PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
Ružomberok
Ružomberok
Vs
35%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Podbrezová
Podbrezová
Slovakia: Super Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ružomberok win
34.6%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.57
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
2.65
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
888Sport
2.50
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.19
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.27
1xBet
3.24
Marathonbet
3.24
Podbrezová win
37.5%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.56
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
2.62
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
William Hil
2.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RužomberokRužomberok

Avg scored 1.10
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 2.60
40-4avg 1.1avg 1.5avg total 2.613000021131143011112A·AS A·TATH·SKAH·KOMA·FK H·TATH·AS A·SKAH·DUNA·SKA
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.201.071.131.87
vs Stronger (13)1.541.621.501.381.602.00
vs Similar (17)0.881.350.860.710.901.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PodbrezováPodbrezová

Avg scored 1.00
Avg conceded 2.20
Avg total 3.20
50-5avg 1.0avg 2.2avg total 3.202141512210312202003A·SLOA·SPAH·ŽILH·DUNA·ZEMH·SPAH·SLOA·ŽILH·ZEMA·SLO
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.531.601.531.671.53
vs Stronger (16)1.002.190.882.381.122.00
vs Similar (8)2.500.751.500.753.500.75
vs Weaker (6)2.170.833.670.330.671.33
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.24+3.4%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 3.53-3.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.70
888Sport
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.85+1.3%
Under 2.5
48.0%
@ 1.90-1.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
888Sport
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.8%
@ 3.02-0.7%
Under 3.5
70.2%
@ 1.33+0.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
888Sport
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
57.1%
@ 1.64+0.7%
No
42.9%
@ 2.12-0.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betano
1.65
888Sport
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
No
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
William Hil
2.10
888Sport
2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 5.82+5.7%
1-2
8.5%@ 8.84+3.5%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.76+3.1%
0-1
7.8%@ 8.34+2.4%
0-0
7.6%@ 9.88+3.1%
1-0
7.3%@ 8.45+2.1%
0-2
6.3%@ 12.15+2.7%
2-0
5.8%@ 12.42+2.2%
Ružomberok goals ↓
Podbrezová goals →
01234
07.6%7.8%6.3%3.0%1.0%
17.3%13%8.5%4.0%1.4%
25.8%8.1%5.7%2.7%0.9%
32.6%3.6%2.6%1.2%0.4%
40.9%1.2%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ružomberok goals (down), columns = Podbrezová goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
Skalica
2.00
Dunajska Streda
2.00
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
1.50
Komárno
1.00
FK Košice
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
AS Trencin
1.00
Ružomberok
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
Ružomberok is 1.00 points worse than Podbrezová in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Košice
3.50
Slovan Bratislava
3.50
Žilina
2.50
AS Trencin
2.00
Skalica
1.50
Dunajska Streda
1.50
Komárno
1.00
Ružomberok
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
Podbrezová
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
Ružomberok and Podbrezová are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Bratislava
0.00
Dunajska Streda
0.50
Komárno
1.00
Skalica
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
Ružomberok
1.50
Zemplín Michalovce
1.50
Podbrezová
1.50
Žilina
2.00
AS Trencin
2.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.00
FK Košice
3.50
Ružomberok and Podbrezová are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RužomberokRužomberok

For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1506236105582353188748114891513589151215A·FK H·KOMA·TATA·AS H·FK A·KOMH·SLOA·PODH·TATH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

904334312121223412637733332739H·KOMA·TATA·AS H·FK A·KOMH·SLOA·PODH·TATH·AS A·ŽIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.3

⚠️ Fouls

40077141021141881110151817107142020111114243526213327214022A·FK H·KOMA·TATA·AS H·FK A·KOMH·SLOA·PODH·TATH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PodbrezováPodbrezová

For 4.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

17077544741922277827125712811104915917A·ZEMH·DUNA·SPAA·SLOH·ZEMH·TATA·SPAH·RUŽA·AS H·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

7032152432433312214125665763253A·ZEMH·DUNA·SPAA·SLOH·ZEMH·TATA·SPAH·RUŽA·AS H·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.5

⚠️ Fouls

380161616228141881218201014131471659932382226303027212118A·ZEMH·DUNA·SPAA·SLOH·ZEMH·TATA·SPAH·RUŽA·AS H·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RužomberokRužomberok

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)10.39.111.32.32.52.125.425.425.5
vs Stronger (19)11.310.711.72.62.33.024.421.326.0
vs Similar (19)9.38.210.81.92.81.226.427.824.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%25%80%21%26%16%72%75%70%
% under line44%75%20%79%74%84%28%25%30%
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PodbrezováPodbrezová

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)10.311.69.02.62.62.626.325.627.1
vs Stronger (17)11.413.09.82.42.82.028.228.028.5
vs Similar (9)10.413.08.72.91.84.225.625.026.0
vs Weaker (8)8.48.78.02.93.22.524.022.726.0
% over line56%67%44%41%35%47%72%56%89%
% under line44%33%56%59%65%53%28%44%11%
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.9
Slovan Bratislava
10.8
Ružomberok
10.3
Podbrezová
10.3
Zemplín Michalovce
10.1
FK Košice
10.0
Žilina
9.8
Komárno
9.6
Skalica
9.5
Dunajska Streda
9.3
Spartak Trnava
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.5
Podbrezová
4.9
Slovan Bratislava
4.8
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Skalica
4.6
AS Trencin
4.6
Komárno
4.4
Ružomberok
4.3
Zemplín Michalovce
4.2
Žilina
3.8
FK Košice
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
29.5
Komárno
27.7
Zemplín Michalovce
26.9
Žilina
26.4
Podbrezová
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Skalica
26.1
Ružomberok
25.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.1
AS Trencin
23.9
FK Košice
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.7%
Under 9.5
59.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.2%
Under 3.5
27.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.9%
Under 21.5
19.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls80.9%-------
Over 1.577.3%1.24
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+3.4%
Over 3.5 cards72.2%-------
Under 3.570.2%1.33
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+0.7%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (29)
€44m
DS (35)
€26m
ŽIL (38)
€18m
AT (38)
€8m
POD (32)
€8m
ST (28)
€7m
FK (33)
€7m
RUŽ (33)
€7m
ZM (33)
€6m
SKA (31)
€4m
KOM (28)
€3m
Ružomberok's squad is €2m less valuable than Podbrezová's (€7m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (13)
€26m
DS (10)
€12m
ŽIL (15)
€5m
POD (13)
€3m
AT (17)
€3m
ST (10)
€3m
ZM (11)
€2m
FK (8)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
SKA (9)
€1m
Ružomberok's attack is €2m less valuable than Podbrezová's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DS (12)
€7m
SB (5)
€6m
ŽIL (4)
€4m
POD (7)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
FK (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
KOM (7)
€1m
SKA (7)
€1m
Ružomberok and Podbrezová have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (11)
€12m
ŽIL (19)
€9m
DS (13)
€7m
RUŽ (17)
€4m
AT (15)
€4m
FK (16)
€3m
POD (12)
€3m
ST (12)
€3m
SKA (15)
€2m
ZM (13)
€2m
KOM (11)
€1m
Ružomberok and Podbrezová have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Ružomberok vs Podbrezová · H/A from RUŽ
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26APodbrezová Vs RUŽ5-0
28/09/25HRUŽ Vs Podbrezová1-0

RužomberokRužomberok

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ASkalica Vs RUŽ2-1
26/07/26HRUŽ Vs Dunajska Streda1-1
16/05/26ASkalica Vs RUŽ1-0
09/05/26HRUŽ Vs AS Trencin4-3
02/05/26HRUŽ Vs Tatran Prešov1-1
25/04/26AFK Košice Vs RUŽ3-1
18/04/26HRUŽ Vs Komárno2-1
11/04/26HRUŽ Vs Skalica0-0
04/04/26ATatran Prešov Vs RUŽ0-0
21/03/26AAS Trencin Vs RUŽ3-1

PodbrezováPodbrezová

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ASlovan Bratislava Vs POD3-0
25/07/26HPOD Vs Zemplín Michalovce2-0
16/05/26AŽilina Vs POD0-2
09/05/26HPOD Vs Slovan Bratislava1-2
03/05/26HPOD Vs Spartak Trnava0-3
25/04/26AZemplín Michalovce Vs POD1-2
18/04/26HPOD Vs Dunajska Streda1-2
11/04/26HPOD Vs Žilina1-5
05/04/26ASpartak Trnava Vs POD4-1
22/03/26ASlovan Bratislava Vs POD2-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Ružomberok
Ružomberok
Slovakia: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.03
HomeDWDWD1.26
AwayLDLLL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%26%21%
AVG goals2.632.532.74
Over 2.5 %47%32%63%
Scored1.081.260.89
Conceded1.551.261.84
BTTS53%58%47%
Clean Sheet18%21%16%
Failed to Score39%32%47%
Podbrezová
Podbrezová
Slovakia: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.32
HomeLLLLW1.47
AwayLLWWL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%47%35%
AVG goals3.263.183.35
Over 2.5 %68%65%71%
Scored1.681.711.65
Conceded1.591.471.71
BTTS47%53%41%
Clean Sheet26%29%24%
Failed to Score26%18%35%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Slovan Bratislava2
100%
3.0
70+7
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
44
266123.50.0
-
2Dunajska Streda2
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
26
12771.50.5
-
3Žilina2
50%
2.0
54+1
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
5492.52.0
-
4Skalica2
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.0
-
5Podbrezová2
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.01.5
-
6FK Košice2
0%
1.0
77+0
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2233.53.5
-
7AS Trencin2
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.02.0
-
8Spartak Trnava1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.01.0
-
9Komárno1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
10Ružomberok2
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
1141.01.5
-
11Zemplín Michalovce2
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2220.01.5
-
12Dukla Banská Bystrica2
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · Ružomberok and Podbrezová highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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