PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd
Vs
24%
34%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
Serbia: Super Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFK Beograd win
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo win
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 1.30
Avg total 2.70
50-5avg 1.4avg 1.3avg total 2.751001102111221040041A·NOVH·CUKH·RADA·ŽELA·FK H·VOJA·FK A·VOJH·RADA·NOV
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.071.080.921.471.18
vs Stronger (7)1.291.862.003.001.001.40
vs Similar (16)1.190.940.670.671.861.29
vs Weaker (7)1.570.572.000.001.400.80
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 0.90
Avg total 2.30
20-2avg 1.4avg 0.9avg total 2.320211222002011220021H·NOVA·JAVA·FK H·FK A·VOJH·OFKH·RADA·NOVH·CUKH·RAD
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.871.500.621.141.14
vs Stronger (7)1.291.291.331.671.251.00
vs Similar (4)1.000.751.331.000.000.00
vs Weaker (19)1.420.741.600.201.221.33
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.0%
Under 1.5
43.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.7%
Under 2.5
71.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
12.0%
Under 3.5
88.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
37.0%
No
63.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.8%
0-1
15.7%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
OFK Beograd goals ↓
Železničar Pančevo goals →
01234
017%16%9.3%3.4%0.9%
111%14%7.2%2.6%0.7%
24.6%5.0%2.8%1.0%0.3%
31.2%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
40.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Beograd goals (down), columns = Železničar Pančevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Železničar Pančevo
3.00
IMT Novi Beograd
3.00
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
FK Partizan
2.00
Cukaricki
2.00
Vojvodina
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.33
Novi Pazar
1.33
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Zemun
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.00
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Macva
0.00
OFK Beograd is 1.67 points worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.00
Vojvodina
2.50
FK Partizan
2.50
IMT Novi Beograd
2.50
Železničar Pančevo
2.00
Cukaricki
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.33
Zemun
1.00
Novi Pazar
0.67
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Macva
0.50
Radnicki 1923
0.00
OFK Beograd is 0.67 goals worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IMT Novi Beograd
0.00
Cukaricki
0.33
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.50
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.33
Vojvodina
1.50
FK Partizan
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.67
Radnicki NIS
2.00
Radnicki 1923
2.00
Zemun
3.00
Macva
4.00
OFK Beograd is 0.67 goals worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Radnicki 1923
66%
FK Partizan
66%
FK Crvena Zvezda
63%
Radnicki NIS
62%
Radnik Surdulica
56%
IMT Novi Beograd
56%
OFK Beograd
53%
Novi Pazar
49%
Železničar Pančevo
45%
Vojvodina
44%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
35%
Macva
34%
Zemun
32%
OFK Beograd is 8.0 percentage points better than Železničar Pančevo in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

For 3.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

12034831611183194545243271171211109965A·NOVH·RADA·VOJA·FK H·VOJA·FK A·ŽELH·RADH·CUKA·NOV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

70242521413421251332126735737453A·NOVH·RADA·VOJH·VOJA·FK A·ŽELH·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.5

⚠️ Fouls

3609141719121914816121612111013191615121123363122282821323123A·NOVH·RADA·VOJA·FK H·VOJA·FK A·ŽELH·RADH·CUKA·NOV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

14037104146543416624433101456977886H·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RADH·OFKA·VOJH·FK A·FK A·JAVH·NOV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

801312171231112321244128342536H·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RADH·OFKA·VOJH·FK A·FK A·JAVH·NOV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

