This opponent (Kudrivka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kudrivka
Avg scored1.00
Avg conceded1.40
Avg total2.40
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.57
1.20
1.33
0.80
1.80
vs Stronger (21)
0.86
1.76
1.09
1.64
0.60
1.90
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
0.33
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.4%
@ 1.12+1.7%
Under 1.5
14.6%
@ 5.75-1.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.5%
@ 1.37-1.8%
Under 2.5
34.5%
@ 2.83+1.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.6%
@ 1.97-3.4%
Under 3.5
56.4%
@ 1.74+3.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Both teams to score
Yes
32.7%
@ 2.25-8.1%
No
67.3%
@ 1.55+8.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
1xBet
2.26
10Bet
2.25
No
1xBet
1.58
10Bet
1.53
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.0%@ 5.40+7.9%
3-0
14.8%@ 5.42+7.7%
4-0
11.0%@ 7.12+5.5%
1-0
9.7%@ 7.80+4.8%
5-0
6.5%@ 83.50+6.0%
2-1
6.3%@ 9.40+2.1%
3-1
6.2%@ 9.45+2.1%
1-1
4.7%@ 13.40+1.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk goals ↓
Kudrivka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
1
9.7%
4.7%
0.9%
0.1%
0.0%
2
15%
6.3%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
3
15%
6.2%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
4
11%
4.6%
1.0%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shakhtar Donetsk goals (down), columns = Kudrivka goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Karpaty
3.00
Polessya
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Zorya Luhansk
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00
Kryvbas KR
0.00
Chornomorets
0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Karpaty
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Polessya
2.00
Zorya Luhansk
2.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Chornomorets
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.00
Karpaty
1.00
Polessya
1.00
Veres Rivne
1.00
Chornomorets
2.00
Kolos Kovalivka
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
3.00
Kryvbas KR
4.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
âąïļ Possession
Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk
For 5.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kudrivka
For 4.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shakhtar Donetsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.1
8.7
2.7
2.8
2.5
19.4
18.4
20.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
8.5
11.0
6.0
5.5
3.0
8.0
27.0
18.0
36.0
vs Weaker (48)
9.0
9.0
8.9
2.6
2.8
2.3
18.8
18.4
19.3
% over line
39%
40%
38%
36%
40%
32%
14%
7%
23%
% under line
61%
60%
62%
64%
60%
68%
86%
93%
77%
This opponent (Kudrivka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kudrivka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
9.4
9.2
9.6
2.4
2.8
2.0
25.1
24.3
26.4
vs Stronger (22)
9.5
9.1
10.2
1.7
1.7
1.7
24.2
23.0
26.0
vs Similar (8)
9.3
9.5
9.0
4.0
6.2
1.8
27.3
27.0
28.0
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
-
8.0
3.0
0.0
6.0
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
40%
42%
38%
31%
38%
25%
80%
67%
100%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
69%
62%
75%
20%
33%
0%
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livyi Bereh
13.0
Kryvbas KR
11.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11.3
Dynamo Kyiv
11.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.6
Veres Rivne
10.5
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.8
Kudrivka
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Polessya
9.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.0
Karpaty
8.7
Kolos Kovalivka
7.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Livyi Bereh
5.0
Karpaty
4.4
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Obolon'-Brovar
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
LNZ Cherkasy
3.8
Kudrivka
3.8
Dynamo Kyiv
3.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.6
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Veres Rivne
3.3
Zorya Luhansk
3.2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.1
Polessya
3.1
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Kolos Kovalivka
26.5
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Kudrivka
25.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1
Karpaty
23.6
Kryvbas KR
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.1
Dynamo Kyiv
21.0
LNZ Cherkasy
20.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.6
Polessya
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.5%
Under 9.5
57.5%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.4%
Under 3.5
45.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.6%
Under 21.5
43.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
ðĨ 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home win
87.4%
1.12
Dafabet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+5.8%
Over 1.5
85.4%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
ð° 6. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (35)
€224m
DK (30)
€85m
KAR (38)
€27m
LC (32)
€25m
M1K (32)
€23m
KK (34)
€16m
ZL (27)
€13m
VR (30)
€10m
KUD (33)
€8m
Shakhtar Donetsk's squad is €216m more valuable than Kudrivka's (€224m vs €8m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (15)
€147m
DK (12)
€31m
LC (14)
€13m
KAR (12)
€10m
M1K (13)
€9m
KK (14)
€6m
ZL (12)
€4m
VR (12)
€4m
KUD (12)
€3m
Shakhtar Donetsk's attack is €144m more valuable than Kudrivka's (€147m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (5)
€24m
SD (4)
€19m
KAR (10)
€6m
LC (7)
€6m
M1K (6)
€5m
KK (7)
€4m
ZL (5)
€3m
VR (8)
€2m
KUD (5)
€1m
Shakhtar Donetsk's midfield is €18m more valuable than Kudrivka's (€19m vs €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€58m
DK (13)
€30m
KAR (16)
€11m
M1K (13)
€9m
LC (11)
€7m
ZL (10)
€7m
KK (13)
€6m
VR (10)
€4m
KUD (16)
€4m
Shakhtar Donetsk's defence is €54m more valuable than Kudrivka's (€58m vs €4m).
