PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Date: 06/12/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 0-1
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Vs
64%
25%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Aberdeen are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 64% chance to a home win, 25% for a draw and 12% for a Kilmarnock victory. The 2.4 expected goals suggest a modestly low-scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 for the hosts, a 15.3% chance. Aberdeen’s home form shows they average 1.17 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Kilmarnock’s away numbers are 1.11 scored and 1.44 conceded, indicating a defensive edge for the visitors. The model’s selections include Over 8.5 corners (80.7%), Over 2.5 cards (79.4%), Under 3.5 (78.5%), Under 5.5 cards (74.7%) and Over 19.5 fouls (70.2%). The only selection that is likely to miss is Under 25.5 fouls (77.0%) and Over 9.5 corners (70.9%). The final score was 0-1, a Kilmarnock win that contradicts the predicted favourite.

Results analysis

Aberdeen’s run of five matches (LWLWW) ended in a 0-1 loss to Kilmarnock, who had also come off a defeat. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with the model assigning a 64% chance, but the outcome was an away win, so the model’s call was wrong. The final score was 0-1. The model’s selections performed as follows: Over 8.5 corners hit at 80.7%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 79.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 78.5%, Under 25.5 fouls missed at 77.0%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 74.7%, Over 9.5 corners missed at 70.9%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 70.2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aberdeen win✗ Miss
63.6%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.32
Edge
+23.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.27
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
11.7%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.08
Edge
-18.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D00D23L02L42W22D06L11D22D02LH·HJK05/10H·ST 08/10H·PAO26/10A·KIL29/10A·MOT01/11A·PAO09/11A·CEL12/11H·RAN26/11A·HJK30/11A·HIB03/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.541.001.121.94
vs Stronger (10)1.202.401.501.751.002.83
vs Similar (13)1.231.541.171.001.292.00
vs Weaker (7)1.570.292.330.001.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D13L31W20W12L10W01L00D01LA·DUN23/09H·ST 30/09A·CEL07/10H·LIV21/10H·ABE29/10A·ST 01/11H·MOT04/11A·HIB11/11A·ROS25/11H·HEA02/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.231.310.940.861.57
vs Stronger (10)0.801.701.201.600.401.80
vs Similar (20)1.251.001.360.641.111.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.11-2.5%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.71+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.2%
No
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-1 ✓
4.8%
Aberdeen goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
01234
010%4.8%1.8%0.4%0.1%
115%11%3.2%0.7%0.1%
214%8.9%2.8%0.6%0.1%
38.3%5.2%1.6%0.3%0.1%
43.6%2.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Aberdeen is 0.21 points worse than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Aberdeen is 0.05 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Aberdeen is 0.21 goals worse than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Aberdeen is 3.8 percentage points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AberdeenAberdeen

For 3.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

13066655111341392553831211511135127811A·HIBA·HJKH·RANA·CELA·PAOA·MOTA·KILH·PAOH·ST H·HJK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

70232241313163112215453474321A·HIBA·HJKH·RANA·CELA·PAOA·MOTA·KILH·PAOH·ST H·HJK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

3601313162016118591161414128101111111326362713202026182224A·HIBA·HJKH·RANA·CELA·PAOA·MOTA·KILH·PAOH·ST H·HJK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 7.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 12.5

🚩 Corners

170735910593125935411176741014151217129121311H·HEAA·ROSA·HIBH·MOTA·ST H·ABEH·LIVA·CELH·ST A·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

7021152212313212223323173543455H·HEAA·ROSA·HIBH·MOTA·ST H·ABEH·LIVA·CELH·ST A·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

3101412910146912913121491079151611826192021222619163119H·HEAA·ROSA·HIBH·MOTA·ST H·ABEH·LIVA·CELH·ST A·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AberdeenAberdeen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.911.11.71.22.123.222.423.8
vs Stronger (14)11.010.011.81.81.71.920.422.718.8
vs Similar (23)11.613.010.81.91.22.424.823.325.5
vs Weaker (13)9.89.010.51.30.91.824.820.529.0
% over line75%62%83%28%17%37%65%62%67%
% under line25%38%17%72%83%63%35%38%33%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.811.212.41.41.31.523.123.822.4
vs Stronger (16)11.09.312.71.91.52.221.722.321.0
vs Similar (34)12.312.412.21.21.21.224.124.623.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line80%75%86%20%16%24%53%62%43%
% under line20%25%14%80%84%76%47%38%57%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.5
Motherwell
11.0
Dundee
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Ross County
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.6
Aberdeen
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.3
Rangers
10.2
Livingston
10.0
Hibernian
10.0
Partick
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.5
Rangers
4.3
Motherwell
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Ross County
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Dundee
3.7
Kilmarnock
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.1
Aberdeen
25.7
Livingston
24.9
Heart Of Midlothian
24.0
Hibernian
23.8
Ross County
23.5
ST Johnstone
23.2
Kilmarnock
22.8
ST Mirren
22.8
Dundee
22.2
Rangers
21.5
Partick
20.2
Celtic
20.1
Airdrie United
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
70.9%
Under 9.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
53.8%
Under 21.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AberdeenAberdeen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L20W11D02L10W12L01LH·HJK05/10H·ST 08/10H·PAO26/10A·KIL29/10A·MOT01/11A·PAO09/11A·CEL12/11H·RAN26/11A·HJK30/11A·HIB03/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.770.310.590.76
vs Stronger (10)0.500.800.500.500.501.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.690.670.330.571.00
vs Weaker (7)1.000.001.330.000.750.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D02L21W10W02L00D01L00D01LA·DUN23/09H·ST 30/09A·CEL07/10H·LIV21/10H·ABE29/10A·ST 01/11H·MOT04/11A·HIB11/11A·ROS25/11H·HEA02/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.690.620.431.07
vs Stronger (10)0.301.400.601.400.001.40
vs Similar (20)0.700.550.730.270.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AberdeenAberdeen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D23L01L22D11D04L01L10W01LH·HJK05/10H·ST 08/10H·PAO26/10A·KIL29/10A·MOT01/11A·PAO09/11A·CEL12/11H·RAN26/11A·HJK30/11A·HIB03/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.970.770.690.531.18
vs Stronger (10)0.701.601.001.250.501.83
vs Similar (13)0.620.850.500.670.711.00
vs Weaker (7)0.570.291.000.000.250.50
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D11D10W10W10W10W00D00D00DA·DUN23/09H·ST 30/09A·CEL07/10H·LIV21/10H·ABE29/10A·ST 01/11H·MOT04/11A·HIB11/11A·ROS25/11H·HEA02/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.400.620.310.430.50
vs Stronger (10)0.500.300.600.200.400.40
vs Similar (20)0.550.450.640.360.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners80.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners70.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bojan Miovski37%
Jamie McGrath20%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes15%
Dante Polvara12%
Stefan Gartenmann8%
Junior Hoilett8%
Leighton Clarkson8%
Ester Sokler6%
Jonny Hayes5%
Nicky Devlin5%
Angus MacDonald4%
Jack Mackenzie3%
Connor Barron3%
Graeme Shinnie2%
Kelle Roos0%
James McGarry0%
Richard Jensen0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Slobodan Rubežić33%
Graeme Shinnie24%
Junior Hoilett23%
Jonny Hayes20%
Stefan Gartenmann18%
Nicky Devlin16%
Jamie McGrath12%
Richard Jensen12%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes10%
Connor Barron9%
James McGarry7%
Kelle Roos7%
Bojan Miovski7%
Dante Polvara6%
Leighton Clarkson5%
Angus MacDonald4%
Ester Sokler3%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Hoilett38%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes12%
Connor Barron9%
Leighton Clarkson8%
Shayden Morris8%
Ryan Duncan8%
Graeme Shinnie7%
Nicky Devlin7%
Bojan Miovski7%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Ester Sokler6%
Dante Polvara6%
Richard Jensen6%
Jamie McGrath2%
Jonny Hayes0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jack Milne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bojan Miovski37%
Junior Hoilett23%
James McGarry14%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes8%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Leighton Clarkson5%
Jamie McGrath2%
Graeme Shinnie2%
Jonny Hayes0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Richard Jensen0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Ester Sokler0%
Connor Barron0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marley Watkins25%
Kyle Vassell20%
David Watson14%
Danny Armstrong13%
Gary Mackay-Steven11%
Joe Wright10%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba4%
Rory McKenzie4%
Robbie Deas3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Deas33%
Bradley Lyons30%
Liam Donnelly30%
Joe Wright28%
David Watson25%
Danny Armstrong24%
Kevin van Veen17%
Rory McKenzie14%
Lewis Mayo14%
Stuart Findlay14%
Greg Stewart12%
Kyle Magennis12%
Kyle Vassell11%
Innes Cameron10%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba7%
Liam Polworth7%
Marley Watkins6%
Will Dennis6%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Fraser Murray0%
Andrew Dallas0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong24%
Liam Polworth11%
Kyle Vassell9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Marley Watkins8%
Kevin van Veen8%
Andrew Dallas7%
Fraser Murray7%
David Watson6%
Joe Wright3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Vassell26%
Marley Watkins17%
Danny Armstrong16%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Liam Donnelly11%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons4%
Corrie Ndaba4%
David Watson3%
Stuart Findlay3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Joe Wright0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Aberdeen's squad is €8m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€15m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €1m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€4m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €2m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€4m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Aberdeen's defence is €4m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€7m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
ABE wins
1
Draws
2
KIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock · H/A from ABE
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23AKilmarnock Vs ABE2-0
08/04/23HABE Vs Kilmarnock2-0
28/12/22AKilmarnock Vs ABE2-1
01/10/22HABE Vs Kilmarnock4-1
20/02/21HABE Vs Kilmarnock1-0
20/12/20AKilmarnock Vs ABE0-2
12/09/20HABE Vs Kilmarnock1-0
04/03/20AKilmarnock Vs ABE2-2

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/23AHibernian Vs ABE2-0
30/11/23AHJK Helsinki Vs ABE2-2
26/11/23HABE Vs Rangers1-1
12/11/23ACeltic Vs ABE6-0
09/11/23APAOK Vs ABE2-2
01/11/23AMotherwell Vs ABE2-4
29/10/23AKilmarnock Vs ABE2-0
26/10/23HABE Vs PAOK2-3
08/10/23HABE Vs ST Johnstone0-0
05/10/23HABE Vs HJK Helsinki1-1

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/23HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-1
25/11/23ARoss County Vs KIL0-0
11/11/23AHibernian Vs KIL1-0
04/11/23HKIL Vs Motherwell1-0
01/11/23AST Johnstone Vs KIL2-1
29/10/23HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-0
21/10/23HKIL Vs Livingston3-1
07/10/23ACeltic Vs KIL3-1
30/09/23HKIL Vs ST Mirren1-1
23/09/23ADundee Vs KIL2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL1.22
HomeWDDLD1.65
AwayWDLDL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%22%
AVG goals3.022.523.44
Over 1.5 %80%74%85%
Over 2.5 %60%43%74%
Over 3.5 %46%35%56%
Scored1.281.571.04
Conceded1.740.962.41
BTTS46%39%52%
Clean Sheet30%52%11%
Corners11.0010.8811.08
Cards4.253.504.75
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.12
HomeDWWWL1.80
AwayDLLLD0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%52%8%
AVG goals2.422.442.40
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.021.400.64
Conceded1.401.041.76
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners11.8011.2512.43
Cards5.004.575.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3893
76%
2.4
9530+65
3.3
89%
74%
34%
12.8
76%
3.4
44%
19.9
29%
116
5620412.50.8
69%
2RangersRangers3885
71%
2.2
8732+55
3.1
84%
66%
37%
11.3
66%
4.0
66%
22.0
50%
136
3844542.30.8
63%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3868
53%
1.8
5442+12
2.5
68%
45%
24%
12.2
79%
4.2
62%
22.2
55%
22
12461.41.1
55%
4KilmarnockKilmarnock3856
37%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
63%
42%
29%
11.0
68%
4.4
67%
22.7
53%
7
3231.21.2
45%
5AberdeenAberdeen3848
32%
1.3
4852-4
2.6
76%
47%
29%
10.2
61%
4.4
63%
24.5
74%
15
4471.31.4
49%
6ST MirrenST Mirren3847
34%
1.2
4652-6
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.2
44%
21.5
45%
8
1331.21.4
45%
7HibernianHibernian3846
29%
1.2
5259-7
2.9
84%
66%
39%
10.4
63%
4.1
61%
20.7
37%
20
7851.41.6
53%
8MotherwellMotherwell3843
26%
1.1
5659-3
3.0
82%
55%
34%
10.6
61%
4.2
59%
21.9
53%
16
10151.51.6
46%
9DundeeDundee3842
26%
1.1
4968-19
3.1
79%
63%
39%
11.4
74%
4.1
56%
19.5
32%
5
1221.31.8
44%
10Ross CountyRoss County4041
25%
1.0
4468-24
2.8
75%
52%
35%
11.2
66%
3.9
61%
22.0
53%
1
0011.11.7
44%
11ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3835
21%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
74%
37%
16%
10.4
55%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
5
2120.81.4
44%
12LivingstonLivingston3825
13%
0.7
2970-41
2.6
74%
47%
29%
9.2
39%
3.5
46%
23.6
66%
4
1110.81.8
43%
13PartickPartick47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
14Raith RoversRaith Rovers43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.02.2
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches