PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
Vs
34%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radomiak Radom win
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Gornik Zabrze win
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom

Avg scored 1.30
Avg conceded 1.70
Avg total 3.00
60-6avg 1.3avg 1.7avg total 3.013110121103100132621A·PIAH·MOTA·ZAGH·WIDA·WISH·LECA·CRAH·LECA·GORH·WIE
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.531.731.001.202.07
vs Stronger (8)1.382.382.001.331.003.00
vs Similar (18)1.441.281.560.891.331.67
vs Weaker (4)1.751.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze

Avg scored 1.60
Avg conceded 0.70
Avg total 2.30
60-6avg 1.6avg 0.7avg total 2.300301110210200106221A·WIDH·CRAA·LEGH·KORA·JAGH·ZAGA·ARKA·WISH·RADH·SLA
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.172.121.000.791.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.750.882.001.001.330.67
vs Weaker (22)1.411.272.181.000.641.55
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
Radomiak Radom goals ↓
Gornik Zabrze goals →
01234
09.4%9.0%6.6%2.8%0.9%
18.7%14%8.2%3.5%1.1%
26.2%7.9%5.1%2.2%0.7%
32.6%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomiak Radom goals (down), columns = Gornik Zabrze goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gornik Zabrze
3.00
Radomiak Radom
3.00
Jagiellonia
3.00
Legia Warszawa
3.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.50
GKS Katowice
0.00
Pogon Szczecin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Korona Kielce
0.00
Radomiak Radom and Gornik Zabrze are level in average points per game (both 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Piast Gliwice
2.00
Gornik Zabrze
2.00
Radomiak Radom
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Motor Lublin
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Jagiellonia
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
1.00
Raków Częstochowa
1.00
Lech Poznan
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
0.00
Korona Kielce
0.00
Cracovia Krakow
0.00
Radomiak Radom and Gornik Zabrze are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cracovia Krakow
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.50
Jagiellonia
0.50
Lech Poznan
0.50
Legia Warszawa
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
1.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Korona Kielce
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Motor Lublin
2.00
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wieczysta Kraków
2.00
Raków Częstochowa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.50
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Radomiak Radom and Gornik Zabrze are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Legia Warszawa
60%
Gornik Zabrze
58%
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
GKS Katowice
55%
Wieczysta Kraków
55%
Widzew Łódź
54%
Raków Częstochowa
54%
Lech Poznan
53%
Wisla Krakow
49%
Motor Lublin
46%
Slask Wroclaw
46%
Wisla Plock
44%
Radomiak Radom
42%
Cracovia Krakow
42%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Korona Kielce
38%
Zaglebie Lubin
36%
Radomiak Radom is 16.0 percentage points worse than Gornik Zabrze in terms of average possession (42% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom

For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

16052464345477762316103571079111484168H·WIEA·GORH·LECA·CRAH·LECA·WISH·WIDA·ZAGH·MOTA·PIA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

100375235522234242333105510456636H·WIEA·GORH·LECA·CRAH·LECA·WISH·WIDA·ZAGH·MOTA·PIA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

380191999161571210911141215142415148738183119192527382915H·WIEA·GORH·LECA·CRAH·LECA·WISH·WIDA·ZAGH·MOTA·PIA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze

For 5.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

19086644791154276636462114101110199129103H·SLAH·RADA·WISA·ARKH·ZAGA·JAGH·KORA·LEGH·CRAA·WID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

702151321343342113542173722H·SLAH·RADA·WISA·ARKH·ZAGA·JAGH·KORA·LEGH·CRAA·WID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

2701215991112121410714135151014101191727182326172720242126H·SLAH·RADA·WISA·ARKH·ZAGA·JAGH·KORA·LEGH·CRAA·WID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)9.69.29.94.94.65.228.629.827.4
vs Stronger (10)8.98.49.44.75.24.229.232.226.2
vs Similar (21)9.810.09.64.93.85.927.727.328.1
vs Weaker (5)10.08.013.05.26.33.531.234.027.0
% over line49%44%53%67%61%72%86%89%82%
% under line51%56%47%33%39%28%14%11%18%
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)10.110.110.13.53.43.522.522.622.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)10.110.010.23.92.26.022.723.222.0
vs Weaker (27)10.010.110.03.33.92.822.522.422.5
% over line54%56%53%44%44%44%57%50%65%
% under line46%44%47%56%56%56%43%50%35%
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
13.5
Pogon Szczecin
10.5
Slask Wroclaw
10.5
Motor Lublin
10.2
Piast Gliwice
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Korona Kielce
10.0
Zaglebie Lubin
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.7
Wisla Plock
9.6
Radomiak Radom
9.6
Jagiellonia
9.5
Legia Warszawa
9.4
Wieczysta Kraków
9.0
Widzew Łódź
8.5
Raków Częstochowa
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Wieczysta Kraków
6.5
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Motor Lublin
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Cracovia Krakow
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Zaglebie Lubin
4.5
Jagiellonia
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
GKS Katowice
4.1
Piast Gliwice
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.8
Gornik Zabrze
3.7
Wisla Plock
3.7
Korona Kielce
3.6
Wisla Krakow
3.6
Slask Wroclaw
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wieczysta Kraków
29.0
Radomiak Radom
28.6
Widzew Łódź
27.0
Cracovia Krakow
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.3
Legia Warszawa
25.8
Zaglebie Lubin
25.8
Motor Lublin
25.7
Slask Wroclaw
25.5
Raków Częstochowa
25.4
Korona Kielce
25.1
Piast Gliwice
24.3
Pogon Szczecin
24.2
GKS Katowice
24.2
Lech Poznan
23.2
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
Wisla Plock
21.4
Wisla Krakow
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.7%
Under 9.5
52.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls84.7%-------
Under 3.575.4%-------
Over 1.572.9%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JAG (29)
€62m
LP (31)
€53m
RC (33)
€48m
LW (35)
€40m
CK (38)
€33m
GZ (28)
€29m
WŁ (24)
€25m
PS (31)
€22m
WP (33)
€19m
ML (28)
€18m
ZL (28)
€18m
RR (31)
€16m
KK (30)
€16m
GK (33)
€11m
PG (27)
€10m
Radomiak Radom's squad is €13m less valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€16m vs €29m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JAG (17)
€43m
LP (14)
€21m
RC (11)
€18m
GZ (13)
€17m
WŁ (12)
€15m
CK (16)
€15m
LW (13)
€12m
PS (15)
€11m
ML (12)
€10m
ZL (10)
€10m
RR (13)
€7m
PG (13)
€4m
WP (9)
€4m
KK (10)
€4m
GK (12)
€3m
Radomiak Radom's attack is €10m less valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€7m vs €17m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (13)
€18m
LP (5)
€8m
LW (10)
€7m
WP (12)
€6m
KK (10)
€6m
GK (11)
€5m
WŁ (4)
€5m
ZL (7)
€4m
GZ (3)
€4m
CK (7)
€3m
RR (7)
€2m
ML (5)
€2m
PS (4)
€2m
JAG (3)
€2m
PG (2)
€1m
Radomiak Radom's midfield is €2m less valuable than Gornik Zabrze's (€2m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€23m
LW (12)
€21m
JAG (9)
€17m
CK (15)
€15m
RC (9)
€12m
PS (12)
€9m
WP (12)
€9m
GZ (12)
€7m
RR (11)
€7m
KK (10)
€7m
ML (11)
€6m
PG (12)
€5m
WŁ (8)
€5m
ZL (11)
€4m
GK (10)
€3m
Radomiak Radom and Gornik Zabrze have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AGornik Zabrze Vs RR6-2
28/11/25HRR Vs Gornik Zabrze4-0

