This opponent (Motor Lublin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motor Lublin
Avg scored1.40
Avg conceded1.90
Avg total3.30
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.60
1.44
1.38
1.43
1.86
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.80
0.67
1.00
0.75
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.59
2.00
1.67
1.88
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
Pogon Szczecin goals ↓
Motor Lublin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
4.9%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
1
7.1%
12%
6.9%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.3%
9.5%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.3%
5.6%
3.6%
1.6%
0.5%
4
1.9%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pogon Szczecin goals (down), columns = Motor Lublin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Gornik Zabrze
3.00
Radomiak Radom
3.00
Jagiellonia
3.00
Legia Warszawa
3.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.50
GKS Katowice
0.00
Pogon Szczecin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Korona Kielce
0.00
Pogon Szczecin is 0.50 points worse than Motor Lublin in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Piast Gliwice
2.00
Gornik Zabrze
2.00
Radomiak Radom
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Motor Lublin
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Jagiellonia
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
1.00
Raków Częstochowa
1.00
Lech Poznan
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
0.00
Korona Kielce
0.00
Cracovia Krakow
0.00
Pogon Szczecin is 1.50 goals worse than Motor Lublin in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cracovia Krakow
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.50
Jagiellonia
0.50
Lech Poznan
0.50
Legia Warszawa
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
1.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Korona Kielce
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Motor Lublin
2.00
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wieczysta Kraków
2.00
Raków Częstochowa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.50
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Pogon Szczecin is 1.00 goals better than Motor Lublin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Legia Warszawa
60%
Gornik Zabrze
58%
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
GKS Katowice
55%
Wieczysta Kraków
55%
Widzew Łódź
54%
Raków Częstochowa
54%
Lech Poznan
53%
Wisla Krakow
49%
Motor Lublin
46%
Slask Wroclaw
46%
Wisla Plock
44%
Radomiak Radom
42%
Cracovia Krakow
42%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Korona Kielce
38%
Zaglebie Lubin
36%
Pogon Szczecin is 5.5 percentage points worse than Motor Lublin in terms of average possession (41% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pogon Szczecin
For 3.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motor Lublin
For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pogon Szczecin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.5
10.8
10.2
3.8
4.3
3.3
24.2
23.2
25.3
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
11.2
8.4
3.8
3.8
3.8
27.9
24.0
32.6
vs Similar (21)
10.3
10.0
10.6
3.6
4.3
2.9
21.9
22.0
21.8
vs Weaker (4)
13.2
13.5
13.0
5.0
6.0
4.0
25.8
27.0
24.5
% over line
54%
61%
47%
47%
50%
44%
63%
61%
65%
% under line
46%
39%
53%
53%
50%
56%
37%
39%
35%
This opponent (Motor Lublin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motor Lublin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.2
9.5
11.0
4.8
4.4
5.1
25.7
24.5
26.9
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
9.2
10.8
3.2
2.0
4.6
23.2
21.3
25.4
vs Similar (21)
10.3
9.1
11.4
5.2
5.6
4.9
26.4
25.9
26.8
vs Weaker (4)
11.0
12.5
9.5
6.8
6.0
7.5
29.2
27.0
31.5
% over line
56%
44%
67%
61%
56%
67%
83%
72%
94%
% under line
44%
56%
33%
39%
44%
33%
17%
28%
6%
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
13.5
Pogon Szczecin
10.5
Slask Wroclaw
10.5
Motor Lublin
10.2
Piast Gliwice
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Korona Kielce
10.0
Zaglebie Lubin
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.7
Wisla Plock
9.6
Radomiak Radom
9.6
Jagiellonia
9.5
Legia Warszawa
9.4
Wieczysta Kraków
9.0
Widzew Łódź
8.5
Raków Częstochowa
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wieczysta Kraków
6.5
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Motor Lublin
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Cracovia Krakow
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Zaglebie Lubin
4.5
Jagiellonia
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
GKS Katowice
4.1
Piast Gliwice
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.8
Gornik Zabrze
3.7
Wisla Plock
3.7
Korona Kielce
3.6
Wisla Krakow
3.6
Slask Wroclaw
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wieczysta Kraków
29.0
Radomiak Radom
28.6
Widzew Łódź
27.0
Cracovia Krakow
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.3
Legia Warszawa
25.8
Zaglebie Lubin
25.8
Motor Lublin
25.7
Slask Wroclaw
25.5
Raków Częstochowa
25.4
Korona Kielce
25.1
Piast Gliwice
24.3
Pogon Szczecin
24.2
GKS Katowice
24.2
Lech Poznan
23.2
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
Wisla Plock
21.4
Wisla Krakow
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.3%
Under 21.5
23.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JAG (29)
€62m
LP (31)
€53m
RC (33)
€48m
LW (35)
€40m
CK (38)
€33m
GZ (28)
€29m
WŁ (24)
€25m
PS (31)
€22m
WP (33)
€19m
ML (28)
€18m
ZL (28)
€18m
RR (31)
€16m
KK (30)
€16m
GK (33)
€11m
PG (27)
€10m
Pogon Szczecin's squad is €4m more valuable than Motor Lublin's (€22m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JAG (17)
€43m
LP (14)
€21m
RC (11)
€18m
GZ (13)
€17m
WŁ (12)
€15m
CK (16)
€15m
LW (13)
€12m
PS (15)
€11m
ML (12)
€10m
ZL (10)
€10m
RR (13)
€7m
PG (13)
€4m
WP (9)
€4m
KK (10)
€4m
GK (12)
€3m
Pogon Szczecin and Motor Lublin have a similar attack value (both €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (13)
€18m
LP (5)
€8m
LW (10)
€7m
WP (12)
€6m
KK (10)
€6m
GK (11)
€5m
WŁ (4)
€5m
ZL (7)
€4m
GZ (3)
€4m
CK (7)
€3m
RR (7)
€2m
ML (5)
€2m
PS (4)
€2m
JAG (3)
€2m
PG (2)
€1m
Pogon Szczecin and Motor Lublin have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€23m
LW (12)
€21m
JAG (9)
€17m
CK (15)
€15m
RC (9)
€12m
PS (12)
€9m
WP (12)
€9m
GZ (12)
€7m
RR (11)
€7m
KK (10)
€7m
ML (11)
€6m
PG (12)
€5m
WŁ (8)
€5m
ZL (11)
€4m
GK (10)
€3m
Pogon Szczecin's defence is €3m more valuable than Motor Lublin's (€9m vs €6m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin · H/A from PS
Date
H/A
Game
Score
01/02/26
A
Motor Lublin Vs PS
2-1
26/07/25
H
PS Vs Motor Lublin
4-1
Pogon Szczecin
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
24/07/26
H
PS Vs Legia Warszawa
0-1
23/05/26
H
PS Vs GKS Katowice
1-1
15/05/26
A
Zaglebie Lubin Vs PS
0-1
09/05/26
A
Jagiellonia Vs PS
3-2
03/05/26
H
PS Vs Wisla Plock
3-0
25/04/26
A
Cracovia Krakow Vs PS
1-1
18/04/26
H
PS Vs Lech Poznan
1-2
13/04/26
A
Piast Gliwice Vs PS
0-2
06/04/26
H
PS Vs Legia Warszawa
0-2
21/03/26
A
Lechia Gdansk Vs PS
2-1
Motor Lublin
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
H
ML Vs Jagiellonia
1-2
26/07/26
A
Widzew Łódź Vs ML
2-2
23/05/26
A
Legia Warszawa Vs ML
4-0
16/05/26
H
ML Vs Cracovia Krakow
3-3
10/05/26
A
Wisla Plock Vs ML
0-4
02/05/26
H
ML Vs Lech Poznan
0-1
26/04/26
A
Widzew Łódź Vs ML
2-0
17/04/26
A
GKS Katowice Vs ML
3-2
12/04/26
H
ML Vs Raków Częstochowa
1-1
06/04/26
A
Radomiak Radom Vs ML
1-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Pogon Szczecin
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLWDL
1.29
Home
LLWDL
1.67
Away
LWDLW
0.88
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
37%
50%
24%
AVG goals
2.77
3.00
2.53
Over 2.5 %
51%
61%
41%
Scored
1.34
1.72
0.94
Conceded
1.43
1.28
1.59
BTTS
57%
61%
53%
Clean Sheet
20%
22%
18%
Failed to Score
23%
17%
29%
Motor Lublin
Poland: Ekstraklasa
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDLDL
1.22
Home
WDLDL
1.33
Away
LLWLD
1.11
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
28%
28%
AVG goals
2.94
2.56
3.33
Over 2.5 %
53%
39%
67%
Scored
1.36
1.33
1.39
Conceded
1.58
1.22
1.94
BTTS
61%
61%
61%
Clean Sheet
22%
33%
11%
Failed to Score
22%
17%
28%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Legia Warszawa
2
100%
3.0
4
1
+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
2.0
0%
25.0
50%
40
12
7
21
2.0
0.5
60%
2
Jagiellonia
2
100%
3.0
3
1
+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.0
0%
22.5
50%
62
43
2
17
1.5
0.5
58%
3
Wisla Plock
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
10.0
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
19
4
6
9
1.0
0.5
44%
4
Lech Poznan
2
50%
2.0
2
1
+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
53
21
8
23
1.0
0.5
53%
5
Gornik Zabrze
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
3.0
0%
27.0
100%
29
17
4
7
2.0
1.0
58%
6
Radomiak Radom
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
7.0
0%
10.0
100%
38.0
100%
16
7
2
7
2.0
1.0
42%
7
Wisla Krakow
2
50%
1.5
5
5
+0
5.0
100%
100%
50%
13.5
100%
3.0
50%
20.5
50%
0
0
0
0
2.5
2.5
49%
8
Zaglebie Lubin
2
50%
1.5
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
13.5
100%
2.0
0%
26.0
50%
18
10
4
4
1.5
1.5
36%
9
Slask Wroclaw
2
50%
1.5
3
3
+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
0
0
0
0
1.5
1.5
46%
10
Piast Gliwice
2
50%
1.5
4
5
-1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
15.5
100%
2.0
0%
23.5
50%
10
4
1
5
2.0
2.5
56%
11
Widzew Łódź
2
0%
1.0
2
2
+0
2.0
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.0
100%
26.0
100%
25
15
5
5
1.0
1.0
54%
12
Cracovia Krakow
1
0%
1.0
0
0
+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
15.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.0
100%
33
15
3
15
0.0
0.0
42%
13
Motor Lublin
2
0%
0.5
3
4
-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
7.0
0%
4.0
50%
19.5
50%
18
10
2
6
1.5
2.0
46%
14
GKS Katowice
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
25.0
100%
11
3
5
3
1.0
2.0
55%
15
Pogon Szczecin
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
22
11
2
9
0.0
1.0
41%
16
Korona Kielce
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
9.0
0%
1.0
0%
30.0
100%
16
4
6
7
0.0
1.0
38%
17
Wieczysta Kraków
2
0%
0.0
2
4
-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.0
50%
6.5
50%
29.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.0
55%
18
Raków Częstochowa
2
0%
0.0
2
4
-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
8.0
0%
3.5
50%
25.0
100%
48
18
18
12
1.0
2.0
54%
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026-27 full table · Pogon Szczecin and Motor Lublin highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page
