This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Avg scored1.00
Avg conceded0.70
Avg total1.70
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.77
1.94
0.56
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.85
1.00
0.57
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (13)
2.31
0.69
2.62
0.50
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.28-2.7%
Under 1.5
31.0%
@ 3.25+2.7%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Betano
3.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.3%
@ 1.94-7.4%
Under 2.5
58.7%
@ 1.84+7.4%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.7%
@ 3.23-7.8%
Under 3.5
79.3%
@ 1.29+7.8%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
48.7%
@ 1.73-4.9%
No
51.3%
@ 2.00+4.9%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
No
1xBet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 6.34+7.4%
0-0
11.0%@ 8.55+5.7%
1-0
10.0%@ 9.74+5.4%
0-1
9.9%@ 7.83+4.1%
2-1
7.7%@ 10.81+3.5%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.95+2.6%
2-0
6.7%@ 15.50+3.7%
0-2
6.5%@ 10.94+2.4%
Shelbourne goals ↓
St Patrick's Athl. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.9%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.7%
7.7%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.6%
3.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shelbourne goals (down), columns = St Patrick's Athl. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
Bohemians
1.72
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Dundalk
1.42
Shelbourne
1.36
Galway United
1.17
Derry City
1.15
Drogheda United
1.04
Waterford
0.96
Sligo Rovers
0.85
Shelbourne is 0.33 points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.60
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Dundalk
1.54
Shamrock Rovers
1.54
Shelbourne
1.40
Galway United
1.33
Waterford
1.31
Derry City
1.27
Drogheda United
1.19
Sligo Rovers
0.88
Shelbourne is 0.18 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.85
St Patrick's Athl.
0.85
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.23
Shelbourne
1.44
Dundalk
1.46
Galway United
1.62
Sligo Rovers
1.65
Drogheda United
1.65
Waterford
1.81
Shelbourne is 0.59 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 0.85).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
63%
Bohemians
57%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
55%
Shelbourne
52%
Dundalk
51%
Sligo Rovers
47%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Shelbourne is 2.3 percentage points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average possession (52% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Shelbourne
For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
For 6.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.8
4.0
3.9
4.2
21.5
21.4
21.6
vs Stronger (14)
9.4
9.2
9.6
4.6
4.4
4.9
23.5
24.2
23.0
vs Similar (23)
8.2
8.5
7.9
3.6
3.5
3.7
20.6
20.1
21.0
vs Weaker (13)
11.3
10.3
12.5
4.2
4.0
4.3
20.7
20.6
20.8
% over line
50%
52%
48%
56%
56%
56%
55%
57%
52%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
44%
44%
44%
45%
43%
48%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.4
4.3
4.3
4.4
23.4
24.2
22.5
vs Stronger (7)
7.3
8.3
6.5
3.3
2.7
3.8
21.7
21.0
22.2
vs Similar (18)
9.5
8.9
10.3
5.4
6.1
4.5
23.2
26.2
19.4
vs Weaker (25)
11.5
11.1
11.9
3.8
3.2
4.5
24.0
23.4
24.5
% over line
60%
57%
64%
62%
54%
71%
62%
70%
55%
% under line
40%
43%
36%
38%
46%
29%
38%
30%
45%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Dundalk
11.0
Waterford
10.9
Galway United
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
9.9
Shelbourne
9.4
Derry City
9.3
Shamrock Rovers
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.3
Dundalk
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Bohemians
4.8
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.8
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
23.4
Derry City
23.2
Bohemians
23.0
St Patrick's Athl.
23.0
Galway United
22.8
Waterford
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.7
Shelbourne
21.6
Sligo Rovers
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
Under 9.5
50.1%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.8%
Under 3.5
27.2%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.4%
Under 21.5
51.6%
Best 5 bookmaker prices
Over
No bookmaker prices yet.
Under
No bookmaker prices yet.
🔥 5. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best bookmaker prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 3.5
79.3%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+7.8%
Over 3.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
💰 6. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (21)
€5m
DC (21)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
SPA (8)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar defence value (both €2m).
🤝 7. Games History
Head-to-head
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. · H/A from SHE
Date
H/A
Game
Score
15/05/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs SHE
0-1
06/03/26
H
SHE Vs St Patrick's Athl.
2-3
01/11/25
H
SHE Vs St Patrick's Athl.
0-0
16/06/25
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs SHE
0-1
09/05/25
H
SHE Vs St Patrick's Athl.
