PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Simulation Picks Fixtures Validation Pythia · model switchable per page
Date: 09/08/2026
ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Vs
18%
24%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukraine: Premier League
Referee: -
ModelSwitch to compare calibration & value across engine versions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk win
58.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 bookmaker prices
No bookmaker prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Avg scored 1.40
Avg conceded 1.00
Avg total 2.40
30-3avg 1.4avg 1.0avg total 2.410010011332232110030H·KUDA·ZORH·KARH·OLEA·VERA·OBOH·POLA·METH·SK H·OBO
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.471.531.401.071.53
vs Stronger (13)1.082.082.002.170.292.00
vs Similar (7)1.431.141.251.001.671.33
vs Weaker (10)1.500.901.200.801.801.00
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk

Avg scored 2.00
Avg conceded 1.20
Avg total 3.20
40-4avg 2.0avg 1.2avg total 3.210213113211240313201H·POLA·ZORA·KUDH·CRYA·DYNA·CRYA·SK H·OBOA·KRYH·KOL
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.300.802.250.692.360.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)2.501.003.000.002.002.00
vs Weaker (28)2.290.792.200.732.380.85
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
No bookmaker prices yet.
No
No bookmaker prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.0%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals ↓
Shakhtar Donetsk goals →
01234
06.9%9.9%10%6.5%3.1%
14.5%12%9.9%6.2%2.9%
22.7%5.0%4.8%3.0%1.4%
30.9%1.6%1.5%1.0%0.4%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals (down), columns = Shakhtar Donetsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karpaty
3.00
Polessya
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Zorya Luhansk
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.00
Kryvbas KR
0.00
Chornomorets
0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karpaty
4.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Polessya
2.00
Zorya Luhansk
2.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Chornomorets
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.00
Veres Rivne
0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.00
Karpaty
1.00
Polessya
1.00
Veres Rivne
1.00
Chornomorets
2.00
Kolos Kovalivka
2.00
Obolon'-Brovar
3.00
Kryvbas KR
4.00
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⏱️ Possession

Not collected for this league yet.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1303958588253422636523312131310868976H·POLH·OLEH·KUDA·KRYH·RUHH·KOLH·LNZA·SHAA·SK H·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6013332323112224111335543262H·POLH·OLEH·KUDA·KRYH·RUHH·KOLH·LNZA·SHAA·SK H·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

3807782013121512201812136111181314161314282527382517192729H·POLH·OLEH·KUDA·KRYH·RUHH·KOLH·LNZA·SHAA·SK H·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk

For 5.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

140335113154334747645526614961111697H·OBOA·CRYH·CRYA·KUDA·AZ A·LNZH·AZ H·RUHH·LECH·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

80221321442121331344151823447H·OBOA·CRYH·CRYA·KUDA·AZ A·LNZH·AZ H·RUHH·LECH·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

36091110871311817197811751310711820182019361518181719H·OBOA·CRYH·CRYA·KUDA·AZ A·LNZH·AZ H·RUHH·LECH·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (31)9.89.99.61.51.81.224.125.621.2
vs Stronger (14)9.89.410.21.81.91.720.220.619.8
vs Similar (7)9.09.0-0.71.20.031.031.0-
vs Weaker (10)10.211.37.01.72.21.229.530.327.0
% over line53%50%60%16%19%13%60%70%40%
% under line47%50%40%84%81%87%40%30%60%
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.18.72.72.82.519.418.420.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (2)8.511.06.05.53.08.027.018.036.0
vs Weaker (48)9.09.08.92.62.82.318.818.419.3
% over line39%40%38%36%40%32%14%7%23%
% under line61%60%62%64%60%68%86%93%77%
This opponent (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Livyi Bereh
13.0
Kryvbas KR
11.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11.3
Dynamo Kyiv
11.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.6
Veres Rivne
10.5
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.8
Kudrivka
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Polessya
9.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.0
Karpaty
8.7
Kolos Kovalivka
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Livyi Bereh
5.0
Karpaty
4.4
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Obolon'-Brovar
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
LNZ Cherkasy
3.8
Kudrivka
3.8
Dynamo Kyiv
3.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.6
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Veres Rivne
3.3
Zorya Luhansk
3.2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.1
Polessya
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Kolos Kovalivka
26.5
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Kudrivka
25.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1
Karpaty
23.6
Kryvbas KR
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.1
Dynamo Kyiv
21.0
LNZ Cherkasy
20.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.6
Polessya
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.8%
Under 9.5
45.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
55.6%
Under 21.5
44.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 1.578.6%-------
Under 3.5 cards70.4%-------

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (35)
€224m
DK (30)
€85m
KAR (38)
€27m
LC (32)
€25m
M1K (32)
€23m
KK (34)
€16m
ZL (27)
€13m
VR (30)
€10m
KUD (33)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (15)
€147m
DK (12)
€31m
LC (14)
€13m
KAR (12)
€10m
M1K (13)
€9m
KK (14)
€6m
ZL (12)
€4m
VR (12)
€4m
KUD (12)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (5)
€24m
SD (4)
€19m
KAR (10)
€6m
LC (7)
€6m
M1K (6)
€5m
KK (7)
€4m
ZL (5)
€3m
VR (8)
€2m
KUD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€58m
DK (13)
€30m
KAR (16)
€11m
M1K (13)
€9m
LC (11)
€7m
ZL (10)
€7m
KK (13)
€6m
VR (10)
€4m
KUD (16)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Shakhtar Donetsk · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/25AShakhtar Donetsk Vs ED5-0
03/08/25HED Vs Shakhtar Donetsk0-1

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HED Vs Obolon'-Brovar3-0
23/05/26HED Vs SK Poltava0-0
16/05/26AMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs ED1-1
12/05/26HED Vs Polessya3-2
09/05/26AObolon'-Brovar Vs ED2-2
02/05/26AVeres Rivne Vs ED3-3
27/04/26HED Vs Oleksandria1-1
19/04/26HED Vs Karpaty0-0
12/04/26AZorya Luhansk Vs ED1-0
06/04/26HED Vs Kudrivka1-0

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/26HSD Vs Kolos Kovalivka0-1
17/05/26AKryvbas KR Vs SD2-3
13/05/26HSD Vs Obolon'-Brovar3-1
10/05/26ASK Poltava Vs SD0-4
07/05/26ACrystal Palace Vs SD2-1
03/05/26ADynamo Kyiv Vs SD1-2
30/04/26HSD Vs Crystal Palace1-3
26/04/26AKudrivka Vs SD1-3
23/04/26AZorya Luhansk Vs SD1-2
20/04/26HSD Vs Polessya1-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

ED
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.13
HomeDDWDW1.19
AwayLLDDD1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%31%27%
AVG goals2.712.812.60
Over 2.5 %52%50%53%
Scored1.261.441.07
Conceded1.451.381.53
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet35%44%27%
Failed to Score35%31%40%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukraine: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL2.16
HomeWWLWL2.08
AwayWWLWW2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%64%64%
AVG goals2.942.883.00
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Scored2.142.162.12
Conceded0.800.720.88
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet52%60%44%
Failed to Score14%12%16%

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Karpaty1
100%
3.0
41+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
106114.01.0
-
2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.0
-
3Zorya Luhansk1
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4372.00.0
-
4Polessya1
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
5Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
23
9591.00.0
-
6Chornomorets1
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
7Veres Rivne1
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4240.01.0
-
8Kolos Kovalivka1
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6460.02.0
-
9Kryvbas KR1
0%
0.0
14-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.0
-
10Obolon'-Brovar1
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Ukraine: Premier League 2026-27 full table · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Shakhtar Donetsk highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.

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