Conceded1.320.911.71
BTTS62%48%75%
Clean Sheet30%39%21%
Failed to Score15%17%12%
United Nordic
United Nordic
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.59
HomeWDDWD2.00
AwayDWLDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%56%25%
AVG goals3.123.672.50
Over 2.5 %47%67%25%
Scored1.652.111.12
Conceded1.471.561.38
BTTS65%78%50%
Clean Sheet29%22%38%
Failed to Score12%0%25%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IFK Norrkoping17
65%
2.1
2910+19
2.3
71%
35%
18%
9.4
44%
3.4
56%
27.8
100%
9
3331.70.6
55%
2Varbergs BoIS FC17
59%
1.9
3423+11
3.4
88%
76%
47%
7.8
36%
3.9
64%
30.8
100%
6
2222.01.4
47%
3Falkenbergs FF17
53%
1.8
3326+7
3.5
88%
76%
47%
9.1
44%
1.8
11%
20.3
67%
5
2131.91.5
50%
4Ostersunds FK17
47%
1.7
2721+6
2.8
82%
47%
29%
8.7
44%
3.3
56%
25.7
100%
4
1221.61.2
53%
5United Nordic17
41%
1.6
2825+3
3.1
88%
47%
41%
9.1
57%
2.7
29%
29.8
100%
3
0121.61.5
50%
6Osters IF17
47%
1.5
2726+1
3.1
76%
71%
41%
11.8
89%
2.9
33%
24.5
100%
5
2221.61.5
50%
7Landskrona BoIS17
41%
1.5
2319+4
2.5
71%
47%
24%
10.1
43%
3.7
43%
28.2
75%
6
2221.41.1
58%
8Helsingborg17
41%
1.4
3034-4
3.8
94%
71%
53%
9.8
75%
5.0
80%
26.0
100%
7
2221.82.0
45%
9Ljungskile SK17
35%
1.4
2523+2
2.8
71%
53%
41%
10.2
56%
3.8
50%
26.6
100%
3
1121.51.4
51%
10Sandviken17
35%
1.3
3025+5
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.6
33%
2.4
11%
23.0
67%
4
1121.81.5
55%
11Oddevold17
29%
1.3
2826+2
3.2
76%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
2.4
22%
25.4
100%
5
1131.61.5
50%
12IK brage17
29%
1.2
3030+0
3.5
76%
71%
53%
8.8
38%
4.2
67%
27.3
100%
4
1121.81.8
48%
13Norrby IF17
18%
1.1
2123-2
2.6
76%
47%
35%
7.3
33%
2.3
33%
21.5
50%
3
1011.21.4
44%
14Orebro SK16
19%
0.9
1322-9
2.2
62%
38%
19%
9.5
50%
3.0
38%
23.3
67%
5
1130.81.4
50%
15IFK Varnamo16
19%
0.7
1734-17
3.2
69%
62%
50%
8.2
22%
2.9
22%
24.3
67%
5
2121.12.1
53%
16GIF Sundsvall17
18%
0.5
1341-28
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.8
67%
2.6
22%
20.5
50%
4
1120.82.4
41%
Sweden: Superettan 2026-27 full table · Falkenbergs FF and United Nordic highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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