2-1
04/04/25
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs SHE
0-0
Shelbourne
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
A
Waterford Vs SHE
1-0
03/07/26
H
SHE Vs Dundalk
2-1
27/06/26
A
Sligo Rovers Vs SHE
2-2
22/06/26
H
SHE Vs Bohemians
0-3
19/06/26
A
Drogheda United Vs SHE
2-2
12/06/26
H
SHE Vs Shamrock Rovers
2-1
29/05/26
H
SHE Vs Galway United
1-1
25/05/26
A
Derry City Vs SHE
0-0
22/05/26
H
SHE Vs Waterford
2-1
15/05/26
A
St Patrick's Athl. Vs SHE
0-1
St Patrick's Athl.
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
02/08/26
H
SPA Vs Derry City
1-1
24/07/26
H
SPA Vs Dundalk
1-1
10/07/26
A
Waterford Vs SPA
1-1
03/07/26
H
SPA Vs Galway United
3-0
26/06/26
A
Bohemians Vs SPA
2-0
19/06/26
H
SPA Vs Sligo Rovers
2-0
12/06/26
H
SPA Vs Drogheda United
2-0
29/05/26
A
Shamrock Rovers Vs SPA
1-0
22/05/26
A
Derry City Vs SPA
0-0
15/05/26
H
SPA Vs Shelbourne
0-1
📊 8. Overall Statistics
Shelbourne
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DLDWL
1.46
Home
WDWLW
1.28
Away
WDDDL
1.64
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
38%
32%
44%
AVG goals
2.52
2.72
2.32
Over 2.5 %
54%
64%
44%
Scored
1.26
1.24
1.28
Conceded
1.26
1.48
1.04
BTTS
58%
60%
56%
Clean Sheet
26%
24%
28%
Failed to Score
28%
32%
24%
St Patrick's Athl.
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
LWDDD
1.60
Home
WWWDD
1.88
Away
DDLLD
1.29
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
42%
54%
29%
AVG goals
2.16
2.23
2.08
Over 2.5 %
32%
35%
29%
Scored
1.34
1.62
1.04
Conceded
0.82
0.62
1.04
BTTS
36%
35%
38%
Clean Sheet
46%
50%
42%
Failed to Score
34%
27%
42%
🏆 9. League Table
Record
Goals
Props / game
Squad value €m
Strengths
Rank
Team
MP
Win%
PPG
GF
GA
GD
G/G
O1.5
O2.5
O3.5
Cor
Cor O%
Crd
Crd O%
Fls
Fls O%
Tot
Att
Mid
Def
Att/g
Def/g
Poss%
1
Shamrock Rovers
26
58%
2.0
40
22
+18
2.4
69%
42%
23%
8.4
16%
4.8
75%
22.7
56%
7
3
2
2
1.5
0.8
63%
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26
46%
1.7
41
22
+19
2.4
73%
35%
31%
10.3
72%
4.7
71%
23.6
64%
5
2
1
2
1.6
0.8
55%
3
Bohemians
25
48%
1.7
40
27
+13
2.7
76%
56%
32%
9.9
54%
4.2
58%
23.0
50%
0
0
0
0
1.6
1.1
57%
4
Dundalk
26
35%
1.4
40
38
+2
3.0
88%
58%
35%
11.0
72%
5.1
68%
23.4
72%
3
0
1
2
1.5
1.5
51%
5
Shelbourne
25
32%
1.4
35
36
-1
2.8
76%
64%
32%
9.6
50%
5.2
71%
20.9
54%
4
1
1
2
1.4
1.4
52%
6
Derry City
26
23%
1.2
33
32
+1
2.5
69%
50%
27%
10.2
60%
5.2
76%
23.4
64%
4
1
1
2
1.3
1.2
55%
7
Galway United
24
29%
1.2
32
39
-7
3.0
75%
54%
38%
10.7
61%
3.8
57%
23.0
65%
3
1
1
1
1.3
1.6
40%
8
Drogheda United
26
23%
1.0
31
43
-12
2.8
77%
54%
35%
10.5
52%
4.5
68%
22.6
68%
3
1
0
2
1.2
1.7
40%
9
Waterford
26
19%
1.0
34
47
-13
3.1
81%
46%
38%
11.5
60%
4.3
60%
23.0
64%
2
1
1
1
1.3
1.8
39%
10
Sligo Rovers
26
19%
0.8
23
43
-20
2.5
73%
50%
31%
10.7
56%
4.1
52%
19.1
28%
3
1
1
1
0.9
1.7
47%
Ireland: Premier Division 2026-27 full table · Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl. highlighted. Click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
PythiaFootballBETA
Pythia · model switchable per page
