AB Copenhagen’s recent loss and a modest home average of one goal for and one against set the stage for a clear underdog scenario. The model points to an away win as the most likely outcome, driven by Kolding IF’s dominant away form - scoring eight goals per game while conceding none against weaker opposition. The predicted total of three goals, with a 23% chance of exactly two goals, reflects the high scoring potential of the visitors. The single most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 13.2% probability, underscoring Kolding’s offensive threat and AB Copenhagen’s defensive frailty.
Home win probability stands at 8%, draw at 18%, and away win at 74%. The model’s selections include Home under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away +2 handicap (97.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (96.7%), Under 6.5 (96.4%), Draw or Away (91.7%), Away +1 handicap (91.7%), and Under 5.5 (91.1%). Each pick is listed with its exact percentage, highlighting the overwhelming confidence in an away victory and a low-scoring affair.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
AB Copenhagen win
8.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF win
74.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AB Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.17
1.00
1.00
2.11
1.22
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
1.44
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.67
vs Similar (3)
3.33
0.33
-
-
3.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolding IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.43
1.21
1.56
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.26
1.44
1.42
1.33
1.13
1.53
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
0.33
1.50
0.50
8.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.2%
0-1
10.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
AB Copenhagen goals ↓
Kolding IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
10%
13%
10%
6.1%
1
2.5%
8.5%
9.1%
7.2%
4.2%
2
1.1%
2.6%
3.1%
2.5%
1.4%
3
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AB Copenhagen goals (down), columns = Kolding IF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
AB Copenhagen and Kolding IF are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
AB Copenhagen and Kolding IF are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
AB Copenhagen is 0.33 goals better than Kolding IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AB Copenhagen or Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied -
8%
18%
74%
covers AB Copenhagen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen or Kolding IF
82.2%
Avg Implied -
8%
18%
74%
covers AB Copenhagen + Kolding IF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kolding IF
91.7%
Avg Implied -
8%
18%
74%
covers Draw + Kolding IF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5
Over
15.1%
Under
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5
Over
90.5%
Under
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5
Over
41.9%
Under
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 3.5
Over
21.3%
Under
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AB Copenhagen, so a minus line means AB Copenhagen give that many goals of a start and Kolding IF receive them. At -1, AB Copenhagen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AB Copenhagen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AB Copenhagen)
AB Copenhagen -2
0.4%
Draw -2
1.9%
Kolding IF +2
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AB Copenhagen)
AB Copenhagen -1
2.3%
Draw -1
6.0%
Kolding IF +1
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AB Copenhagen)
AB Copenhagen +1
26.0%
Draw +1
22.4%
Kolding IF -1
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AB Copenhagen)
AB Copenhagen +2
48.4%
Draw +2
22.0%
Kolding IF -2
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AB Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.22
0.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.83
0.67
vs Similar (3)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolding IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.79
0.50
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.74
0.75
0.58
0.40
0.87
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AB Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.89
0.78
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.78
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (3)
1.33
0.33
-
-
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolding IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.64
0.71
1.12
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.70
0.67
0.75
0.73
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
7.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
AB Copenhagen's squad is €5m less valuable than Kolding IF's (€1m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
AB Copenhagen's attack is €2m less valuable than Kolding IF's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
AB Copenhagen's midfield is €2m less valuable than Kolding IF's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
AB Copenhagen's defence is €1m less valuable than Kolding IF's (€0m vs €2m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →