This opponent (Bohemians) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B
Bohemians
Avg scored2.20
Avg conceded1.30
Avg total3.50
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.17
1.29
1.21
1.81
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.50
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.58
1.04
1.17
1.08
1.93
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.19+5.1%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 4.17-5.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
888Sport
4.50
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Betano
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.65+3.8%
Under 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.17-3.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.20
888Sport
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.2%
@ 2.54+2.0%
Under 3.5
61.8%
@ 1.44-2.0%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Both teams to score
Yes
60.9%
@ 1.63+4.3%
No
39.1%
@ 2.13-4.3%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Unibet
1.63
888Sport
1.62
No
888Sport
2.20
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 7.06+4.9%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.84+4.1%
0-2
8.1%@ 8.54+2.9%
0-1
7.4%@ 8.18+2.0%
1-3
6.3%@ 11.50+2.4%
2-1
6.1%@ 13.58+2.8%
2-2
5.9%@ 12.40+2.3%
0-0
5.4%@ 11.90+1.6%
Waterford goals ↓
Bohemians goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
7.4%
8.1%
5.2%
2.5%
1
4.2%
11%
9.8%
6.3%
3.0%
2
3.2%
6.1%
5.9%
3.8%
1.8%
3
1.3%
2.5%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Waterford goals (down), columns = Bohemians goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
Bohemians
1.72
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Dundalk
1.42
Shelbourne
1.36
Galway United
1.17
Derry City
1.15
Drogheda United
1.04
Waterford
0.96
Sligo Rovers
0.85
Waterford is 0.76 points worse than Bohemians in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.60
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Dundalk
1.54
Shamrock Rovers
1.54
Shelbourne
1.40
Galway United
1.33
Waterford
1.31
Derry City
1.27
Drogheda United
1.19
Sligo Rovers
0.88
Waterford is 0.29 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.85
St Patrick's Athl.
0.85
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.23
Shelbourne
1.44
Dundalk
1.46
Galway United
1.62
Sligo Rovers
1.65
Drogheda United
1.65
Waterford
1.81
Waterford is 0.73 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
63%
Bohemians
57%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
55%
Shelbourne
52%
Dundalk
51%
Sligo Rovers
47%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Waterford is 18.3 percentage points worse than Bohemians in terms of average possession (39% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Waterford
For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 9.2 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
B
Bohemians
For 5.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Waterford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
12.0
9.8
4.6
4.9
4.2
22.5
22.8
22.3
vs Stronger (30)
10.1
11.1
9.1
4.1
4.5
3.8
22.0
22.9
21.3
vs Similar (19)
12.1
13.1
11.0
5.5
5.6
5.3
23.3
22.7
24.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
56%
62%
50%
64%
68%
60%
67%
71%
62%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
36%
32%
40%
33%
29%
38%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.7
10.4
4.6
5.0
4.2
23.1
23.0
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
12.0
11.0
13.5
5.8
6.0
5.5
24.8
25.0
24.5
vs Weaker (45)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.5
4.9
4.0
22.9
22.8
23.0
% over line
54%
57%
52%
64%
72%
56%
58%
61%
56%
% under line
46%
43%
48%
36%
28%
44%
42%
39%
44%
This opponent (Waterford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Dundalk
11.0
Waterford
10.9
Galway United
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
9.9
Shelbourne
9.4
Derry City
9.3
Shamrock Rovers
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.3
Dundalk
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Bohemians
4.8
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.8
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
23.4
Derry City
23.2
Bohemians
23.0
St Patrick's Athl.
23.0
Galway United
22.8
Waterford
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.7
Shelbourne
21.6
Sligo Rovers
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
66.6%
@ 1.50+5.8%
Under 9.5
33.4%
@ 2.33-5.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.33
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.4%
Under 21.5
37.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
83.0%
1.19
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+5.1%
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (21)
€5m
DC (21)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
SPA (8)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Waterford vs Bohemians · H/A from WAT
Date
H/A
Game
Score
06/04/26
A
Bohemians Vs WAT
1-1
06/03/26
H
WAT Vs Bohemians
0-1
19/09/25
A
Bohemians Vs WAT
2-1
20/06/25
H
WAT Vs Bohemians
2-1
02/05/25
A
Bohemians Vs WAT
1-2
07/03/25
H
WAT Vs Bohemians
0-3
Waterford
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
H
WAT Vs Shelbourne
1-0
25/07/26
A
Galway United Vs WAT
0-0
10/07/26
H
WAT Vs St Patrick's Athl.
1-1
03/07/26
A
Derry City Vs WAT
2-4
26/06/26
A
Dundalk Vs WAT
2-3
19/06/26
H
WAT Vs Shamrock Rovers
0-2
12/06/26
H
WAT Vs Sligo Rovers
4-0
29/05/26
A
Drogheda United Vs WAT
3-3
22/05/26
A
Shelbourne Vs WAT
2-1
18/05/26
H
WAT Vs Drogheda United
2-1
B
Bohemians
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
03/07/26
A
Drogheda United Vs BOH
0-2
26/06/26
H
BOH Vs St Patrick's Athl.
2-0
22/06/26
A
Shelbourne Vs BOH
0-3
19/06/26
H
BOH Vs Dundalk
1-2
12/06/26
A
Derry City Vs BOH
4-1
29/05/26
A
Sligo Rovers Vs BOH
1-3
25/05/26
H
BOH Vs Shamrock Rovers
1-2
22/05/26
A
Galway United Vs BOH
2-4
15/05/26
H
BOH Vs Drogheda United
2-1
08/05/26
A
Dundalk Vs BOH
1-3
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Waterford
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWDDW
1.04
Home
WWLDW
1.24
Away
LDWWD
0.84
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
24%
28%
20%
AVG goals
2.98
2.56
3.40
Over 2.5 %
50%
44%
56%
Scored
1.28
1.28
1.28
Conceded
1.70
1.28
2.12
BTTS
60%
60%
60%
Clean Sheet
18%
24%
12%
Failed to Score
28%
20%
36%
B
Bohemians
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LLWWW
1.64
Home
DWLLW
1.60
Away
WWLWW
1.68
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
46%
44%
48%
AVG goals
2.54
2.56
2.52
Over 2.5 %
52%
52%
52%
Scored
1.50
1.48
1.52
Conceded
1.04
1.08
1.00
BTTS
54%
60%
48%
Clean Sheet
40%
36%
44%
Failed to Score
18%
12%
24%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Shamrock Rovers
26
58%
2.0
40
22
+18
2.4
69%
42%
23%
8.4
16%
4.8
75%
22.7
56%
7
3
2
2
1.5
0.8
63%
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26
46%
1.7
41
22
+19
2.4
73%
35%
31%
10.3
72%
4.7
71%
23.6
64%
5
2
1
2
1.6
0.8
55%
3
Bohemians
25
48%
1.7
40
27
+13
2.7
76%
56%
32%
9.9
54%
4.2
58%
23.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.6
1.1
57%
4
Dundalk
26
35%
1.4
40
38
+2
3.0
88%
58%
35%
11.0
72%
5.1
68%
23.4
72%
3
0
1
2
1.5
1.5
51%
5
Shelbourne
25
32%
1.4
35
36
-1
2.8
76%
64%
32%
9.6
50%
5.2
71%
20.9
54%
4
1
1
2
1.4
1.4
52%
6
Derry City
26
23%
1.2
33
32
+1
2.5
69%
50%
27%
10.2
60%
5.2
76%
23.4
64%
4
1
1
2
1.3
1.2
55%
7
Galway United
24
29%
1.2
32
39
-7
3.0
75%
54%
38%
10.7
61%
3.8
57%
23.0
65%
3
1
1
1
1.3
1.6
40%
8
Drogheda United
26
23%
1.0
31
43
-12
2.8
77%
54%
35%
10.5
52%
4.5
68%
22.6
68%
3
1
0
2
1.2
1.7
40%
9
Waterford
26
19%
1.0
34
47
-13
3.1
81%
46%
38%
11.5
60%
4.3
60%
23.0
64%
2
1
1
1
1.3
1.8
39%
10
Sligo Rovers
26
19%
0.8
23
43
-20
2.5
73%
50%
31%
10.7
56%
4.1
52%
19.1
28%
3
1
1
1
0.9
1.7
47%
Ireland: Premier Division 2026-27 full table · Waterford and Bohemians highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
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