PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
M
Macva
vs
IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
Serbia: Super Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macva win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

M
Macva

Avg scored 0.50
Avg conceded 4.00
Avg total 4.50
50-5avg 0.5avg 4.0avg total 4.50513A·FK H·FK
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.504.001.003.000.005.00
vs Stronger (2)0.504.001.003.000.005.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-30pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 0.30
Avg total 1.70
40-4avg 1.4avg 0.3avg total 1.731111020000010111040A·TSCH·MLAA·NAPH·RADA·JAVH·RADA·FK H·TSCA·CUKH·ZEM
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.071.190.751.211.43
vs Stronger (5)1.201.800.670.672.003.50
vs Similar (13)1.231.231.171.001.291.43
vs Weaker (12)1.170.581.430.570.800.60
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Železničar Pančevo
3.00
IMT Novi Beograd
3.00
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
FK Partizan
2.00
Cukaricki
2.00
Vojvodina
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.33
Novi Pazar
1.33
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Zemun
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.00
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Macva
0.00
Macva is 3.00 points worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.00
Vojvodina
2.50
FK Partizan
2.50
IMT Novi Beograd
2.50
Železničar Pančevo
2.00
Cukaricki
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.33
Zemun
1.00
Novi Pazar
0.67
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Macva
0.50
Radnicki 1923
0.00
Macva is 2.00 goals worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IMT Novi Beograd
0.00
Cukaricki
0.33
Mladost Lucani
0.50
Radnik Surdulica
0.50
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.50
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.33
Vojvodina
1.50
FK Partizan
1.50
OFK Beograd
1.67
Radnicki NIS
2.00
Radnicki 1923
2.00
Zemun
3.00
Macva
4.00
Macva is 4.00 goals worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Radnicki 1923
66%
FK Partizan
66%
FK Crvena Zvezda
63%
Radnicki NIS
62%
Radnik Surdulica
56%
IMT Novi Beograd
56%
OFK Beograd
53%
Novi Pazar
49%
Železničar Pančevo
45%
Vojvodina
44%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
35%
Macva
34%
Zemun
32%
Macva is 22.0 percentage points worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average possession (34% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

M
Macva

For 2.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

9043979H·FK A·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.0

🟨 Cards

1207511122H·FK A·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

31021101093119H·FK A·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

For 4.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

130112422524834553533452136761198877H·ZEMA·CUKH·TSCA·FK H·RADA·JAVH·RADA·NAPH·MLAA·TSC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

802153134321221553113847322682H·ZEMA·CUKH·TSCA·FK H·RADA·JAVH·RADA·NAPH·MLAA·TSC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

36015418186162010191215916716151512171119362230312423312728H·ZEMA·CUKH·TSCA·FK H·RADA·JAVH·RADA·NAPH·MLAA·TSC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

M
Macva

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (3)8.07.09.04.712.01.025.031.019.0
vs Stronger (3)8.07.09.04.712.01.025.031.019.0
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line0%0%0%33%100%0%50%100%0%
% under line100%100%100%67%0%100%50%0%100%
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)8.58.28.84.54.34.728.628.129.2
vs Stronger (7)11.010.311.73.34.72.227.330.024.7
vs Similar (17)7.66.68.84.54.24.829.929.031.0
vs Weaker (16)8.59.27.85.04.25.827.726.429.0
% over line26%30%21%62%60%65%95%95%95%
% under line74%70%79%38%40%35%5%5%5%
This opponent (Macva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
Vojvodina
9.2
Mladost Lucani
9.1
FK Partizan
9.0
Zemun
9.0
Cukaricki
8.9
Novi Pazar
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.8
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
OFK Beograd
8.8
Radnicki NIS
8.6
Radnicki 1923
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Macva
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Macva
7.0
Radnik Surdulica
5.5
Radnicki 1923
5.4
Radnicki NIS
5.2
Cukaricki
4.9
Vojvodina
4.8
OFK Beograd
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Železničar Pančevo
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.6
Zemun
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
Novi Pazar
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Radnicki 1923
29.4
Cukaricki
28.7
OFK Beograd
28.7
IMT Novi Beograd
28.6
Radnicki NIS
27.8
Železničar Pančevo
26.7
Novi Pazar
26.2
FK Partizan
25.8
Vojvodina
25.7
Macva
25.0
Mladost Lucani
24.7
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Zemun
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
24.0%
Under 9.5
76.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
97.0%
Under 3.5
3.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.9%
Under 21.5
5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 3.5 cards97.0%-------
Over 21.5 fouls94.9%-------
Under 9.5 corners76.0%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (31)
€60m
OB (36)
€29m
ŽP (36)
€24m
VOJ (27)
€23m
CUK (37)
€20m
INB (44)
€19m
NP (34)
€18m
RS (38)
€15m
RN (34)
€14m
R1 (32)
€13m
ML (33)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (12)
€26m
CUK (13)
€12m
OB (13)
€11m
ŽP (14)
€11m
VOJ (13)
€9m
RS (17)
€9m
INB (22)
€8m
NP (18)
€8m
R1 (12)
€7m
RN (17)
€7m
ML (13)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (4)
€19m
OB (8)
€8m
ŽP (9)
€6m
INB (4)
€5m
VOJ (4)
€5m
NP (4)
€3m
CUK (7)
€3m
R1 (6)
€2m
RS (7)
€2m
RN (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (15)
€15m
OB (15)
€10m
VOJ (10)
€9m
NP (12)
€7m
ŽP (13)
€7m
RN (12)
€6m
INB (18)
€6m
CUK (17)
€5m
RS (14)
€4m
R1 (14)
€4m
ML (14)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Macva vs IMT Novi Beograd · H/A from MAC
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

M
Macva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HMAC Vs FK Partizan1-3
17/07/26AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs MAC5-0

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HINB Vs Zemun4-0
19/07/26ACukaricki Vs INB0-1
24/05/26HINB Vs TSC Backa Topola1-1
16/05/26AFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Vs INB0-1
10/05/26HINB Vs Radnicki 19230-0
03/05/26AJavor Vs INB0-0
27/04/26HINB Vs Radnicki NIS2-0
23/04/26ANapredak Vs INB0-1
19/04/26HINB Vs Mladost Lucani1-1
08/04/26ATSC Backa Topola Vs INB1-3

📊 8. Overall Statistics

M
Macva
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLL0.00
HomeL0.00
AwayL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals4.504.005.00
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Scored0.501.000.00
Conceded4.003.005.00
BTTS50%100%0%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Failed to Score50%0%100%
IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.44
HomeDWDDW1.55
AwayWWDWW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%37%
AVG goals2.492.152.84
Over 2.5 %38%30%47%
Scored1.181.201.16
Conceded1.310.951.68
BTTS51%45%58%
Clean Sheet41%55%26%
Failed to Score18%15%21%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK Crvena Zvezda2
100%
3.0
81+7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.5
0%
3.0
50%
17.5
0%
0
0004.00.5
63%
2IMT Novi Beograd2
100%
3.0
50+5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
50%
19
8562.50.0
56%
3Cukaricki3
67%
2.0
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
8.7
67%
5.7
100%
26.0
67%
20
12351.70.3
41%
4FK Partizan2
50%
2.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
9.0
100%
28.0
100%
60
2619152.51.5
66%
5OFK Beograd3
33%
1.3
45-1
3.0
67%
67%
67%
8.3
33%
5.3
67%
30.0
100%
29
118101.31.7
53%
6Novi Pazar3
33%
1.3
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
10.3
33%
4.3
67%
25.0
100%
18
8370.71.3
49%
7Vojvodina2
50%
1.5
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
0%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
23
9592.51.5
44%
8Železničar Pančevo1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
24
11672.01.0
45%
9Mladost Lucani2
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
8.5
0%
3.0
0%
25.5
100%
8
5120.50.5
35%
10Radnik Surdulica2
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
9.5
50%
5.0
50%
31.0
100%
15
9240.50.5
56%
11Zemun2
0%
0.5
26-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.5
50%
22.0
50%
0
0001.03.0
32%
12Radnicki NIS2
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
22.5
50%
14
7160.52.0
62%
13Radnicki 19232
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
12.5
100%
4.5
100%
25.5
100%
13
7240.02.0
66%
14Macva2
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
50%
25.0
50%
0
0000.54.0
34%
Serbia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · Macva and IMT Novi Beograd highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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