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26HRR Vs Wieczysta Kraków2-1
23/05/26AGornik Zabrze Vs RR6-2
16/05/26HRR Vs Lech Poznan1-3
11/05/26ACracovia Krakow Vs RR0-0
04/05/26HRR Vs Lechia Gdansk3-1
26/04/26AWisla Plock Vs RR0-1
18/04/26HRR Vs Widzew Łódź2-1
11/04/26AZaglebie Lubin Vs RR1-0
06/04/26HRR Vs Motor Lublin1-1
20/03/26APiast Gliwice Vs RR3-1

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HGZ Vs Slask Wroclaw2-1
23/05/26HGZ Vs Radomiak Radom6-2
16/05/26AWisla Plock Vs GZ0-1
13/05/26AArka Gdynia Vs GZ0-0
09/05/26HGZ Vs Zaglebie Lubin0-2
24/04/26AJagiellonia Vs GZ1-2
18/04/26HGZ Vs Korona Kielce1-0
11/04/26ALegia Warszawa Vs GZ1-1
04/04/26HGZ Vs Cracovia Krakow3-0
22/03/26AWidzew Łódź Vs GZ0-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.34
HomeDWWLW1.89
AwayLLWDL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%56%12%
AVG goals3.093.003.18
Over 2.5 %60%61%59%
Scored1.541.941.12
Conceded1.541.062.06
BTTS71%72%71%
Clean Sheet17%17%18%
Failed to Score17%11%24%
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.69
HomeWWLWW2.06
AwayDDWDW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%67%29%
AVG goals2.603.002.18
Over 2.5 %49%61%35%
Scored1.492.000.94
Conceded1.111.001.24
BTTS51%56%47%
Clean Sheet29%17%41%
Failed to Score29%28%29%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Legia Warszawa2
100%
3.0
41+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
2.0
0%
25.0
50%
40
127212.00.5
60%
2Jagiellonia2
100%
3.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.0
0%
22.5
50%
62
432171.50.5
58%
3Wisla Plock2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
10.0
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
19
4691.00.5
44%
4Lech Poznan2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
53
218231.00.5
53%
5Gornik Zabrze1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
3.0
0%
27.0
100%
29
17472.01.0
58%
6Radomiak Radom1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
7.0
0%
10.0
100%
38.0
100%
16
7272.01.0
42%
7Wisla Krakow2
50%
1.5
55+0
5.0
100%
100%
50%
13.5
100%
3.0
50%
20.5
50%
0
0002.52.5
49%
8Zaglebie Lubin2
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
13.5
100%
2.0
0%
26.0
50%
18
10441.51.5
36%
9Slask Wroclaw2
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
0
0001.51.5
46%
10Piast Gliwice2
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
15.5
100%
2.0
0%
23.5
50%
10
4152.02.5
56%
11Widzew Łódź2
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.0
100%
26.0
100%
25
15551.01.0
54%
12Cracovia Krakow1
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
33
153150.00.0
42%
13Motor Lublin2
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
7.0
0%
4.0
50%
19.5
50%
18
10261.52.0
46%
14GKS Katowice1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
25.0
100%
11
3531.02.0
55%
15Pogon Szczecin1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
22
11290.01.0
41%
16Korona Kielce1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
9.0
0%
1.0
0%
30.0
100%
16
4670.01.0
38%
17Wieczysta Kraków2
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.0
50%
6.5
50%
29.0
50%
0
0001.02.0
55%
18Raków Częstochowa2
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
3.5
50%
25.0
100%
48
1818121.02.0
54%
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026-27 full table · Radomiak Radom and Gornik Zabrze highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

← all matches