

AB's recent form is a storyline worth noting, having come off a win against Skála, with a score of 3-2. This victory is a boost to their confidence, but it's worth remembering that they've also had some inconsistent results lately.
The model predicts a home win for AB, with a probability of 48%, closely followed by a draw at 25% and an away win for Skála at 28%. The expected total number of goals is 3.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 3.
The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 11%. AB's home form is strong, with an average of 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Skála's away form is weaker, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 84.6%, and an edge of 10%. This suggests that the model expects a higher-scoring match than the market. The suggested picks also include a Home win at 48%, a Draw at 25%, and an Away win at 28%, with the Over 1.5 goals selection at 84.6% and the Home win selection at 48%.
The win extends their run of three consecutive wins for AB, who have now beaten Skála 3-2. The final score confirms the actual result of a home win, which was the model's correct call. The model had picked a home win, a selection with a pre-match probability of 48%. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model's selection of over 1.5 goals hitting, as did the expected total goals of 3, although the most likely score was 1-1. The model's selection of over 1.5 goals had a pre-match probability of 84.6%.
AB| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.10 | 0.67 | 2.43 | 0.86 | 1.81 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 2.71 | 0.57 | 3.50 | 0.50 | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (9) | 1.67 | 0.56 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 2.07 | 0.79 | 2.00 | 1.17 | 2.12 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
Skála| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 3.30 | 0.63 | 3.27 | 0.27 | 3.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 2.86 | 1.71 | 3.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| vs Similar (9) | 2.33 | 0.44 | 2.20 | 0.20 | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 4.14 | 0.21 | 4.00 | 0.17 | 4.25 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
| Skála goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 11% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84.6% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +10.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 14/06/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 15/03/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 03/10/22 | H | 2-0 | |
| 29/06/22 | A | 5-0 | |
| 02/04/22 | H | 2-1 |
AB| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 04/07/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 29/06/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 21/06/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 0-4 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 0-5 | |
| 20/09/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 14/09/25 | A | 1-2 |
Skála| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 29/06/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 20/06/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 1-5 | |
| 03/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | H | 5-0 | |
| 20/09/25 | A | 0-4 | |
| 14/09/25 | H | 7-0 | |
| 28/08/25 | A | 0-9 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | HB Torshavn | 6 | 18 | 100% | 3.0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0.5 | - |
| 2 | NSI Runavik | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 3.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 3 | Vikingur Gota | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 4 | 07 Vestur | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | - |
| 5 | KI Klaksvik | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | B36 Torshavn | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | - |
| 7 | Skála | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3.3 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 8 | AB | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 3.2 | 67% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | - |
| 9 | EB / Streymur | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 3.8 | 100% | 83% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 2.2 | - |
| 10 | B68 | 6 | 3 | 17% | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1.8 | 50% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | - |