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Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 0-0
Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
Vs
59%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus Fremad winâś— Miss
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś“ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge winâś— Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W10W00D01L02L31W13L51W01L10WH·MID28/02A·AAL06/03H·AC 14/03A·HIL21/03A·HB 06/04H·B 911/04A·AAL18/04H·MID22/04H·HOB26/04A·MID01/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.271.931.131.531.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.481.361.541.151.421.58
vs Weaker (5)3.000.804.501.002.000.67
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L02L33D20W20W21W21W11D32WA·HOB27/02H·ESB06/03A·B 913/03H·LYN21/03H·AAR06/04H·MID10/04A·B 917/04A·HOB22/04H·AAL26/04H·B 901/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.701.331.131.472.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.401.701.331.131.472.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
Aarhus Fremad goals ↓
HB Koge goals →
01234
05.0%3.6%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.5%10%5.3%2.0%0.6%
28.8%9.9%5.5%2.1%0.6%
36.1%6.9%3.9%1.4%0.4%
43.2%3.6%2.0%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus Fremad goals (down), columns = HB Koge goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Aarhus Fremad is 0.12 points better than HB Koge in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Aarhus Fremad is 0.31 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Aarhus Fremad is 0.34 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D00D00D13L31W01L00DH·MID28/02A·AAL06/03H·AC 14/03A·HIL21/03A·HB 06/04H·B 911/04A·AAL18/04H·MID22/04H·HOB26/04A·MID01/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.930.470.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.680.640.770.460.580.83
vs Weaker (5)1.400.402.000.501.000.33
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L21W00D00D10W10W11D12LA·HOB27/02H·ESB06/03A·B 913/03H·LYN21/03H·AAR06/04H·MID10/04A·B 917/04A·HOB22/04H·AAL26/04H·B 901/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.530.330.401.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.770.530.330.401.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W00D01L02L31W00D20W00D10WH·MID28/02A·AAL06/03H·AC 14/03A·HIL21/03A·HB 06/04H·B 911/04A·AAL18/04H·MID22/04H·HOB26/04A·MID01/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.000.670.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.800.720.770.690.830.75
vs Weaker (5)1.600.402.500.501.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L12L20W20W11D11D00D20WA·HOB27/02H·ESB06/03A·B 913/03H·LYN21/03H·AAR06/04H·MID10/04A·B 917/04A·HOB22/04H·AAL26/04H·B 901/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.930.800.801.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.930.930.800.801.071.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.9%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
Aarhus Fremad's squad is €2m less valuable than HB Koge's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
Aarhus Fremad and HB Koge have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
Aarhus Fremad and HB Koge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
Aarhus Fremad's defence is €1m less valuable than HB Koge's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
AF wins
1
Draws
2
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge · H/A from AF
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/26AHB Koge Vs AF2-0
23/11/25HAF Vs HB Koge2-2
25/07/25AHB Koge Vs AF2-1

Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26AMiddelfart Vs AF0-1
26/04/26HAF Vs Hobro0-1
22/04/26HAF Vs Middelfart5-1
18/04/26AAalborg Vs AF3-1
11/04/26HAF Vs B 933-1
06/04/26AHB Koge Vs AF2-0
21/03/26AHillerød Vs AF1-0
14/03/26HAF Vs AC Horsens0-0
06/03/26AAalborg Vs AF0-1
28/02/26HAF Vs Middelfart4-1

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26HHK Vs B 933-2
26/04/26HHK Vs Aalborg1-1
22/04/26AHobro Vs HK1-2
17/04/26AB 93 Vs HK1-2
10/04/26HHK Vs Middelfart2-0
06/04/26HHK Vs Aarhus Fremad2-0
21/03/26HHK Vs Lyngby3-3
13/03/26AB 93 Vs HK2-0
06/03/26HHK Vs Esbjerg0-1
27/02/26AHobro Vs HK1-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.36
HomeWDWWL1.47
AwayWLLLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%33%
AVG goals2.883.072.72
Over 1.5 %76%73%78%
Over 2.5 %55%67%44%
Over 3.5 %36%47%28%
Scored1.671.931.44
Conceded1.211.131.28
BTTS55%60%50%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners---
Cards---
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.34
HomeDWWDW1.54
AwayDDLWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.902.653.17
Over 1.5 %84%77%92%
Over 2.5 %54%38%71%
Over 3.5 %30%19%42%
Scored1.341.311.38
Conceded1.561.351.79
BTTS60%46%75%
Clean Sheet18%23%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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