PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
Varbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC
Vs
61%
24%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sandviken
Sandviken
Sweden: Superettan
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC win
60.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Sandviken win
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 1.40
Avg total 3.30
40-4avg 1.9avg 1.4avg total 3.331103120022321420321A·HELH·GIFA·LJUH·NORA·IFKH·LANH·OSTA·ODDA·OSTH·FAL
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.471.731.131.731.80
vs Stronger (2)0.503.00--0.503.00
vs Similar (11)2.181.452.401.602.001.33
vs Weaker (17)1.591.291.400.901.861.86
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SandvikenSandviken

Avg scored 2.20
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 3.70
50-5avg 2.2avg 1.5avg total 3.712013042321142031250A·OSTH·LANA·GIFH·FALH·IK A·OREH·HELA·IFKA·LJUH·GIF
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.472.131.130.871.80
vs Stronger (7)1.002.292.331.670.002.75
vs Similar (20)1.751.252.301.001.201.50
vs Weaker (3)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
Varbergs BoIS FC goals ↓
Sandviken goals →
01234
07.8%4.6%2.4%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.4%1.2%0.3%
212%9.8%4.1%1.1%0.2%
37.3%6.0%2.5%0.7%0.1%
43.4%2.8%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (down), columns = Sandviken goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.06
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.94
Falkenbergs FF
1.82
Ostersunds FK
1.71
United Nordic
1.59
Osters IF
1.53
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
Helsingborg
1.41
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Sandviken
1.29
Oddevold
1.29
IK brage
1.18
Norrby IF
1.12
Orebro SK
0.94
IFK Varnamo
0.69
GIF Sundsvall
0.53
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.65 points better than Sandviken in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Varbergs BoIS FC
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.94
Helsingborg
1.76
Sandviken
1.76
IK brage
1.76
IFK Norrkoping
1.71
United Nordic
1.65
Oddevold
1.65
Ostersunds FK
1.59
Osters IF
1.59
Ljungskile SK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.35
Norrby IF
1.24
IFK Varnamo
1.06
Orebro SK
0.81
GIF Sundsvall
0.76
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.24 goals better than Sandviken in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.59
Landskrona BoIS
1.12
Ostersunds FK
1.24
Norrby IF
1.35
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.35
Ljungskile SK
1.35
Orebro SK
1.38
Sandviken
1.47
United Nordic
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Oddevold
1.53
Osters IF
1.53
IK brage
1.76
Helsingborg
2.00
IFK Varnamo
2.12
GIF Sundsvall
2.41
Varbergs BoIS FC is 0.12 goals better than Sandviken in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
58%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
Ostersunds FK
53%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ljungskile SK
51%
Osters IF
50%
United Nordic
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Oddevold
50%
Orebro SK
50%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
45%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Varbergs BoIS FC is 7.8 percentage points worse than Sandviken in terms of average possession (47% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC

For 4.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

130344774437516764242371178106131065H·FALH·OSTH·LANA·IFKH·NORA·LJUH·GIFA·HELA·FALA·IK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6011115221133221222321264264345H·FALH·OSTH·LANA·IFKH·NORA·LJUH·GIFA·HELA·FALA·IK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 28.5

⚠️ Fouls

32016151813151416161610139313129322622H·LANA·IFKA·IK H·UNIA·VASA·LAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SandvikenSandviken

For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1201012736812665665435431199981112987H·GIFH·FALA·GIFH·LANA·OSTA·OSTA·UNIH·IFKA·ODDH·OST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

502112411211231322224233315H·GIFH·FALA·GIFH·LANA·OSTA·OSTA·UNIH·IFKA·ODDH·OST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 8.4 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

27016111271581581082719232318A·UNIH·IFKA·ODDH·OSTH·ORG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)8.98.69.12.01.92.228.128.827.5
vs Stronger (4)11.712.011.02.54.50.527.728.526.0
vs Similar (19)8.26.29.62.52.22.728.830.827.2
vs Weaker (24)8.99.68.31.61.22.127.325.028.2
% over line42%42%43%26%25%26%100%100%100%
% under line58%58%57%74%75%74%0%0%0%
This opponent (Sandviken) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SandvikenSandviken

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)10.611.39.61.61.71.522.621.823.8
vs Stronger (12)11.312.73.01.31.90.621.821.623.0
vs Similar (31)10.610.410.81.61.61.623.022.623.3
vs Weaker (4)7.59.06.02.21.53.023.019.027.0
% over line44%43%45%17%21%13%63%45%88%
% under line56%57%55%83%79%87%37%55%12%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Osters IF
12.0
IFK Norrkoping
11.1
IFK Varnamo
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Sandviken
10.6
Ljungskile SK
10.2
GIF Sundsvall
9.7
Oddevold
9.5
Falkenbergs FF
9.3
IK brage
9.3
Orebro SK
9.3
Ostersunds FK
9.3
Helsingborg
9.2
United Nordic
9.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
8.9
Norrby IF
7.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.4
Helsingborg
4.3
IK brage
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Osters IF
4.0
Orebro SK
3.8
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
IFK Varnamo
3.2
Ostersunds FK
3.2
Sandviken
3.0
United Nordic
2.7
GIF Sundsvall
2.7
Norrby IF
2.6
Oddevold
2.5
Falkenbergs FF
2.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.1
IFK Norrkoping
27.5
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.8
Osters IF
24.7
Ostersunds FK
24.5
Orebro SK
24.1
Helsingborg
23.7
IFK Varnamo
23.4
Falkenbergs FF
22.9
Norrby IF
22.7
Sandviken
22.6
Oddevold
22.1
GIF Sundsvall
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.5%
Under 9.5
57.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
1.1%
Under 21.5
98.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 21.5 fouls98.9%-------
Over 1.576.0%-------
Under 3.571.6%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (22)
€4m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
GS (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Varbergs BoIS FC's squad is €2m more valuable than Sandviken's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IB (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Sandviken have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
GS (4)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Varbergs BoIS FC's midfield is €1m more valuable than Sandviken's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Varbergs BoIS FC and Sandviken have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Sandviken · H/A from VBF
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26ASandviken Vs VBF2-2
18/10/25HVBF Vs Sandviken0-0
31/05/25ASandviken Vs VBF2-1

Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HVBF Vs Falkenbergs FF2-1
27/07/26AOsters IF Vs VBF3-0
18/07/26AOddevold Vs VBF2-4
27/06/26HVBF Vs Osters IF2-1
22/06/26HVBF Vs Landskrona BoIS2-3
15/06/26AIFK Norrkoping Vs VBF2-0
10/06/26HVBF Vs Norrby IF2-0
30/05/26ALjungskile SK Vs VBF1-3
24/05/26HVBF Vs GIF Sundsvall1-0
19/05/26AHelsingborg Vs VBF1-3

SandvikenSandviken

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HSAN Vs GIF Sundsvall5-0
26/07/26ALjungskile SK Vs SAN2-1
19/07/26AIFK Norrkoping Vs SAN3-0
28/06/26HSAN Vs Helsingborg4-2
22/06/26AOrebro SK Vs SAN1-1
14/06/26HSAN Vs IK brage3-2
09/06/26HSAN Vs Falkenbergs FF4-2
30/05/26AGIF Sundsvall Vs SAN0-3
24/05/26HSAN Vs Landskrona BoIS0-1
17/05/26AOstersunds FK Vs SAN2-1

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Varbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.62
HomeWWLWW1.88
AwayWWLWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%54%35%
AVG goals3.062.713.43
Over 2.5 %64%54%74%
Scored1.681.671.70
Conceded1.381.041.74
BTTS68%62%74%
Clean Sheet23%33%13%
Failed to Score15%17%13%
Sandviken
Sandviken
Sweden: Superettan
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.34
HomeLWWWW1.67
AwayLWDLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%26%
AVG goals2.943.122.74
Over 2.5 %64%58%70%
Scored1.401.830.96
Conceded1.531.291.78
BTTS51%50%52%
Clean Sheet17%21%13%
Failed to Score36%33%39%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IFK Norrkoping17
65%
2.1
2910+19
2.3
71%
35%
18%
9.4
44%
3.4
56%
27.8
100%
9
3331.70.6
55%
2Varbergs BoIS FC17
59%
1.9
3423+11
3.4
88%
76%
47%
7.8
36%
3.9
64%
30.8
100%
6
2222.01.4
47%
3Falkenbergs FF17
53%
1.8
3326+7
3.5
88%
76%
47%
9.1
44%
1.8
11%
20.3
67%
5
2131.91.5
50%
4Ostersunds FK17
47%
1.7
2721+6
2.8
82%
47%
29%
8.7
44%
3.3
56%
25.7
100%
4
1221.61.2
53%
5United Nordic17
41%
1.6
2825+3
3.1
88%
47%
41%
9.1
57%
2.7
29%
29.8
100%
3
0121.61.5
50%
6Osters IF17
47%
1.5
2726+1
3.1
76%
71%
41%
11.8
89%
2.9
33%
24.5
100%
5
2221.61.5
50%
7Landskrona BoIS17
41%
1.5
2319+4
2.5
71%
47%
24%
10.1
43%
3.7
43%
28.2
75%
6
2221.41.1
58%
8Helsingborg17
41%
1.4
3034-4
3.8
94%
71%
53%
9.8
75%
5.0
80%
26.0
100%
7
2221.82.0
45%
9Ljungskile SK17
35%
1.4
2523+2
2.8
71%
53%
41%
10.2
56%
3.8
50%
26.6
100%
3
1121.51.4
51%
10Sandviken17
35%
1.3
3025+5
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.6
33%
2.4
11%
23.0
67%
4
1121.81.5
55%
11Oddevold17
29%
1.3
2826+2
3.2
76%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
2.4
22%
25.4
100%
5
1131.61.5
50%
12IK brage17
29%
1.2
3030+0
3.5
76%
71%
53%
8.8
38%
4.2
67%
27.3
100%
4
1121.81.8
48%
13Norrby IF17
18%
1.1
2123-2
2.6
76%
47%
35%
7.3
33%
2.3
33%
21.5
50%
3
1011.21.4
44%
14Orebro SK16
19%
0.9
1322-9
2.2
62%
38%
19%
9.5
50%
3.0
38%
23.3
67%
5
1130.81.4
50%
15IFK Varnamo16
19%
0.7
1734-17
3.2
69%
62%
50%
8.2
22%
2.9
22%
24.3
67%
5
2121.12.1
53%
16GIF Sundsvall17
18%
0.5
1341-28
3.2
76%
71%
41%
9.8
67%
2.6
22%
20.5
50%
4
1120.82.4
41%
Sweden: Superettan 2026-27 full table · Varbergs BoIS FC and Sandviken highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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