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Aberdeen vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Vs
42%
31%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aberdeen win✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park win✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D14L02L20W10W22D20W02L23LA·DUN07/03H·FAL14/03A·RAN21/03A·ST 04/04H·HIB11/04H·KIL25/04A·LIV01/05H·DUN09/05H·ST 12/05A·DUN17/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.671.601.200.602.13
vs Stronger (7)0.432.430.331.670.503.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.921.570.430.001.50
vs Weaker (10)1.902.102.402.001.402.20
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D01L11D10W02L00D02L11D20WA·AYR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ARB21/03A·ST 28/03H·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05A·KEL14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.571.001.001.062.06
vs Stronger (1)0.008.00--0.008.00
vs Similar (28)1.071.361.001.001.141.71
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.7%
Under 2.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.1%
Aberdeen goals ↓
Queen's Park goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.1%1.7%0.4%
112%14%6.6%2.2%0.6%
28.4%8.5%4.3%1.4%0.4%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.6%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = Queen's Park goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Aberdeen and Queen's Park are level in average points per game (both 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.75 goals worse than Queen's Park in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Aberdeen is 1.00 goals better than Queen's Park in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AberdeenAberdeen

For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

14027614236653358424106797691161361413A·DUNH·ST H·DUNA·LIVH·KILH·HIBA·ST A·RANH·FALA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

701216131423314111223745544124H·ST H·DUNA·LIVH·KILH·HIBA·ST A·RANH·FALA·DUNH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

3209141411121615101616189158171517616823252825322723322324A·DUNH·ST H·DUNA·LIVH·KILH·HIBA·ST A·RANH·FALA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QueenQueen's Park

For 0.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

1201212A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

20112A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 18.0

⚠️ Fouls

18010818A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AberdeenAberdeen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.59.44.55.13.825.626.624.6
vs Stronger (10)10.011.48.64.35.82.825.325.625.0
vs Similar (25)9.69.89.35.35.55.026.127.224.8
vs Weaker (15)10.711.210.33.23.72.825.026.323.9
% over line57%67%48%62%77%46%89%96%83%
% under line43%33%52%38%23%54%11%4%17%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)12.0-12.00.00.00.118.0-18.0
vs Stronger (2)12.0-12.01.0-1.018.0-18.0
vs Similar (47)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line100%-100%0%0%0%0%-0%
% under line0%-0%100%100%100%100%-100%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.8%
Under 3.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aberdeen or Draw✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
42%
31%
28%
covers Aberdeen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen or Queen's Park✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
31%
28%
covers Aberdeen + Queen's Park
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Queen's Park✗ Miss
58.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
31%
28%
covers Draw + Queen's Park
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.8%
Under
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.3%
Under
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.6%
Under
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.9%
Under
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Aberdeen, so a minus line means Aberdeen give that many goals of a start and Queen's Park receive them. At -1, Aberdeen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aberdeen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aberdeen)Actual: Queen's Park
Aberdeen -2
7.0%
Draw -2
12.7%
Queen's Park +2
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Aberdeen)Actual: Draw
Aberdeen -1
19.7%
Draw -1
22.1%
Queen's Park +1
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Aberdeen)Actual: Aberdeen
Aberdeen +1
72.3%
Draw +1
16.9%
Queen's Park -1
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Aberdeen)Actual: Aberdeen
Aberdeen +2
89.3%
Draw +2
7.7%
Queen's Park -2
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AberdeenAberdeen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L01L10W10W10W10W01L21WA·DUN07/03H·FAL14/03A·RAN21/03A·ST 04/04H·HIB11/04H·KIL25/04A·LIV01/05H·DUN09/05H·ST 12/05A·DUN17/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.670.670.330.93
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.331.000.001.50
vs Similar (13)0.310.460.570.290.000.67
vs Weaker (10)1.000.901.001.001.000.80
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D01L10W10W01L00D01L01L00DA·AYR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ARB21/03A·ST 28/03H·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05A·KEL14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.640.570.311.19
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.790.640.570.291.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AberdeenAberdeen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D13L01L10W00D12L10W01L02LA·DUN07/03H·FAL14/03A·RAN21/03A·ST 04/04H·HIB11/04H·KIL25/04A·LIV01/05H·DUN09/05H·ST 12/05A·DUN17/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.930.530.271.20
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.000.670.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.540.461.000.140.000.83
vs Weaker (10)0.901.201.401.000.401.40
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D01L00D01L00D01L10W20WA·AYR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ARB21/03A·ST 28/03H·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05A·KEL14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.360.430.750.88
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (28)0.610.570.360.430.860.71
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.591.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.9%--------
Home under 2.5 goals85.7%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals73.1%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals72.8%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw72.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards70.8%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet33%
Lewis Mayo33%
Marius Müller0%
Daniel Happe0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Chris Cadden0%
Lewis Smith0%
Aremu Afeez0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aremu Afeez67%
Lewis Mayo67%
Daniel Happe33%
Chris Cadden33%
Kevin Nisbet33%
Toyosi Olusanya33%
Marius Müller0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Lewis Smith0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin Nisbet33%
Marius Müller0%
Daniel Happe0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Chris Cadden0%
Lewis Smith0%
Aremu Afeez0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Happe33%
Kevin Nisbet33%
Marius Müller0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Chris Cadden0%
Lewis Smith0%
Aremu Afeez0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's squad is €13m more valuable than Queen's Park's (€15m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €3m more valuable than Queen's Park's (€4m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €4m more valuable than Queen's Park's (€4m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Aberdeen's defence is €6m more valuable than Queen's Park's (€7m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
ABE wins
0
Draws
0
QP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aberdeen vs Queen's Park · H/A from ABE
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HABE Vs Queen's Park4-1
17/08/24HABE Vs Queen's Park1-0

