Aberdeen vs Celtic Result & Analysis

Aberdeen’s recent form shows a win streak, yet the model still favours a Celtic win, rating it at 63% versus a 15% chance for home victory and 22% for a draw. The edge comes from Celtic’s dominant away performance, scoring an average of 3.2 goals while conceding only 0.3 against weaker opponents, while Aberdeen’s home attack averages 2.0 goals and they concede 1.0. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a moderately high-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.1% probability. The model’s picks include Over 1.5 goals at 83%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.5%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.7%. These selections reflect the anticipated intensity and offensive output of the match.

Aberdeen entered the match on a five-game run of four wins and one loss, while Celtic were coming off a defeat after a 1-4 loss to Lask Linz. The model’s favourite was an Away win with a 63% probability, and the prediction proved correct as Celtic secured a 0-1 victory. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 78.8%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 76.3%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 75.5%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.5%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 71.7%. Only Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 83%. The final score of 0-1 matched the predicted outcome.