ðĪ 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka · H/A from SD
Date
H/A
Game
Score
26/04/26
A
Kudrivka Vs SD
1-3
26/10/25
H
SD Vs Kudrivka
4-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
21/05/26
H
SD Vs Kolos Kovalivka
0-1
17/05/26
A
Kryvbas KR Vs SD
2-3
13/05/26
H
SD Vs Obolon'-Brovar
3-1
10/05/26
A
SK Poltava Vs SD
0-4
07/05/26
A
Crystal Palace Vs SD
2-1
03/05/26
A
Dynamo Kyiv Vs SD
1-2
30/04/26
H
SD Vs Crystal Palace
1-3
26/04/26
A
Kudrivka Vs SD
1-3
23/04/26
A
Zorya Luhansk Vs SD
1-2
20/04/26
H
SD Vs Polessya
1-0
Kudrivka
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
09/06/26
A
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Vs KUD
2-2
05/06/26
H
KUD Vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0-0
24/05/26
A
Dynamo Kyiv Vs KUD
3-2
18/05/26
H
KUD Vs LNZ Cherkasy
1-0
14/05/26
H
KUD Vs Ruh Lviv
2-1
08/05/26
A
Kolos Kovalivka Vs KUD
1-0
03/05/26
A
Obolon'-Brovar Vs KUD
1-1
26/04/26
H
KUD Vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1-3
18/04/26
A
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs KUD
1-0
12/04/26
H
KUD Vs Kryvbas KR
1-2
ð 8. Overall Statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWWWL
2.16
Home
WWLWL
2.08
Away
WWLWW
2.24
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
64%
64%
64%
AVG goals
2.94
2.88
3.00
Over 2.5 %
60%
56%
64%
Scored
2.14
2.16
2.12
Conceded
0.80
0.72
0.88
BTTS
46%
36%
56%
Clean Sheet
52%
60%
44%
Failed to Score
14%
12%
16%
Kudrivka
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWLDD
0.94
Home
LLWWD
1.44
Away
LDLLD
0.44
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
22%
38%
6%
AVG goals
2.62
2.62
2.62
Over 2.5 %
50%
62%
38%
Scored
1.06
1.31
0.81
Conceded
1.56
1.31
1.81
BTTS
59%
69%
50%
Clean Sheet
16%
25%
6%
Failed to Score
31%
19%
44%
ð 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value âŽm
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Karpaty
1
100%
3.0
4
1
+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
10
6
11
4.0
1.0
-
2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
100%
3.0
3
0
+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
3.0
0.0
-
3
Zorya Luhansk
1
100%
3.0
2
0
+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4
3
7
2.0
0.0
-
4
Polessya
1
100%
3.0
2
1
+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
2.0
1.0
-
5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
100%
3.0
1
0
+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
23
9
5
9
1.0
0.0
-
6
Chornomorets
1
0%
0.0
1
2
-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
1.0
2.0
-
7
Veres Rivne
1
0%
0.0
0
1
-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4
2
4
0.0
1.0
-
8
Kolos Kovalivka
1
0%
0.0
0
2
-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6
4
6
0.0
2.0
-
9
Kryvbas KR
1
0%
0.0
1
4
-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
1.0
4.0
-
10
Obolon'-Brovar
1
0%
0.0
0
3
-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0
0
0
0.0
3.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2026-27 full table · Shakhtar Donetsk and Kudrivka highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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