This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Avg scored1.20
Avg conceded2.40
Avg total3.60
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.63
1.07
1.64
0.75
1.62
vs Stronger (20)
0.85
1.60
0.78
1.67
0.91
1.55
vs Similar (10)
1.00
1.70
1.60
1.60
0.40
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.19+3.1%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 4.10-3.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
888Sport
4.40
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.67+0.6%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.14-0.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.76
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.25
888Sport
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.5%
@ 2.59-1.1%
Under 3.5
65.5%
@ 1.43+1.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.88
10Bet
2.70
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.51
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Both teams to score
Yes
55.2%
@ 1.86+5.3%
No
44.8%
@ 1.86-5.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Unibet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
No
William Hil
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%@ 8.16+5.7%
2-0
10.0%@ 6.55+3.3%
2-1
10.0%@ 7.72+4.3%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.11+3.0%
3-0
6.6%@ 8.86+1.6%
3-1
6.5%@ 10.47+2.3%
0-0
6.2%@ 12.31+2.6%
1-2
5.0%@ 18.12+2.6%
Derry City goals ↓
Sligo Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
4.1%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.2%
11%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
10.0%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.6%
6.5%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.2%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derry City goals (down), columns = Sligo Rovers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
Bohemians
1.72
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Dundalk
1.42
Shelbourne
1.36
Galway United
1.17
Derry City
1.15
Drogheda United
1.04
Waterford
0.96
Sligo Rovers
0.85
Derry City is 0.31 points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.60
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Dundalk
1.54
Shamrock Rovers
1.54
Shelbourne
1.40
Galway United
1.33
Waterford
1.31
Derry City
1.27
Drogheda United
1.19
Sligo Rovers
0.88
Derry City is 0.38 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.85
St Patrick's Athl.
0.85
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.23
Shelbourne
1.44
Dundalk
1.46
Galway United
1.62
Sligo Rovers
1.65
Drogheda United
1.65
Waterford
1.81
Derry City is 0.42 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.65).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
63%
Bohemians
57%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
55%
Shelbourne
52%
Dundalk
51%
Sligo Rovers
47%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Derry City is 7.5 percentage points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average possession (55% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Derry City
For 5.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
For 3.4 · Against 8.1 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Derry City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.8
10.0
5.1
4.4
5.8
23.2
22.3
24.1
vs Stronger (6)
9.5
9.0
10.0
6.0
4.0
8.0
29.7
29.3
30.0
vs Similar (27)
9.0
8.9
9.0
5.6
4.7
6.5
22.9
22.2
23.7
vs Weaker (17)
10.0
8.5
11.5
4.1
4.0
4.2
21.2
19.8
22.6
% over line
43%
28%
58%
72%
60%
84%
65%
60%
71%
% under line
57%
72%
42%
28%
40%
16%
35%
40%
29%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.6
11.6
4.1
4.0
4.1
19.4
20.6
18.2
vs Stronger (31)
11.3
11.3
11.3
3.8
3.9
3.7
19.3
20.6
17.8
vs Similar (19)
10.8
9.4
12.0
4.5
4.3
4.7
19.5
20.4
18.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
56%
67%
52%
56%
48%
29%
32%
25%
% under line
39%
44%
33%
48%
44%
52%
71%
68%
75%
This opponent (Derry City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Dundalk
11.0
Waterford
10.9
Galway United
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
9.9
Shelbourne
9.4
Derry City
9.3
Shamrock Rovers
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.3
Dundalk
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Bohemians
4.8
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.8
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
23.4
Derry City
23.2
Bohemians
23.0
St Patrick's Athl.
23.0
Galway United
22.8
Waterford
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.7
Shelbourne
21.6
Sligo Rovers
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.8%
@ 1.50-4.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
@ 2.40+4.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.47
Under
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.37
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.8%
Under 3.5
34.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
40.7%
Under 21.5
59.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
80.5%
1.19
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.18
+3.1%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (21)
€5m
DC (21)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Derry City's squad is €1m more valuable than Sligo Rovers's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Derry City and Sligo Rovers have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Derry City and Sligo Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
SPA (8)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Derry City and Sligo Rovers have a similar defence value (both €2m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers · H/A from DC
Date
H/A
Game
Score
06/04/26
A
Sligo Rovers Vs DC
0-0
06/02/26
H
DC Vs Sligo Rovers
2-1
05/10/25
H
DC Vs Sligo Rovers
1-0
12/07/25
A
Sligo Rovers Vs DC
2-0
22/04/25
H
DC Vs Sligo Rovers
3-0
15/03/25
A
Sligo Rovers Vs DC
0-1
Derry City
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs DC
1-1
03/07/26
H
DC Vs Waterford
2-4
26/06/26
H
DC Vs Drogheda United
2-0
22/06/26
A
Shamrock Rovers Vs DC
1-1
19/06/26
A
Galway United Vs DC
2-1
12/06/26
H
DC Vs Bohemians
4-1
29/05/26
A
Dundalk Vs DC
2-1
25/05/26
H
DC Vs Shelbourne
0-0
22/05/26
H
DC Vs St Patrick's Athl.
0-0
15/05/26
A
Waterford Vs DC
2-2
Sligo Rovers
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
31/07/26
A
Dundalk Vs SR
1-1
25/07/26
H
SR Vs Drogheda United
2-2
11/07/26
A
Galway United Vs SR
3-2
03/07/26
H
SR Vs Shamrock Rovers
1-2
27/06/26
H
SR Vs Shelbourne
2-2
19/06/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs SR
2-0
12/06/26
A
Waterford Vs SR
4-0
29/05/26
H
SR Vs Bohemians
1-3
22/05/26
A
Shamrock Rovers Vs SR
1-2
16/05/26
H
SR Vs Galway United
1-4
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Derry City
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LDWLD
1.52
Home
DDWWL
1.72
Away
DLLDD
1.32
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
44%
32%
AVG goals
2.50
2.76
2.24
Over 2.5 %
44%
48%
40%
Scored
1.40
1.72
1.08
Conceded
1.10
1.04
1.16
BTTS
60%
60%
60%
Clean Sheet
28%
36%
20%
Failed to Score
22%
16%
28%
Sligo Rovers
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLLDD
1.10
Home
LLDLD
1.20
Away
WLLLD
1.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
28%
28%
28%
AVG goals
2.40
2.36
2.44
Over 2.5 %
44%
40%
48%
Scored
0.96
1.04
0.88
Conceded
1.44
1.32
1.56
BTTS
48%
48%
48%
Clean Sheet
22%
28%
16%
Failed to Score
38%
32%
44%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Shamrock Rovers
26
58%
2.0
40
22
+18
2.4
69%
42%
23%
8.4
16%
4.8
75%
22.7
56%
7
3
2
2
1.5
0.8
63%
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26
46%
1.7
41
22
+19
2.4
73%
35%
31%
10.3
72%
4.7
71%
23.6
64%
5
2
1
2
1.6
0.8
55%
3
Bohemians
25
48%
1.7
40
27
+13
2.7
76%
56%
32%
9.9
54%
4.2
58%
23.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.6
1.1
57%
4
Dundalk
26
35%
1.4
40
38
+2
3.0
88%
58%
35%
11.0
72%
5.1
68%
23.4
72%
3
0
1
2
1.5
1.5
51%
5
Shelbourne
25
32%
1.4
35
36
-1
2.8
76%
64%
32%
9.6
50%
5.2
71%
20.9
54%
4
1
1
2
1.4
1.4
52%
6
Derry City
26
23%
1.2
33
32
+1
2.5
69%
50%
27%
10.2
60%
5.2
76%
23.4
64%
4
1
1
2
1.3
1.2
55%
7
Galway United
24
29%
1.2
32
39
-7
3.0
75%
54%
38%
10.7
61%
3.8
57%
23.0
65%
3
1
1
1
1.3
1.6
40%
8
Drogheda United
26
23%
1.0
31
43
-12
2.8
77%
54%
35%
10.5
52%
4.5
68%
22.6
68%
3
1
0
2
1.2
1.7
40%
9
Waterford
26
19%
1.0
34
47
-13
3.1
81%
46%
38%
11.5
60%
4.3
60%
23.0
64%
2
1
1
1
1.3
1.8
39%
10
Sligo Rovers
26
19%
0.8
23
43
-20
2.5
73%
50%
31%
10.7
56%
4.1
52%
19.1
28%
3
1
1
1
0.9
1.7
47%
Ireland: Premier Division 2026-27 full table · Derry City and Sligo Rovers highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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