The contest between Aarhus Fremad and Vejle is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 36 %. The expected goal output sits at 2.8, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25 % chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.1 % probability. Aarhus Fremad, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.46 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Vejle, on the road, scores 1.42 and concedes 1.83. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.5 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.6 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.5 % with a 6 % edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (94.5 % with a 5 % edge). The probabilities for a home win, draw and away win are 36 %, 28 % and 36 % respectively.
Results analysis
Aarhus Fremad’s unbeaten run of five games ended in a stalemate, a shock for the model that had tipped a home win with a 36% probability. The match finished 0-0, a draw that left the pre-match favourite wrong. The model’s selection of a home victory was therefore incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2%; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%; Under 6.5 hit at 97.5%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.4%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.9%; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.6%; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.5%; and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.7%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no number was repeated.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aarhus Fremad win✗ Miss
36.5%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.28
Edge
+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.71
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.00
Betfair
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Vejle win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied 47.0% · @ 1.96
Edge
-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.00
SBO
2.00
Dafabet
2.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aarhus Fremad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.03
1.79
1.00
1.31
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.23
1.12
1.33
1.00
1.14
1.21
vs Weaker (4)
3.50
0.50
4.50
1.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vejle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.73
1.93
1.60
1.53
1.87
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.20
1.67
1.67
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.70
1.70
2.00
1.55
1.42
1.83
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.4%
@ 1.15-2.5%
Under 1.5
21.6%
@ 4.87+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.06
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.52-7.7%
Under 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.39+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
BetVictor
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
@ 2.32-9.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
@ 1.57+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.47-4.5%
No
41.7%
@ 2.48+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
No
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.96+6.7%
2-1
8.4%@ 10.34+4.1%
1-2
8.3%@ 7.78+2.7%
1-0
7.3%@ 12.55+3.8%
0-1
7.2%@ 9.57+2.6%
0-0 ✓
7.2%@ 14.39+4.1%
2-0
6.0%@ 18.22+3.6%
0-2
5.9%@ 10.86+1.8%
Aarhus Fremad goals ↓
Vejle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
7.2%
5.9%
2.8%
1.0%
1
7.3%
13%
8.3%
3.9%
1.4%
2
6.0%
8.4%
5.9%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.8%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus Fremad goals (down), columns = Vejle goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Aarhus Fremad is 0.83 points worse than Vejle in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Aarhus Fremad is 1.50 goals worse than Vejle in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Aarhus Fremad is 0.83 goals better than Vejle in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aarhus Fremad or Draw✓ Hit
64.0%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.77
Edge
+11.5%
36%
28%
36%
covers Aarhus Fremad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.81
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Aarhus Fremad or Vejle✗ Miss
72.4%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.2%
36%
28%
36%
covers Aarhus Fremad + Vejle
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Draw or Vejle✓ Hit
63.5%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
-8.3%
36%
28%
36%
covers Draw + Vejle
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.7%
@ 1.26+2.4%
Under
24.3%
@ 3.48-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.67
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.3%
@ 2.30+1.0%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.55-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 5.14-1.0%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.13+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Aarhus Fremad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 11.62-2.6%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Vejle over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.4%
@ 1.13-6.4%
Under
24.6%
@ 5.09+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.25
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Vejle over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 1.71-13.6%
Under
59.1%
@ 2.05+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Vejle over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 3.19-12.4%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.31+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.36
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Vejle over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 6.48-9.0%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.09+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.30
1xBet
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Aarhus Fremad, so a minus line means Aarhus Fremad give that many goals of a start and Vejle receive them. At -1, Aarhus Fremad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aarhus Fremad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aarhus Fremad)Actual: Vejle
Aarhus Fremad -2
6.5%
@ 15.00+0.4%
Draw -2
11.0%
@ 9.10+1.0%
Vejle +2
82.5%
@ 1.09-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.20
Away
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Handicap -1 (Aarhus Fremad)Actual: Vejle
Aarhus Fremad -1
17.5%
@ 6.37+3.5%
Draw -1
18.9%
@ 5.02+1.2%
Vejle +1
63.5%
@ 1.30-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
5.80
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Handicap +1 (Aarhus Fremad)Actual: Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad +1
64.0%
@ 1.77+13.8%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 3.84-4.4%
Vejle -1
17.2%
@ 3.34-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Handicap +2 (Aarhus Fremad)Actual: Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad +2