36015129137177201011161091418181812121127222427212623363023H·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RADH·OFKA·VOJH·FK A·FK A·JAVH·NOV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)8.88.88.74.55.14.028.729.428.0
vs Stronger (10)10.310.210.33.95.52.826.023.527.7
vs Similar (20)7.68.07.24.54.74.328.229.726.8
vs Weaker (10)9.59.29.85.25.64.832.233.630.8
% over line32%37%29%65%74%57%92%95%90%
% under line68%63%71%35%26%43%8%5%10%
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)8.810.17.54.43.75.226.726.826.7
vs Stronger (9)9.713.07.03.63.23.825.124.525.6
vs Similar (5)7.88.76.53.83.74.027.830.324.0
vs Weaker (26)8.89.57.94.83.96.027.126.627.7
% over line39%55%22%62%52%74%89%95%83%
% under line61%45%78%38%48%26%11%5%17%
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
Vojvodina
9.2
Mladost Lucani
9.1
FK Partizan
9.0
Zemun
9.0
Cukaricki
8.9
Novi Pazar
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.8
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
OFK Beograd
8.8
Radnicki NIS
8.6
Radnicki 1923
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Macva
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Macva
7.0
Radnik Surdulica
5.5
Radnicki 1923
5.4
Radnicki NIS
5.2
Cukaricki
4.9
Vojvodina
4.8
OFK Beograd
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Železničar Pančevo
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.6
Zemun
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
Novi Pazar
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Radnicki 1923
29.4
Cukaricki
28.7
OFK Beograd
28.7
IMT Novi Beograd
28.6
Radnicki NIS
27.8
Železničar Pančevo
26.7
Novi Pazar
26.2
FK Partizan
25.8
Vojvodina
25.7
Macva
25.0
Mladost Lucani
24.7
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Zemun
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
28.7%
Under 9.5
71.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.3%
Under 3.5
24.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.3%
Under 21.5
9.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls90.3%-------
Under 3.588.0%-------
Over 3.5 cards75.3%-------
Under 9.5 corners71.3%-------
Under 2.571.3%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (31)
€60m
OB (36)
€29m
ŽP (36)
€24m
VOJ (27)
€23m
CUK (37)
€20m
INB (44)
€19m
NP (34)
€18m
RS (38)
€15m
RN (34)
€14m
R1 (32)
€13m
ML (33)
€8m
OFK Beograd's squad is €5m more valuable than Železničar Pančevo's (€29m vs €24m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (12)
€26m
CUK (13)
€12m
OB (13)
€11m
ŽP (14)
€11m
VOJ (13)
€9m
RS (17)
€9m
INB (22)
€8m
NP (18)
€8m
R1 (12)
€7m
RN (17)
€7m
ML (13)
€5m
OFK Beograd and Železničar Pančevo have a similar attack value (both €11m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (4)
€19m
OB (8)
€8m
ŽP (9)
€6m
INB (4)
€5m
VOJ (4)
€5m
NP (4)
€3m
CUK (7)
€3m
R1 (6)
€2m
RS (7)
€2m
RN (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
OFK Beograd's midfield is €1m more valuable than Železničar Pančevo's (€8m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (15)
€15m
OB (15)
€10m
VOJ (10)
€9m
NP (12)
€7m
ŽP (13)
€7m
RN (12)
€6m
INB (18)
€6m
CUK (17)
€5m
RS (14)
€4m
R1 (14)
€4m
ML (14)
€2m
OFK Beograd's defence is €4m more valuable than Železničar Pančevo's (€10m vs €7m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

OFK Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo · H/A from OB
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs OB2-0
21/02/26HOB Vs Železničar Pančevo0-0
20/09/25AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs OB1-3

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ANovi Pazar Vs OB1-4
25/07/26HOB Vs Radnik Surdulica0-0
19/07/26AVojvodina Vs OB4-0
22/05/26AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs OB1-2
17/05/26HOB Vs Vojvodina1-2
09/05/26AFK Partizan Vs OB1-1
02/05/26AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs OB2-0
26/04/26HOB Vs Radnik Surdulica1-1
22/04/26HOB Vs Cukaricki0-0
18/04/26ANovi Pazar Vs OB1-5

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/26HŽP Vs Radnicki NIS2-1
22/05/26HŽP Vs Cukaricki0-0
17/05/26ANovi Pazar Vs ŽP2-2
09/05/26HŽP Vs Radnik Surdulica1-1
02/05/26HŽP Vs OFK Beograd2-0
26/04/26AVojvodina Vs ŽP0-0
22/04/26HŽP Vs FK Crvena Zvezda2-2
18/04/26AFK Partizan Vs ŽP2-1
08/04/26AJavor Vs ŽP1-2
04/04/26HŽP Vs Novi Pazar2-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.32
HomeDDDLD0.89
AwayLDWLW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%16%48%
AVG goals2.622.113.10
Over 2.5 %48%32%62%
Scored1.320.951.67
Conceded1.301.161.43
BTTS52%37%67%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Failed to Score35%47%24%
Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDW1.63
HomeDWDDW2.05
AwayLWLDD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%60%28%
AVG goals2.372.002.78
Over 2.5 %45%30%61%
Scored1.371.401.33
Conceded1.000.601.44
BTTS45%25%67%
Clean Sheet45%65%22%
Failed to Score24%20%28%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK Crvena Zvezda2
100%
3.0
81+7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.5
0%
3.0
50%
17.5
0%
0
0004.00.5
63%
2IMT Novi Beograd2
100%
3.0
50+5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
50%
19
8562.50.0
56%
3Cukaricki3
67%
2.0
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
8.7
67%
5.7
100%
26.0
67%
20
12351.70.3
41%
4FK Partizan2
50%
2.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
9.0
100%
28.0
100%
60
2619152.51.5
66%
5OFK Beograd3
33%
1.3
45-1
3.0
67%
67%
67%
8.3
33%
5.3
67%
30.0
100%
29
118101.31.7
53%
6Novi Pazar3
33%
1.3
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
10.3
33%
4.3
67%
25.0
100%
18
8370.71.3
49%
7Vojvodina2
50%
1.5
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
0%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
23
9592.51.5
44%
8Železničar Pančevo1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
11672.01.0
45%
9Mladost Lucani2
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
8.5
0%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
8
5120.50.5
35%
10Radnik Surdulica2
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
9.5
50%
5.0
50%
31.0
100%
15
9240.50.5
56%
11Zemun2
0%
0.5
26-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.5
50%
22.0
50%
0
0001.03.0
32%
12Radnicki NIS2
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.5
50%
14
7160.52.0
62%
13Radnicki 19232
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
12.5
100%
4.5
100%
25.5
100%
13
7240.02.0
66%
14Macva2
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
50%
25.0
50%
0
0000.54.0
34%
Serbia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · OFK Beograd and Železničar Pančevo highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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