PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 03/08/2026
Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
Vs
72%
20%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Botosani
FC Botosani
Romania: Liga I
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Universitatea Cluj win
72.1%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.84
Edge
+22.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.88
Unibet
1.87
888Sport
1.85
Draw
19.6%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.40
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Superbet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.57
1xBet
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
FC Botosani win
8.3%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.04
Edge
-14.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Superbet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.23
Dafabet
4.20
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj

Avg scored 1.20
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 2.40
50-5avg 1.2avg 1.2avg total 2.421401201101005112101A·RAPH·UNIA·DINA·CFRH·ARGH·RAPA·UNIH·DINH·FARA·SEP
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.901.880.621.361.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.351.121.500.621.221.56
vs Weaker (13)2.000.622.250.621.600.60
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC BotosaniFC Botosani

Avg scored 1.60
Avg conceded 1.90
Avg total 3.50
40-4avg 1.6avg 1.9avg total 3.532133211111102342211H·FCSA·UTAH·METH·OŢEA·FARH·PETA·CSIA·FCSA·FC H·RAP
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.401.361.070.811.69
vs Stronger (10)1.201.601.001.331.502.00
vs Similar (13)0.541.230.500.750.561.44
vs Weaker (7)1.861.432.751.000.672.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.4%
@ 1.33+6.0%
Under 1.5
23.6%
@ 3.15-6.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 2.03+4.9%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.75-4.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Under
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.78
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.1%
@ 3.54+2.8%
Under 3.5
70.9%
@ 1.26-2.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.60
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
40.5%
@ 1.85-9.5%
No
59.5%
@ 1.85+9.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
No
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.8%@ 8.11+9.4%
1-0
13.1%@ 6.20+6.0%
3-0
10.5%@ 14.40+7.5%
1-1
9.2%@ 6.22+2.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.86+3.2%
0-0
7.4%@ 8.58+2.3%
3-1
6.3%@ 14.29+3.2%
4-0
5.6%@ 32.49+4.2%
Universitatea Cluj goals ↓
FC Botosani goals →
01234
07.4%3.1%1.2%0.2%0.0%
113%9.2%2.5%0.5%0.1%
215%8.9%2.7%0.5%0.1%
311%6.3%1.9%0.4%0.1%
45.6%3.3%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Universitatea Cluj goals (down), columns = FC Botosani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FCSB
3.00
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Arges Pitesti
2.00
Oţelul
1.67
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.33
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.33
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.33
Csikszereda
0.00
Universitatea Cluj is 0.50 points better than FC Botosani in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
3.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.00
FCSB
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Oţelul
1.67
FC Botosani
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.33
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
FC Voluntari
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Uta Arad
0.67
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.67
Arges Pitesti
0.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.33
Csikszereda
0.00
Universitatea Cluj is 0.50 goals worse than FC Botosani in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FCSB
0.00
Rapid
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.67
Arges Pitesti
0.67
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Farul Constanta
1.00
Oţelul
1.33
FC Botosani
1.50
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.67
Csikszereda
2.00
Uta Arad
2.33
FC Voluntari
2.33
Universitatea Cluj is 0.50 goals better than FC Botosani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
CFR 1907 Cluj
62%
Universitatea Craiova
60%
Farul Constanta
58%
Dinamo Bucuresti
55%
Rapid
54%
FC Botosani
54%
Uta Arad
52%
Universitatea Cluj
49%
Csikszereda
48%
Corvinul Hunedoara
47%
Arges Pitesti
47%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
46%
Oţelul
45%
FCSB
45%
Petrolul Ploiesti
44%
FC Voluntari
39%
Universitatea Cluj is 5.0 percentage points worse than FC Botosani in terms of average possession (49% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj

For 4.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

160532436157964274445868696161098914A·SEPH·FARH·DINA·UNIH·RAPH·ARGA·CFRA·DINH·UNIA·RAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

100313821222313211132134103445243A·SEPH·FARA·UNIH·RAPH·ARGA·CFRA·DINH·UNIA·RAPA·ARG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

26011981247131294991214101115791120201125131826212220A·SEPH·FARH·DINA·UNIH·RAPH·ARGA·CFRA·DINH·UNIA·RAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC BotosaniFC Botosani

For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

16054155117264265463152961691089962H·RAPA·FC A·FCSA·CSIH·PETA·FARH·OŢEH·META·UTAH·FCS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

1205744242332111322512412865524466H·RAPA·FCSA·CSIH·PETA·FARH·OŢEH·META·UTAH·FCSA·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 15.5 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

38062212818203171015911131989921161328203820252032173029H·RAPA·FC A·FCSA·CSIH·PETA·FARH·OŢEH·META·UTAH·FCS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)9.79.210.33.52.84.120.620.021.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)10.910.811.04.13.15.120.819.422.3
vs Weaker (22)8.47.49.52.82.53.120.420.720.2
% over line45%43%48%48%36%59%40%38%43%
% under line55%57%52%52%64%41%60%62%57%
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC BotosaniFC Botosani

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (42)9.69.110.14.74.74.826.527.026.0
vs Stronger (15)9.89.110.65.36.14.427.528.426.6
vs Similar (18)9.09.28.84.14.24.026.729.024.9
vs Weaker (9)10.48.812.55.03.27.224.221.627.5
% over line45%38%52%74%76%71%74%76%71%
% under line55%62%48%26%24%29%26%24%29%
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.3
Farul Constanta
10.2
Rapid
9.9
Universitatea Cluj
9.7
FC Botosani
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Uta Arad
9.5
Arges Pitesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.0
Csikszereda
8.9
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
FC Voluntari
8.4
Corvinul Hunedoara
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FC Botosani
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Arges Pitesti
4.9
FC Voluntari
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.6
Csikszereda
4.4
Farul Constanta
4.3
Oţelul
4.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
Universitatea Cluj
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
27.0
FC Botosani
26.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
26.0
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.6
Csikszereda
24.6
FCSB
24.5
Uta Arad
24.1
Rapid
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
Farul Constanta
23.4
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.6
FC Voluntari
21.6
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
21.3
Universitatea Cluj
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.3%
@ 1.80-2.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
@ 1.92+2.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.6%
Under 21.5
43.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.576.4%1.33
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
+6.0%
Home win72.1%1.84
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.88
Unibet
1.87
888Sport
1.85
+22.1%
Under 3.570.9%1.26
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
-2.8%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (45)
€40m
UC (34)
€37m
FCS (31)
€34m
RAP (24)
€25m
UC (33)
€19m
FB (31)
€12m
UA (30)
€12m
PP (40)
€12m
OŢE (28)
€10m
FC (32)
€10m
CSI (42)
€9m
Universitatea Cluj's squad is €7m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€19m vs €12m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (18)
€18m
UC (13)
€15m
FCS (8)
€14m
RAP (10)
€10m
UC (11)
€8m
FB (11)
€6m
FC (11)
€4m
UA (11)
€4m
OŢE (12)
€4m
PP (13)
€4m
CSI (16)
€3m
Universitatea Cluj's attack is €2m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€8m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€9m
FCS (8)
€8m
C1C (7)
€5m
UC (8)
€5m
RAP (6)
€4m
PP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
FB (7)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
OŢE (4)
€2m
Universitatea Cluj's midfield is €2m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€5m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (20)
€17m
UC (15)
€13m
FCS (15)
€11m
RAP (8)
€10m
UC (14)
€7m
PP (16)
€5m
UA (11)
€5m
OŢE (12)
€4m
FB (13)
€4m
CSI (17)
€4m
FC (14)
€4m
Universitatea Cluj's defence is €3m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€7m vs €4m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani · H/A from UC
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/26AFC Botosani Vs UC1-3
18/10/25HUC Vs FC Botosani0-2

Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26ASepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Vs UC1-0
19/07/26HUC Vs Farul Constanta2-1
23/05/26HUC Vs Dinamo Bucuresti1-1
17/05/26AUniversitatea Craiova Vs UC5-0
09/05/26HUC Vs Rapid1-0
02/05/26HUC Vs Arges Pitesti1-0
25/04/26ACFR 1907 Cluj Vs UC1-0
18/04/26ADinamo Bucuresti Vs UC2-1
13/04/26HUC Vs Universitatea Craiova4-0
05/04/26ARapid Vs UC1-2

FC BotosaniFC Botosani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/26HFB Vs Rapid1-1
17/07/26AFC Voluntari Vs FB2-2
24/05/26AFCSB Vs FB4-3
16/05/26ACsikszereda Vs FB2-0
10/05/26HFB Vs Petrolul Ploiesti1-1
02/05/26AFarul Constanta Vs FB1-1
25/04/26HFB Vs Oţelul1-1
20/04/26HFB Vs Metaloglobus3-2
11/04/26AUta Arad Vs FB3-1
03/04/26HFB Vs FCSB3-2

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
Romania: Liga I
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.75
HomeWWWDW1.91
AwayWLLLL1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%55%50%
AVG goals2.412.362.45
Over 2.5 %48%45%50%
Scored1.451.591.32
Conceded0.950.771.14
BTTS45%45%45%
Clean Sheet36%41%32%
Failed to Score25%23%27%
FC Botosani
FC Botosani
Romania: Liga I
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.33
HomeWWDDD1.81
AwayLDLLD0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%48%19%
AVG goals2.602.712.48
Over 2.5 %45%48%43%
Scored1.331.710.95
Conceded1.261.001.52
BTTS55%67%43%
Clean Sheet29%24%33%
Failed to Score29%19%38%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Universitatea Craiova3
67%
2.0
95+4
4.7
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
3.7
67%
21.0
33%
37
159133.01.7
60%
2FCSB2
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
11.5
100%
4.0
50%
26.0
100%
34
148112.00.0
45%
3Arges Pitesti3
67%
2.0
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
9.0
67%
7.0
67%
29.0
100%
0
0000.70.7
47%
4Oţelul3
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
9.3
67%
3.0
33%
27.3
67%
10
4241.71.3
45%
5Dinamo Bucuresti3
33%
1.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
8.3
0%
4.7
67%
23.7
67%
0
0002.01.0
55%
6Corvinul Hunedoara3
33%
1.3
43+1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
7.0
33%
4.0
50%
24.7
67%
0
0001.31.0
47%
7Rapid2
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
9.0
100%
24.5
50%
25
104101.00.5
54%
8Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe3
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
9.0
33%
4.0
33%
21.3
33%
0
0000.70.7
46%
9FC Voluntari3
33%
1.3
37-4
3.3
67%
67%
67%
7.0
33%
3.0
50%
22.0
67%
0
0001.02.3
39%
10CFR 1907 Cluj2
50%
1.5
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
100%
1.5
0%
20.5
50%
40
185173.01.0
62%
11Farul Constanta2
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
4.5
100%
20.0
0%
10
4241.51.0
58%
12Universitatea Cluj2
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.0
0%
3.5
50%
20.0
0%
19
8571.01.0
49%
13Petrolul Ploiesti3
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
33%
33%
33%
8.3
33%
7.0
67%
27.0
100%
12
4450.31.7
44%
14FC Botosani2
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
7.5
0%
12.0
100%
24.0
50%
12
6241.51.5
54%
15Uta Arad3
0%
0.3
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
67%
7.3
33%
4.3
100%
25.7
67%
12
4350.72.3
52%
16Csikszereda3
0%
0.0
06-6
2.0
67%
33%
0%
7.3
33%
6.0
100%
28.3
100%
9
3340.02.0
48%
Romania: Liga I 2026-27 full table · Universitatea Cluj and FC Botosani highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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