82.8%
@ 1.27+12.6%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 5.50-5.3%
Vejle -2
6.3%
@ 6.52-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Unibet
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Away
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus Fremad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.43
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.46
0.42
0.42
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
2.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vejle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.47
0.80
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.96
0.45
0.91
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.1%
@ 1.25-0.7%
Under 0.5
26.9%
@ 3.53+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 2.23-3.5%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.59+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 4.92-5.7%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.14+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.2%
@ 2.01+1.2%
Under
52.8%
@ 1.72-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 6.17+3.0%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.09-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
6.00
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 17.67-2.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Vejle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.1%
@ 1.69-5.7%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.05+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Vejle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 4.39-9.1%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.18+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Vejle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 11.33-6.4%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus Fremad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.14
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.65
0.92
0.58
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
2.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vejle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.47
0.80
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.60
1.33
1.33
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.74
1.55
0.64
0.75
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus Fremad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.15+0.0%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 4.83-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
Marathonbet
4.80
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.75-4.2%
Under 1.5
51.0%
@ 1.98+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Unibet
1.97
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.4%
@ 3.25-6.1%
Under 2.5
77.6%
@ 1.30+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.16
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus Fremad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.5%
@ 1.72-0.2%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Aarhus Fremad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 4.48-3.9%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.17+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Aarhus Fremad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 11.92-3.8%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Vejle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.8%
@ 1.48-2.0%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.50+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Under
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Vejle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.6%
@ 3.19-5.5%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.31+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.35
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Vejle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 8.03-5.2%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.05+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.18
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.5%
1.21
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.3%
1.31
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.0%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
82.8%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.5%
1.09
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.0%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.15
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
+0.0%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-2.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.7%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
75.4%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
-6.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.1%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-0.7%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
-3.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vejle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen25%
Christian Gammelgaard25%
Mikkel Duelund24%
Stefan Velkov20%
Jelle Duin17%
Tobias Bach15%
Amin Chiakha14%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Andrew Hjulsager8%
Abdoulaye Camara5%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Lasse Flø4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgi Tabatadze36%
Stefan Velkov30%
Lasse Nielsen26%
Mads Enggård20%
Tobias Bach20%
Mike Vestergård19%
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Bismark Edjeodji17%
Mikkel Duelund16%
Alexi Pitu12%
Valdemar Lund11%
Christian Sørensen8%
Amin Chiakha7%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Christian Gammelgaard6%
Igor Vekić4%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Tobias Bach15%
Anders Jacobsen12%
Christian Gammelgaard12%
Christian Sørensen12%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Mikkel Duelund4%
Mads Enggård4%
Lasse Nielsen4%
Mike Vestergård3%
Jonathan Amon0%
Stefan Velkov0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Amin Chiakha0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha21%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Andrew Hjulsager12%
Mikkel Duelund12%
Tobias Bach10%
Christian Gammelgaard9%
Stefan Velkov5%
Christian Sørensen4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Giorgi Tabatadze0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Lasse Flø0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Bismark Edjeodji0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Aarhus Fremad's squad is €6m less valuable than Vejle's (€3m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Aarhus Fremad's attack is €2m less valuable than Vejle's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Aarhus Fremad and Vejle have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Aarhus Fremad's defence is €3m less valuable than Vejle's (€1m vs €4m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hvidovre
Hobro
FC Fredericia
Vendsyssel FF
Aalborg
AB Copenhagen
Kolding IF
Hillerød
Esbjerg
HB Koge