The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals, most likely 3 in total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.1 % chance. Home side 07 Vestur, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Away side HB Torshavn, on the road against a weaker side, averages 3.22 scored and 0.89 conceded. The probabilities of the three outcomes are 21 % for a home win, 23 % for a draw, and 56 % for an away win, making an away win the model’s pick. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 85.7 %. The recent form notes that 07 Vestur is coming off a draw and HB Torshavn is unbeaten in their last five. All figures are presented exactly as provided.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as HB Torshavn secured a 1-4 away win, extending their unbeaten run. The pre-match favourite was an away win at 56 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 85.7 % chance. The final score of 1-4 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome and the selections largely came in. The match saw HB Torshavn dominate, scoring four goals while 07 Vestur managed one, aligning with the model’s expectations and the teams’ recent form narratives.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
07 Vestur win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn win✓ Hit
55.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
07 Vestur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.93
1.53
1.87
1.00
2.00
vs Stronger (23)
1.22
2.13
1.36
2.09
1.08
2.17
vs Similar (7)
1.43
1.29
2.00
1.25
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
1.20
2.60
1.47
2.40
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.56
1.75
2.25
1.40
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
3.16
1.05
3.10
1.20
3.22
0.89
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (07 Vestur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.0%
Under 2.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.4%
07 Vestur goals ↓
HB Torshavn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
6.4%
7.7%
5.4%
2.8%
1
3.5%
10%
9.7%
6.8%
3.5%
2
2.8%
5.8%
6.1%
4.2%
2.2%
3
1.1%
2.4%
2.5%
1.8%
0.9%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 07 Vestur goals (down), columns = HB Torshavn goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.71
Vikingur Gota
1.83
NSI Runavik
1.71
07 Vestur
1.43
Skála
1.43
KI Klaksvik
1.33
EB / Streymur
1.14
B36 Torshavn
1.14
AB
0.86
B68
0.43
07 Vestur is 1.29 points worse than HB Torshavn in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 2.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.57
NSI Runavik
2.14
EB / Streymur
1.71
Vikingur Gota
1.67
KI Klaksvik
1.33
07 Vestur
1.29
Skála
1.14
AB
1.14
B36 Torshavn
0.71
B68
0.43
07 Vestur is 1.29 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.43
Vikingur Gota
1.17
B68
1.29
KI Klaksvik
1.33
NSI Runavik
1.43
07 Vestur
1.43
B36 Torshavn
1.43
EB / Streymur
1.86
Skála
1.86
AB
1.86
07 Vestur is 1.00 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
07 Vestur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
1.00
0.80
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (23)
0.70
0.91
0.91
0.91
0.50
0.92
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.43
1.25
0.50
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.60
0.53
1.07
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.44
0.25
0.75
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.16
0.47
0.80
0.50
1.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (07 Vestur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
07 Vestur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
07 Vestur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
07 Vestur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
07 Vestur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.13
0.53
1.07
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (23)
0.52
1.22
0.45
1.18
0.58
1.25
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.73
2.00
0.93
1.33
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.11
1.50
1.50
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (19)
2.00
0.58
2.30
0.70
1.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (07 Vestur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
07 Vestur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
07 Vestur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
07 Vestur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NSI Runavik
Vikingur Gota
Skála
KI Klaksvik
EB / Streymur
B36 Torshavn
AB
B68