The model favours a home win, with a 43% chance, followed by a 27% draw and a 30% away win. The expected total goals sit at 2.9, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.6% chance. AB, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. B68, on the road, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against comparable opposition. Recent form shows AB struggling after three straight defeats, while B68 comes off a draw. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (97.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.0%) and Under 5.5 (92.6%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
AB win
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B68 win
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.97
2.50
1.21
1.75
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
2.60
1.30
3.40
1.40
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.85
1.80
1.20
1.25
0.62
vs Weaker (7)
2.57
0.71
2.25
1.00
3.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (B68) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B68
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.80
1.47
1.73
0.87
1.87
vs Stronger (18)
0.83
2.28
1.25
2.25
0.50
2.30
vs Similar (12)
1.67
1.08
1.71
1.14
1.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
AB goals ↓
B68 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
6.0%
4.6%
2.0%
0.6%
1
7.7%
13%
7.4%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.2%
5.9%
2.6%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AB goals (down), columns = B68 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
AB is 0.25 points better than B68 in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
AB is 0.62 goals better than B68 in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
AB is 0.75 goals worse than B68 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AB or Draw
70.2%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers AB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB or B68
73.2%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers AB + B68
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or B68
56.6%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Draw + B68
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AB over/under 0.5
Over
79.8%
Under
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5
Over
47.5%
Under
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
Under
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
Under
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AB, so a minus line means AB give that many goals of a start and B68 receive them. At -1, AB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AB)
AB -2
9.3%
Draw -2
13.4%
B68 +2
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AB)
AB -1
22.8%
Draw -1
20.6%
B68 +1
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AB)
AB +1
70.2%
Draw +1
16.5%
B68 -1
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AB)
AB +2
86.7%
Draw +2
8.8%
B68 -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.21
0.50
0.94
0.19
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
0.30
1.40
0.40
1.20
0.20
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.31
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (B68) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B68
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.90
0.47
0.93
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
1.06
0.50
1.12
0.30
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.67
0.43
0.71
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
Under 0.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.8%
Under 1.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.3%
Under
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.29
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.54
1.00
0.80
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (B68) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B68
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
1.00
0.80
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (18)
0.44
1.22
0.75
1.12
0.20
1.30
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.42
1.29
0.43
1.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.4%
Under 0.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.0%
Under 1.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.8%
Under 2.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.9%
Under
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.9%
Under
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.7%
Under
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B68 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
AB and B68 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
AB and B68 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
AB and B68 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
AB and B68 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
HB Torshavn
NSI Runavik
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
Skála
B36 Torshavn
EB / Streymur