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ADundee Vs ABE3-2
12/05/26HABE Vs ST Mirren0-2
09/05/26HABE Vs Dundee Utd2-0
01/05/26ALivingston Vs ABE2-2
25/04/26HABE Vs Kilmarnock1-0
11/04/26HABE Vs Hibernian2-0
04/04/26AST Mirren Vs ABE2-0
21/03/26ARangers Vs ABE4-1
14/03/26HABE Vs Falkirk1-1
07/03/26ADunfermline Vs ABE3-0

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/26AKelty Hearts Vs QP0-2
01/05/26APartick Vs QP1-1
25/04/26HQP Vs Dunfermline0-2
18/04/26AMorton Vs QP0-0
14/04/26HQP Vs Raith Rovers0-2
10/04/26HQP Vs Ross County1-0
28/03/26AST Johnstone Vs QP1-1
21/03/26AArbroath Vs QP1-0
14/03/26HQP Vs Ayr Utd1-1
10/03/26AAyr Utd Vs QP1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.04
HomeDWWWL1.31
AwayLLLDL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals2.542.582.50
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %40%35%46%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.021.380.62
Conceded1.521.191.88
BTTS34%46%21%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners9.9810.509.43
Cards4.855.284.33
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.06
HomeWDWLL1.22
AwayLDDDW0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%30%19%
AVG goals2.642.432.81
Over 1.5 %72%65%78%
Over 2.5 %48%43%52%
Over 3.5 %26%26%26%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.621.391.81
BTTS54%48%59%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners12.00-12.00
Cards2.00-2.00

🏆 17. League Table

Aberdeen plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic39
100%
3.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
33%
11.3
67%
2.7
33%
19.7
33%
116
5620412.70.7
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren37
67%
2.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.7
67%
27.0
67%
8
1332.01.0
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
4.0
50%
24.7
100%
22
12462.31.0
53%
4DundeeDundee46
50%
1.5
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.2
50%
3.8
50%
20.2
50%
5
1221.20.8
44%
5HibernianHibernian36
67%
2.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.7
67%
2.7
33%
24.3
100%
20
7851.71.3
47%
6MotherwellMotherwell35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
4.0
100%
28.7
100%
16
10151.71.3
58%
7RangersRangers34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.3
100%
5.0
67%
30.0
100%
136
3844541.01.0
58%
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.8
50%
5.0
75%
24.2
100%
11
4341.21.8
42%
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
3.5
50%
21.0
33%
5
2121.72.0
-
10AberdeenAberdeen33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
10.3
67%
6.0
100%
28.0
67%
15
4470.71.3
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
4.3
100%
30.0
67%
6
2130.31.3
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock30
0%
0.0
413-9
5.7
100%
100%
100%
9.7
33%
3.7
67%
21.3
67%
7
3231.34.3
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Queen's Park plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches