PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 08/08/2026
AS Trencin
AS Trencin
Vs
8%
19%
73%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
Slovakia: Super Liga
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AS Trencin win
8.1%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.33
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
5.40
Betano
5.40
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.21
Draw
19.3%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.37
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Pinnacle
4.43
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.25
Slovan Bratislava win
72.7%
Avg Implied 61.2% · @ 1.52
Edge
+11.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AS TrencinAS Trencin

Avg scored 1.80
Avg conceded 1.50
Avg total 3.30
40-4avg 1.8avg 1.5avg total 3.331101014101234301133H·RUŽA·KOMH·TATA·SKAA·TATH·KOMA·RUŽH·FK H·KOMA·FK
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.731.071.401.132.07
vs Stronger (5)1.002.600.502.501.332.67
vs Similar (9)1.002.111.501.500.602.60
vs Weaker (16)1.191.251.001.111.431.43
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

Avg scored 1.90
Avg conceded 0.50
Avg total 2.40
40-4avg 1.9avg 0.5avg total 2.420302210101021024030H·PODA·DUNH·SPAA·ŽILA·SPAH·DUNA·PODH·ZEMA·DUKH·POD
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.071.671.131.801.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (5)2.000.801.500.502.331.00
vs Weaker (24)1.751.121.691.231.821.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.8%
@ 1.14-3.7%
Under 1.5
23.2%
@ 4.73+3.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
Pinnacle
4.93
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.50-9.6%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 2.40+9.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 2.29-11.3%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.59+11.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Both teams to score
Yes
40.4%
@ 1.59-17.5%
No
59.6%
@ 2.19+17.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
No
1xBet
2.21
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.9%@ 8.68+9.6%
0-1
13.0%@ 8.73+7.7%
0-3
10.7%@ 12.00+6.8%
1-1
9.0%@ 8.33+3.5%
1-2
8.8%@ 7.97+3.1%
0-0
7.2%@ 14.33+4.0%
1-3
6.3%@ 11.08+2.2%
0-4
5.7%@ 18.83+3.3%
AS Trencin goals ↓
Slovan Bratislava goals →
01234
07.2%13%15%11%5.7%
13.0%9.0%8.8%6.3%3.4%
21.1%2.4%2.6%1.9%1.0%
30.2%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Trencin goals (down), columns = Slovan Bratislava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
Skalica
2.00
Dunajska Streda
2.00
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
1.50
Komárno
1.00
FK Košice
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
AS Trencin
1.00
Ružomberok
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
AS Trencin is 2.00 points worse than Slovan Bratislava in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Košice
3.50
Slovan Bratislava
3.50
Žilina
2.50
AS Trencin
2.00
Skalica
1.50
Dunajska Streda
1.50
Komárno
1.00
Ružomberok
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
Podbrezová
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
AS Trencin is 1.50 goals worse than Slovan Bratislava in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 3.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Bratislava
0.00
Dunajska Streda
0.50
Komárno
1.00
Skalica
1.00
Spartak Trnava
1.00
Ružomberok
1.50
Zemplín Michalovce
1.50
Podbrezová
1.50
Žilina
2.00
AS Trencin
2.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.00
FK Košice
3.50
AS Trencin is 2.00 goals worse than Slovan Bratislava in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AS TrencinAS Trencin

For 4.7 · Against 7.4 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

1704937854437413545127241113101381017917915A·TATA·KOMH·RUŽH·SKAA·FK A·SKAH·ZEMA·SLOH·PODA·RUŽ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

7011413343233254121132537567534A·TATA·KOMH·RUŽH·SKAA·FK A·SKAH·ZEMH·PODA·RUŽH·TAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

36010714981813199111818616134516111117232632203622172122A·TATA·KOMH·RUŽH·SKAA·FK A·SKAH·ZEMA·SLOH·PODA·RUŽ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1701663244722333781125547961146109179A·SPAA·ŽILA·DUNH·PODH·ŽILA·ZEMH·SPAA·RUŽH·AS A·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

1004632422321113321521310565326374A·SPAA·ŽILA·DUNH·PODH·ŽILA·ZEMH·SPAA·RUŽA·DUNH·BK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.3

⚠️ Fouls

34012121415916818181610181015101741320824292526342825271728A·SPAA·ŽILA·DUNH·PODH·ŽILA·ZEMH·SPAA·RUŽH·AS A·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS TrencinAS Trencin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)11.99.913.52.12.51.823.925.122.9
vs Stronger (6)13.012.013.50.20.00.319.722.018.5
vs Similar (11)10.39.811.03.65.62.025.025.025.0
vs Weaker (17)12.99.315.01.91.62.224.526.323.4
% over line72%38%100%29%35%24%61%75%50%
% under line28%62%0%71%65%76%39%25%50%
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.111.58.62.93.42.425.727.623.7
vs Stronger (3)11.0-11.03.0-3.020.3-20.3
vs Similar (11)11.314.08.04.64.64.825.727.423.5
vs Weaker (36)9.410.48.02.42.91.826.527.625.0
% over line55%75%33%40%52%28%74%81%67%
% under line45%25%67%60%48%72%26%19%33%
This opponent (AS Trencin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.9
Slovan Bratislava
10.8
Ružomberok
10.3
Podbrezová
10.3
Zemplín Michalovce
10.1
FK Košice
10.0
Žilina
9.8
Komárno
9.6
Skalica
9.5
Dunajska Streda
9.3
Spartak Trnava
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.5
Podbrezová
4.9
Slovan Bratislava
4.8
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Skalica
4.6
AS Trencin
4.6
Komárno
4.4
Ružomberok
4.3
Zemplín Michalovce
4.2
Žilina
3.8
FK Košice
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
29.5
Komárno
27.7
Zemplín Michalovce
26.9
Žilina
26.4
Podbrezová
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Skalica
26.1
Ružomberok
25.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.1
AS Trencin
23.9
FK Košice
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.3%
Under 3.5
26.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 21.5 fouls77.1%-------
Over 1.576.8%1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
--3.7%
Over 3.5 cards73.3%-------
Away win72.7%1.52
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
-+11.5%
Under 3.570.3%1.59
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.59
-+11.3%

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (29)
€44m
DS (35)
€26m
ŽIL (38)
€18m
AT (38)
€8m
POD (32)
€8m
ST (28)
€7m
FK (33)
€7m
RUŽ (33)
€7m
ZM (33)
€6m
SKA (31)
€4m
KOM (28)
€3m
AS Trencin's squad is €35m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€8m vs €44m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (13)
€26m
DS (10)
€12m
ŽIL (15)
€5m
POD (13)
€3m
AT (17)
€3m
ST (10)
€3m
ZM (11)
€2m
FK (8)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
SKA (9)
€1m
AS Trencin's attack is €23m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€3m vs €26m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DS (12)
€7m
SB (5)
€6m
ŽIL (4)
€4m
POD (7)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
FK (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
KOM (7)
€1m
SKA (7)
€1m
AS Trencin's midfield is €4m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€2m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (11)
€12m
ŽIL (19)
€9m
DS (13)
€7m
RUŽ (17)
€4m
AT (15)
€4m
FK (16)
€3m
POD (12)
€3m
ST (12)
€3m
SKA (15)
€2m
ZM (13)
€2m
KOM (11)
€1m
AS Trencin's defence is €8m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€4m vs €12m).

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26ASlovan Bratislava Vs AT0-2
27/09/25HAT Vs Slovan Bratislava1-2

AS TrencinAS Trencin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AFK Košice Vs AT3-3
25/07/26HAT Vs Komárno1-1
16/05/26HAT Vs FK Košice3-0
09/05/26ARužomberok Vs AT4-3
03/05/26HAT Vs Komárno1-2
26/04/26ATatran Prešov Vs AT0-1
19/04/26ASkalica Vs AT4-1
11/04/26HAT Vs Tatran Prešov1-0
05/04/26AKomárno Vs AT0-1
21/03/26HAT Vs Ružomberok3-1

Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HSB Vs Podbrezová3-0
26/07/26ADukla Banská Bystrica Vs SB0-4
16/05/26HSB Vs Zemplín Michalovce0-2
09/05/26APodbrezová Vs SB1-2
02/05/26HSB Vs Dunajska Streda1-0
26/04/26ASpartak Trnava Vs SB0-1
18/04/26AŽilina Vs SB0-1
11/04/26HSB Vs Spartak Trnava2-2
04/04/26ADunajska Streda Vs SB0-3
22/03/26HSB Vs Podbrezová2-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

AS Trencin
AS Trencin
Slovakia: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.29
HomeWWLWD1.24
AwayWLWLD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%41%
AVG goals2.742.413.06
Over 2.5 %53%59%47%
Scored1.121.061.18
Conceded1.621.351.88
BTTS44%47%41%
Clean Sheet29%24%35%
Failed to Score32%35%29%
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
Slovakia: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.74
HomeWDWLW1.84
AwayWWWWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals3.063.043.08
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Scored1.761.801.72
Conceded1.301.241.36
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Failed to Score18%20%16%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Slovan Bratislava2
100%
3.0
70+7
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
44
266123.50.0
-
2Dunajska Streda2
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
26
12771.50.5
-
3Žilina2
50%
2.0
54+1
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
5492.52.0
-
4Skalica2
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.0
-
5Podbrezová2
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.01.5
-
6FK Košice2
0%
1.0
77+0
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2233.53.5
-
7AS Trencin2
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.02.0
-
8Spartak Trnava1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.01.0
-
9Komárno1
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
10Ružomberok2
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
1141.01.5
-
11Zemplín Michalovce2
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2220.01.5
-
12Dukla Banská Bystrica2
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026-27 full table · AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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